MARKET WIRETradingView • 1d ago
Ardmore Shipping Corporation Estimates – NYSE:ASCTradingView report covering Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ASC Stock dropped -6.72% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$19.56 -6.72% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.37
Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B • BUY
Cap $855.6M
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ASC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ASC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ardmore Shipping Corporation (NYSE: ASC) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $19.56 (-6.72% 1D, market cap $855.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ASC ranks #83 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ASC compare to SB and HSHP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), ASC carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.5%. By comparison, SB (Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value)) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 24.1x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $915.1M) and HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 44.4x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $759.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TK leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASC?
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Per ASC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001577437), Ardmore Shipping Corporation generated $310.2M in revenue (-23.6% YoY), $41.0M in net income, and $81.6M in free cash flow against $788.7M in total assets and $127.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.37 (-0.97%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 26.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ASC SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 84% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 61.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (22% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 8 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade A$20.13-6.3% Next Q
82
Q2 (-2Q)Grade A-$18.87+8.2% Next Q
79
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B+$20.42-4.2% Next Q
77
CurrentGrade B$19.56+7.3% Hist 90D α
74
Trajectory: A (82) → B (74)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ASC Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 74/100 (B) score, ASC faces multiple-compression risk if 21.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.93) or 200D SMA ($16.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($20.97) toward Bear Floor ($16.04).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ASC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ASC Stock dropped -6.72% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) dropped -6.72% to $19.56, trading at 84% of its 52-week range ($10.31 – $21.35). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 84% of its 52-week range ($10.31 – $21.35) with RSI-14 at 61.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.5% around $19.56 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $81.6M annual free cash flow.
Live ASC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREStockInvest.us • 1d ago
Ardmore Shipping Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy ASC?StockInvest.us report covering Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
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MARKET WIREad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago
Ardmore Shipping stock trades 9.47 percent below its 52-week highad-hoc-news.de report covering Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHMarketBeat • 1d ago
Ardmore Shipping (NYSE:ASC) Stock Dropped to Buy by Wall Street ZenMarketBeat report covering Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago
Ardmore Shipping sets November 3 results date for Ardmore Shipping stockad-hoc-news.de report covering Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMarketBeat • 1d ago
Ardmore Shipping (NYSE:ASC) Hits New 52-Week High - Should You Buy?MarketBeat report covering Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
3 Fuel Stocks With Direct Exposure to Tight Refining MarketsFuel markets are back in the spotlight after Shell reported adjusted quarterly earnings of $10.81b, record refining margins of $42 per barrel and a fresh $5b buyback, reminding investors how powerful refining and marketi
MARKET WIREYahoo • 11d ago
Ardmore Shipping Announces Third Quarter 2026 Conference Call and WebcastArdmore Shipping Corporation (NYSE: ASC) ("Ardmore" or the "Company") today announced that the Company plans to announce its third quarter earnings before the market opens on Tuesday, November 3, 2026 and will host a con
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ASC Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ASC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.44%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $21.30H $21.30L $19.56C $19.56VOL 460.8K
RES: $21.56SUP: $18.44SMA50: $18.93SMA200: $16.70
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ASC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
14.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -23.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASC)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #83 of 1009
⚔️ SB vs ASC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ASC vs. SB, HSHP, GNK, TK)
Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) ranks #83 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #527 by equity capitalization ($855.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TK leads on earnings valuation at 13.2x trailing P/E, while TK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.6% ROIC and 66.6% gross margin. TK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with ASC at 74/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASC
ACTIVE
Ardmore Shipping Corporation | B | 74/100 | 21.2x | — | 6.5% | -6.72% | $855.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| SB Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value) | C | 63/100 | 24.1x | — | 4.6% | -6.74% | $915.1M | /sb-vs-asc → |
| HSHP Himalaya Shipping Ltd. | D+ | 54/100 | 44.4x | 78.8% | 6.8% | -5.54% | $759.2M | /hshp-vs-asc → |
| GNK Genco Shipping & Trading Limited New (Marshall Islands) | D | 49/100 | — | — | 0.6% | -5.46% | $1.14B | /gnk-vs-asc → |
| TK Teekay Corporation Ltd. | B+ | 76/100 | 13.2x | 66.6% | 19.6% | -5.32% | $1.29B | /tk-vs-asc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001577437 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) reported GAAP revenue of $310.2M (-23.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $405.8M , and -21.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $41.0M, operating cash flow of $81.6M, and free cash flow of $81.6M (-49.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASC closed FY2025 with $788.7M in total assets against $127.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $310.2M | $41.0M | $81.6M | $81.6M | $788.7M | $127.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $405.8M | $133.0M | $160.4M | $160.4M | $704.8M | $38.8M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $396.0M | $116.8M | $159.6M | $159.6M | — | — |
3. ASC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ASC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Ardmore Shipping Corporation (NYSE: ASC) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $19.56 (-6.72% 1D, market cap $855.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ASC ranks #83 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ASC compare to SB and HSHP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), ASC carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.5%. By comparison, SB (Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value)) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 24.1x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $915.1M) and HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 44.4x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $759.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TK leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASC?
Per ASC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001577437), Ardmore Shipping Corporation generated $310.2M in revenue (-23.6% YoY), $41.0M in net income, and $81.6M in free cash flow against $788.7M in total assets and $127.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ASC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ASC last traded at $19.56 (-6.72% on volume of 833,785 shares), positioning the stock +3.33% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.93) and +17.13% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.70). Across its 52-week range of $10.31 to $21.35, ASC sits at the 83.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($17.90 to $21.22).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 74/100 (B)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
ASC — Ardmore Shipping Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 74/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $19.56 (-6.72% 1D, market capitalization $855.6M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 9.39%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (18/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.20x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Ardmore Shipping Corporation is a NYSE-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Marine Transportation industry. Net margin is 13.2% per the market data.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) reported $310.2M in annual revenue (up from $405.8M in FY2024, -23.6% YoY) and $41.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($396.0M revenue, $116.8M net income) through FY2025, ASC scaled operating cash flow to $81.6M and free cash flow to $81.6M, backed by $788.7M in total assets against $127.0M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 74/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $10.31 – $21.35 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 21.2x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals, so supply-chain dependencies, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the source data.
- Key Question #1: Can ASC sustain or expand its — operating margin and 6.5% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $310.2M and free cash flow of $81.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $127.0M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is ASC's 19.7x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
ASC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
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🟡 MARKET WIRE ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago
Ardmore Shipping stock trades 9.47 percent below its 52-week high ad-hoc-news.de report covering Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
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Ardmore Shipping (NYSE:ASC) Stock Dropped to Buy by Wall Street Zen MarketBeat report covering Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
ASC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.56?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ASC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $24.12 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 18 of 20 on a beta of 1.0, the strongest pillar in the score.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 18 of 20 on a beta of 1.0, the strongest pillar in the score.. When you look under the hood at ASC, Fundamental Cash Engine is 13/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 6.5% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (16/20) has been quietly accumulating below $21.35. My 12M target is $24.12.
RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL
@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 16/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $20.97 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.
ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $17.61 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $20.97 Per the SEC financials, net income fell from $133.0M in FY 2024 to $41.0M in FY 2025 while debt rose from $38.8M to $127.0M.
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on ASC: Per the SEC financials, net income fell from $133.0M in FY 2024 to $41.0M in FY 2025 while debt rose from $38.8M to $127.0M.. At 21.2x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Marine Transportation triggers a 12-15% air pocket.