Aptiv PLC (APTV) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.1% Move

$43.93 -1.12% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $43.76

Aptiv PLC (APTV) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $9.23B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is APTV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Aptiv PLC (NYSE: APTV) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $43.93 (-1.12% 1D, market cap $9.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, APTV ranks #536 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does APTV compare to ALSN and ALV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), APTV carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 55.9x, gross margin of 19.1%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, ALSN (Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 14.6x, ROIC 21.3%, cap $9.08B) and ALV (Autoliv Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 23.2%, cap $8.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALV leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while ALV leads on capital efficiency (23.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APTV?
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Per APTV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001521332), Aptiv PLC generated $20.40B in revenue (+3.5% YoY), $165.0M in net income, and $1.27B in free cash flow against $23.41B in total assets and $7.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $43.76 (-0.39%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 6.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510051
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (13)Whales (7)SEC (11)Macro (8)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
$93 Bull$43 Base$33 Bear
📬 FREE APTV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for APTV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY APTV SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.2% FCF Margin ($1.27B FCF) & 19.1% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$44.26+1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$45.06-3.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$43.65+0.6% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$43.93-1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a APTV Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While APTV currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($44.49) and Max Pain ($46.13) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $93.38.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $APTV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “APTV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.1% Swing Band

±$2.24 Expected Swing
$41.69 (-5.1%)Spot $43.93$46.17 (+5.1%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

APTV Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 51/100

Trailing EPS: $0.79 • YoY Revenue Growth: 3.5%

Model Bullish Setup (51/100)Model Risk Weight (49/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$20.40B$165.0M$1.27B19.1%
FY 20242024-12-31$19.71B$1.79B$1.56B18.8%
FY 20232023-12-31$20.05B$2.94B$993.7M19.1%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring APTV)

  • ✓Walkthrough of APTV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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APTV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.21%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $44.08H $44.43L $43.93C $43.93VOL 2.45M
RES: $45.19SUP: $39.14SMA50: $44.49SMA200: $59.35
$81.05$70.44$59.82$49.20$38.59RES $45.19SUP $39.14$43.932026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

APTV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
39.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on APTV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for APTV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for APTV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (APTV)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #536 of 1011 ⚔️ ALSN vs APTV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (APTV vs. ALSN, ALV, BWA, MOD)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aptiv PLC (APTV) ranks #536 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #178 by equity capitalization ($9.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALV leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while ALV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.2% ROIC and 19.2% gross margin. ALV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with APTV at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
APTV ACTIVE
Aptiv PLC
D 51/100 55.9x 19.1% 6.2% -1.12% $9.23B Benchmark Subject
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.
C- 61/100 14.6x 48.6% 21.3% -1.75% $9.08B /alsn-vs-aptv →
ALV
Autoliv Inc.
C+ 69/100 11.5x 19.2% 23.2% +0.50% $8.42B /alv-vs-aptv →
BWA
BorgWarner Inc.
D- 37/100 39.2x 18.7% 5.5% -3.13% $10.86B /bwa-vs-aptv →
MOD
Modine Manufacturing Company
D+ 54/100 60.8x 23.0% 17.0% -6.51% $7.38B /mod-vs-aptv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001521332

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Aptiv PLC (APTV) reported GAAP revenue of $20.40B (+3.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $19.71B , and +1.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $165.0M, operating cash flow of $2.19B, and free cash flow of $1.27B (-18.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, APTV closed FY2025 with $23.41B in total assets against $7.47B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.00, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $20.40B $165.0M $2.19B $1.27B $23.41B $7.47B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $19.71B $1.79B $2.45B $1.56B $23.46B $7.84B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $20.05B $2.94B $1.90B $993.7M $24.06B $5.63B

3. APTV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is APTV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Aptiv PLC (NYSE: APTV) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $43.93 (-1.12% 1D, market cap $9.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, APTV ranks #536 in composite RQD confidence.

How does APTV compare to ALSN and ALV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), APTV carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 55.9x, gross margin of 19.1%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, ALSN (Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 14.6x, ROIC 21.3%, cap $9.08B) and ALV (Autoliv Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 23.2%, cap $8.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALV leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while ALV leads on capital efficiency (23.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APTV?

