What is ASC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ASC's 12-month base price target is $22.48 (range $17.2 to $26.53), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ASC

SB (63) HSHP (54) GNK (49) TK (76) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell ASC stock right now?

Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy — BUY) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

$20.97 -1.55% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.96

Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $855.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ASC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ASC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Ardmore Shipping Corporation (NYSE: ASC) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $20.97 (-1.55% 1D, market cap $855.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ASC ranks #83 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ASC compare to SB and HSHP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), ASC carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.5%. By comparison, SB (Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value)) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 24.1x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $915.1M) and HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 44.4x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $759.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TK leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASC?

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Per ASC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001577437), Ardmore Shipping Corporation generated $310.2M in revenue (-23.6% YoY), $41.0M in net income, and $81.6M in free cash flow against $788.7M in total assets and $127.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.96 (-0.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 26.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ASC SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 97% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 61.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 8 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$20.13-6.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$18.87+8.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$20.42+2.7% Next Q

Current

Grade B$20.97+7.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ASC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, ASC faces multiple-compression risk if 21.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.93) or 200D SMA ($16.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.48) toward Bear Floor ($17.20).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ASC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 74%NO 26%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

61.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE97% OF RANGE

L: $10$20.97H: $21

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on ASC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (65)

6.5% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 9.39% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (82)

31/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 18/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ASC

✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ASC Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ASC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.05%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $21.30H $21.30L $20.97C $20.97VOL 460.8K

RES: $21.56SUP: $18.44SMA50: $18.93SMA200: $16.70

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ASC Butterfly Map → + Track ASC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

14.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -23.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #83 of 1009 ⚔️ SB vs ASC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ASC vs. SB, HSHP, GNK, TK)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) ranks #83 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #527 by equity capitalization ($855.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TK leads on earnings valuation at 13.2x trailing P/E, while TK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.6% ROIC and 66.6% gross margin. TK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with ASC at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ASC ACTIVE Ardmore Shipping Corporation	B	74/100	21.2x	—	6.5%	-1.55%	$855.6M	Benchmark Subject
SB Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value)	C	63/100	24.1x	—	4.6%	-1.35%	$915.1M	/sb-vs-asc →
HSHP Himalaya Shipping Ltd.	D+	54/100	44.4x	78.8%	6.8%	-3.33%	$759.2M	/hshp-vs-asc →
GNK Genco Shipping & Trading Limited New (Marshall Islands)	D	49/100	—	—	0.6%	-1.76%	$1.14B	/gnk-vs-asc →
TK Teekay Corporation Ltd.	B+	76/100	13.2x	66.6%	19.6%	-0.27%	$1.29B	/tk-vs-asc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001577437 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) reported GAAP revenue of $310.2M (-23.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $405.8M , and -21.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $41.0M, operating cash flow of $81.6M, and free cash flow of $81.6M (-49.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASC closed FY2025 with $788.7M in total assets against $127.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$310.2M	$41.0M	$81.6M	$81.6M	$788.7M	$127.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$405.8M	$133.0M	$160.4M	$160.4M	$704.8M	$38.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$396.0M	$116.8M	$159.6M	$159.6M	—	—

3. ASC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ASC compare to SB and HSHP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASC?

Where is ASC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASC last traded at $20.97 (-1.55% on volume of 460,817 shares), positioning the stock +10.78% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.93) and +25.57% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.70). Across its 52-week range of $10.31 to $21.35, ASC sits at the 96.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($19.19 to $22.75).

Direct Sub-Reports: ASC RQD Cockpit ASC 12M Forecast ASC Earnings & Move ASC Dividends & DRIP ASC Insiders & 13F ASC Whale Options ASC Profit Sankey ASC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 74/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ASC — Ardmore Shipping Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 74/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $20.97 (-1.55% 1D, market capitalization $855.6M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 9.39%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (18/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.20x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ardmore Shipping Corporation is a NYSE-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Marine Transportation industry. Net margin is 13.2% per the market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) reported $310.2M in annual revenue (up from $405.8M in FY2024, -23.6% YoY) and $41.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($396.0M revenue, $116.8M net income) through FY2025, ASC scaled operating cash flow to $81.6M and free cash flow to $81.6M, backed by $788.7M in total assets against $127.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 74/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $10.31 – $21.35 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 21.2x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals, so supply-chain dependencies, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the source data.

Key Question #1: Can ASC sustain or expand its — operating margin and 6.5% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $310.2M and free cash flow of $81.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $127.0M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is ASC's 19.7x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ASC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ASC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 23h ago

Ardmore Shipping Corporation Estimates – NYSE:ASC

TradingView report covering Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE StockInvest.us • 1d ago

Ardmore Shipping Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy ASC?

StockInvest.us report covering Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Ardmore Shipping (NYSE:ASC) Shares Climb 3.6% - Here's What Happened

MarketBeat report covering Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Ardmore Shipping (NYSE:ASC) Hits New 1-Year High - Time to Buy?

MarketBeat report covering Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago

Ardmore Shipping stock trades 9.47 percent below its 52-week high

ad-hoc-news.de report covering Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH MarketBeat • 1d ago

Ardmore Shipping (NYSE:ASC) Stock Dropped to Buy by Wall Street Zen

MarketBeat report covering Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago

Ardmore Shipping sets November 3 results date for Ardmore Shipping stock

ad-hoc-news.de report covering Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Ardmore Shipping (NYSE:ASC) Hits New 52-Week High - Should You Buy?

MarketBeat report covering Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ASC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.97?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ASC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $24.12 (+15.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 18 of 20 on a beta of 1.0, the strongest pillar in the score.

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 18 of 20 on a beta of 1.0, the strongest pillar in the score.. When you look under the hood at ASC, Fundamental Cash Engine is 13/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 6.5% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (16/20) has been quietly accumulating below $21.35. My 12M target is $24.12.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 16/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $20.97 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.61 (-16.0%)

Spot @ $20.97

Per the SEC financials, net income fell from $133.0M in FY 2024 to $41.0M in FY 2025 while debt rose from $38.8M to $127.0M.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on ASC: Per the SEC financials, net income fell from $133.0M in FY 2024 to $41.0M in FY 2025 while debt rose from $38.8M to $127.0M.. At 21.2x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Marine Transportation triggers a 12-15% air pocket.