Valhi Inc. (VHI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$14.11 +0.86% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.11

Valhi Inc. (VHI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $396.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VHI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Valhi Inc. (NYSE: VHI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $14.11 (+0.86% 1D, market cap $396.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, VHI ranks #241 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VHI compare to ASIX and ADUR in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), VHI carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.2%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, ASIX (AdvanSix Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 6.0%, cap $405.8M) and ADUR (Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $367.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASIX leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while VHI leads on capital efficiency (6.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VHI?
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Per VHI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000059255), Valhi Inc. generated $2.08B in revenue (-1.3% YoY), -$57.6M in net income, and -$82.1M in free cash flow against $2.63B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.10 (-0.04%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510028
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (9)Whales (5)SEC (8)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.5% Base Target
$20 Bull$12 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE VHI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VHI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VHI SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 14.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$14.30-0.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$14.24-1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
31
Grade E$14.07+0.3% Next Q
Current
28
Grade E$14.11-10% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (36) → E (28)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VHI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While VHI currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.01) and Max Pain ($14.82) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.15.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VHI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VHI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
37.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE34% OF RANGE
L: $11$14.11H: $19
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 8 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on VHI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

6.2% ROIC with 14.2% gross margin and -20.72% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (18)

8/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like VHI
  • ✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VHI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of VHI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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VHI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.47%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $14.00H $14.11L $13.99C $14.11VOL 10.1K
RES: $22.37SUP: $13.82SMA50: $16.01SMA200: $14.73
$19.69$17.61$15.52$13.44$11.35RES $22.37SUP $13.82$14.112026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VHI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VHI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VHI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VHI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VHI)

Materials Rank #241 of 270 ⚔️ ASIX vs VHI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (VHI vs. ASIX, ADUR, SLI, NL)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Valhi Inc. (VHI) ranks #241 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #186 by equity capitalization ($396.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASIX leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while VHI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.2% ROIC and 14.2% gross margin. ASIX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with VHI at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VHI ACTIVE
Valhi Inc.
E 28/100 — 14.2% 6.2% +0.86% $396.2M Benchmark Subject
ASIX
AdvanSix Inc.
D 50/100 8.2x — 6.0% +2.20% $405.8M /asix-vs-vhi →
ADUR
Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.
D 45/100 — — — -1.07% $367.4M /adur-vs-vhi →
SLI
Standard Lithium Ltd.
D 45/100 — — — -0.69% $358.0M /sli-vs-vhi →
NL
NLI Holdings Inc.
D 45/100 — 30.4% 3.4% +1.72% $341.8M /nl-vs-vhi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000059255

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Valhi Inc. (VHI) reported GAAP revenue of $2.08B (-1.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.10B , and +8.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$57.6M, operating cash flow of -$35.5M, and free cash flow of -$82.1M (-726.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, VHI closed FY2025 with $2.63B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.08B -$57.6M -$35.5M -$82.1M $2.63B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.10B $108.0M $44.0M $13.1M $2.80B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.92B -$9.9M $3.9M $3.9M — —

3. VHI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VHI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Valhi Inc. (NYSE: VHI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $14.11 (+0.86% 1D, market cap $396.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, VHI ranks #241 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VHI compare to ASIX and ADUR in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), VHI carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.2%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, ASIX (AdvanSix Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 6.0%, cap $405.8M) and ADUR (Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $367.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASIX leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while VHI leads on capital efficiency (6.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VHI?

Per VHI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000059255), Valhi Inc. generated $2.08B in revenue (-1.3% YoY), -$57.6M in net income, and -$82.1M in free cash flow against $2.63B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VHI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VHI last traded at $14.11 (+0.86% on volume of 7,664 shares), positioning the stock -11.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.01) and -4.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.73). Across its 52-week range of $11.44 to $19.19, VHI sits at the 34.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($13.07 to $15.15).

VHI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell VHI stock right now?

Valhi Inc. (VHI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 28/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is VHI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

VHI's 12-month base price target is $12.21 (range $9.52 to $20.15), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 28/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

VHI — Valhi Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:37:09Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, VHI scores 28 out of 100 and carries a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 6.2% and FCF yield is -20.72%. Negative free-cash-flow yield means the company is consuming cash relative to its market value, a weak foundation for the upside drivers an investor typically looks for.
  • Whale 13F Flow (5 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score low. Limited institutional support removes a potential source of price confirmation.
  • Insider Conviction (3 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores very low, indicating no visible insider-buying signal to offset fundamental weakness.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with a sector sensitivity score of 3 / 20, implying market-level volatility without a clear regime tailwind.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (8 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These readings point to a balance sheet that the rating treats as a risk factor rather than a cushion.

Taken together, the rating frames VHI as a name where valuation tradeoffs are unfavorable: the stock may look inexpensive on a price basis, but the cash-generation and forensic signals weigh against that appearance. Investors weighing the stock today would be evaluating whether the upside drivers justify accepting the forensic and cash-flow risks flagged across these pillars.

Business

Valhi Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Materials sector and Major Chemicals industry, per the profile section. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. The gross margin of 14.2% and operating margin of 3% per the market data indicate a thin-margin operating profile. The market capitalization is $0.4B per the profile.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2077.0M$63.3M$-57.6MN/A$-82.1M$214.0MN/A
FY 2024$2104.8M$210.7M$108.0MN/A$13.1M$348.3MN/A
FY 2023$1921.7M$34.2M$-9.9MN/A$3.9MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue was broadly stable across the three periods while net income swung from $-9.9M to $108.0M and back to $-57.6M in FY 2025. Per the market data, net margin is -2.8% and ROIC is 6.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Cash declined from $348.3M to $214.0M between FY 2024 and FY 2025 per the SEC financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, the headlines are dominated by the announcement of the expected third-quarter 2026 earnings release date, which appears in two separate wire items. Additional items reference a TradingView Q3'26 EPS estimate of 0.85 USD, a MarketBeat report that the stock price broke below its 200-day moving average, a seasonal returns chart, and a Stock Traders Daily piece on price-sensitive allocations. Every news item carries a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the sector is Materials, the industry is Major Chemicals, the supply chain is listed as NONE, and there are no butterfly links or proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's principal products, customers, and geographic exposures, given that the source data provides only sector and industry classification?
  • Why is the FCF yield at -20.72% and what drove the swing in FY 2025 net income to $-57.6M from $108.0M in FY 2024?
  • What are the reported EPS, debt, and cash balances for FY 2023 and FY 2025, which are marked N/A or unavailable in the source data?
  • What do the forward earnings expectations look like for the Q3 2026 release, given only a single EPS estimate of 0.85 USD appears in the news wire?
  • What drove the decline in cash from $348.3M to $214.0M between FY 2024 and FY 2025, and how does that affect the balance sheet posture behind the Piotroski F-Score of 2/9?

VHI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Valhi Inc. (VHI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to VHI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VHI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.11?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VHI 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on VHI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.31 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is VHI (E • RQD 28/100) a Buy at $13.99?

Welcome to the VHI (Valhi Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 28/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Major Chemicals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.47 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $13.99

Pump the brakes on VHI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on VHI, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 14.2% gross margins. Unless Valhi Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $16.23 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $13.99

VHI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on VHI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Chemicals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $13.99 (52-wk range $11.44 - $19.19), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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