Per APTV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001521332), Aptiv PLC generated $20.40B in revenue (+3.5% YoY), $165.0M in net income, and $1.27B in free cash flow against $23.41B in total assets and $7.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is APTV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

APTV last traded at $43.93 (-1.12% on volume of 2,241,603 shares), positioning the stock -1.26% below its 50-day simple moving average ($44.49) and -25.98% below its 200-day simple moving average ($59.35). Across its 52-week range of $41.88 to $88.93, APTV sits at the 4.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($41.69 to $46.17).

APTV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is APTV's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Aptiv PLC (APTV)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is APTV stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.1% event move for APTV, spanning a range between $41.69 and $46.17.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 51/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

APTV — Aptiv PLC: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:17:07Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, APTV scores 51 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 6.2% and an FCF yield of 13.74%. The FCF yield is high relative to the thin reported margins, which suggests cash generation is stronger than accounting profit, but the ROIC figure indicates modest returns on capital.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar measures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is weak, and the source data contains no 13F detail to explain it.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderate, and the underlying transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.15 and sector sensitivity. A beta above 1.0 implies the stock has historically moved more than the broader market, so it amplifies market swings in both directions.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 2, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.81. These are mid-range readings that do not signal acute distress but do not offer a strong safety margin either.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a mixed picture. Upside drivers are the cash-flow yield and the stock's 52-week decline from $88.93 to a current $44.43. Valuation tradeoffs are significant: per the market data, the P/E (TTM) is 55.9 against EPS (TTM) of 0.79, while EV/EBITDA is 7.7. Those two multiples point in different directions, and the gap largely reflects the thin net margin of 0.8%. The rating's "Distribution Warning" verdict signals that the rating framework sees more risk than reward at present. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$44.43$9.23B55.9527.70.790%1.15$41.88 - $88.936.2%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$20398.0M$1184.0M$165.0MN/A$1267.1M$1575.0M$7467.0M
FY 2024$19713.0M$1842.0M$1787.0MN/A$1558.9M$1573.0M$7843.0M
FY 2023$20051.0M$1559.0M$2938.0MN/A$993.7MN/A$5630.3M

Per the SEC financials, revenue was broadly flat across the three periods, while net income fell sharply from $2938.0M in FY 2023 to $165.0M in FY 2025. Per the market data, gross margin is 19.1%, operating margin is 5.8%, and net margin is 0.8%. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 6.2%, the Altman Z-Score is 2, and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Per the SEC financials, debt rose from $5630.3M in FY 2023 to $7467.0M in FY 2025 while cash was $1575.0M at FY 2025 year-end.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news feed, the catalysts are as follows:

  • Green (Catalyst): A Motley-style headline notes a 12-hour-old report that BlackBerry rallied on a QNX backlog while Aptiv "dips," indicating APTV traded lower in that session as a related name.
  • Red (Risk Watch): A Yahoo Finance item reports that APTV wrapped four months of losses and that Goldman Sachs sees further demand risk amid China concerns.
  • Yellow (Market Wire): Four items cover APTV market action and positioning, including a headline that the stock "still looks cheap" after a 69% five-year slide, a note on upcoming Q3 earnings, and a Simply Wall St forecast page.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's primary products, customers, and revenue segments, given that the source data describes only sector and industry?
  • What drove the decline in net income from $2938.0M in FY 2023 to $165.0M in FY 2025, and is the reported EPS "N/A" a data gap or a reporting issue?
  • How much of the increase in debt from $5630.3M to $7467.0M is tied to specific acquisitions, refinancing, or operating needs?
  • What is the actual demand exposure to China, and how large is it relative to total revenue, per the Goldman Sachs reference?
  • What do the upcoming Q3 earnings expectations look like, and what outcome would validate or invalidate the current RQD rating?

APTV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Aptiv PLC (APTV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to APTV Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

APTV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $43.93?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON APTV 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on APTV:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $47.98 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is APTV (D • RQD 51/100) a Buy at $44.43?

Welcome to the APTV (Aptiv PLC) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 51/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Auto Parts:O.E.M.. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (55.9x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $33.77 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $44.43

Pump the brakes on APTV — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on APTV, but look at what you are paying: 55.9x trailing P/E with 19.1% gross margins. Unless Aptiv PLC expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $51.98 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $44.43

APTV cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on APTV, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Parts:O.E.M. and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $44.43 (52-wk range $41.88 - $88.93), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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