ROARABLE
Today ⌘ Pro Terminal Big Ideas 🎲 Predictions Screener πŸ¦‹ Butterfly 8 Analysts πŸ›οΈ Policy 🎬 Video β˜… Watchlist 🎲 Prediction Markets πŸ“Š RQD Track Record πŸ“… Next Catalysts πŸ›‘οΈ Overlap & Crash X-Ray πŸ“° Live Wire πŸ‹ 13F Whales πŸ›οΈ Congress & CEO Buys πŸ† $100K Arena ⌘ Pro Terminal πŸ“ Methodology & Corrections
Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ALSN / options
APTV (51) ALV (69) BWA (37) MOD (54) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$108.05 -1.75% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $107.50

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) β†’
ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $9.08B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ALSN Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALSN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (NYSE: ALSN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $108.05 (-1.75% 1D, market cap $9.08B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ALSN ranks #316 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALSN compare to APTV and ALV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), ALSN carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.6x, gross margin of 48.6%, and ROIC of 21.3%. By comparison, APTV (Aptiv PLC) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 55.9x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $9.23B) and ALV (Autoliv Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 23.2%, cap $8.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALV leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while ALV leads on capital efficiency (23.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALSN?
β–Ό

Per ALSN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001411207), Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. generated $3.01B in revenue (-6.7% YoY), $623.0M in net income, and $661.0M in free cash flow against $6.08B in total assets and $2.88B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (49% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $107.50 (-0.51%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) β€’ 22% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.9% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- Β· Rk D
Cash (16)Whales (9)SEC (12)Macro (7)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target
$145 Bull$110 Base$85 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ALSN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALSN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ALSN SCORES 61/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 22% FCF Margin ($661.0M FCF) & 48.6% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45.3) create a -13 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
69
Grade B-$111.62-1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$109.66-1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$107.67+0.4% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$108.05+0.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (69) β†’ C- (61)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ALSN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, ALSN faces multiple-compression risk if 14.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($116.85) or 200D SMA ($118.47) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($109.51) toward Bear Floor ($85.42).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALSNβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œALSN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±5.7%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ALSN)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ALSN.

Sponsored / Partner SpotlightACTIVE TRADER & PROP EVALUATION DESK

Practice in Our Weekly $100,000 Paper Arena Before Risking Personal Capital

Keep your personal nest egg in cash while trading NQ, ES, Crude, and Gold momentum using institutional prop-desk buying power.

FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

πŸ† Enter Free $100K Paper Arena β†’
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ALSN & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ALSN
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) β†’$100K Arena
ALSN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.27%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $109.3H $110.0L $108.1C $108.1VOL 664.6K
RES: $135.6SUP: $105.3SMA50: $116.9SMA200: $118.5
$137.1$127.1$117.1$107.2$97.19RES $135.6SUP $105.3$108.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALSN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ ALSN Butterfly Map β†’ + Track ALSN β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
6.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALSN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALSN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALSN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALSN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #316 of 1011 βš”οΈ APTV vs ALSN Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ALSN vs. APTV, ALV, BWA, MOD)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) ranks #316 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #181 by equity capitalization ($9.08B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALV leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while ALV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.2% ROIC and 19.2% gross margin. ALV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with ALSN at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALSN ACTIVE
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.
C- 61/100 14.6x 48.6% 21.3% -1.75% $9.08B Benchmark Subject
APTV
Aptiv PLC
D 51/100 55.9x 19.1% 6.2% -1.12% $9.23B /aptv-vs-alsn β†’
ALV
Autoliv Inc.
C+ 69/100 11.5x 19.2% 23.2% +0.50% $8.42B /alv-vs-alsn β†’
BWA
BorgWarner Inc.
D- 37/100 39.2x 18.7% 5.5% -3.13% $10.86B /bwa-vs-alsn β†’
MOD
Modine Manufacturing Company
D+ 54/100 60.8x 23.0% 17.0% -6.51% $7.38B /mod-vs-alsn β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001411207

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.01B (-6.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.23B , and -0.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $623.0M, operating cash flow of $836.0M, and free cash flow of $661.0M (+0.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALSN closed FY2025 with $6.08B in total assets against $2.88B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.61, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.01B $623.0M $836.0M $661.0M $6.08B $2.88B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.23B $731.0M $801.0M $658.0M $5.34B $2.40B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.04B $673.0M $784.0M $647.4M $5.00B $1.17B

3. ALSN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALSN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (NYSE: ALSN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $108.05 (-1.75% 1D, market cap $9.08B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ALSN ranks #316 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALSN compare to APTV and ALV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), ALSN carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.6x, gross margin of 48.6%, and ROIC of 21.3%. By comparison, APTV (Aptiv PLC) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 55.9x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $9.23B) and ALV (Autoliv Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 23.2%, cap $8.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALV leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while ALV leads on capital efficiency (23.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALSN?

Per ALSN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001411207), Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. generated $3.01B in revenue (-6.7% YoY), $623.0M in net income, and $661.0M in free cash flow against $6.08B in total assets and $2.88B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (49% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALSN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALSN last traded at $108.05 (-1.75% on volume of 656,791 shares), positioning the stock -7.53% below its 50-day simple moving average ($116.85) and -8.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($118.47). Across its 52-week range of $78.19 to $137.62, ALSN sits at the 50.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.7% ($101.89 to $114.21).

ALSN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is ALSN's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ALSN.

Direct Sub-Reports: ALSN RQD Cockpit ALSN 12M Forecast ALSN Earnings & Move ALSN Dividends & DRIP ALSN Insiders & 13F ALSN Whale Options ALSN Profit Sankey ALSN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 61/100 (C-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ALSN β€” Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:17:10Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ALSN scores 61 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with a verdict of "Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (16 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 21.3% and an FCF yield of 7.28%. These are the strongest inputs in the rating and point to efficient capital use and meaningful free cash generation relative to the market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow (9 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score in the lower-middle range. The source data does not include 13F holdings detail, so the drivers of this score cannot be verified here.
  • Insider Conviction (17 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is the highest-scoring pillar. The underlying transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, the beta of 0.98 and sector sensitivity score low. This suggests the stock's sensitivity to the broader market and its sector cycle is a meaningful constraint in the current rating framework.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (12 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score of 2.61, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.55 support a moderate score. Leverage is a visible tradeoff.

For a prospective investor, the rating describes a business with strong returns on capital and solid cash generation, offset by a macro-sensitivity profile and a leveraged balance sheet. The valuation (P/E TTM of 14.6, forward P/E of 13.6) is presented in the source as moderate relative to the company's cash generation, but whether that discount is attractive depends on how the forensic and macro pillars evolve. The rating is a structured summary of the source data, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
109.98$9.08B14.613.610.27.541%0.98$78.19 - $137.6221.3%

Business

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Auto Parts:O.E.M. industry, per the company profile. The source data does not itemize the company's products, customers, or revenue model beyond these classifications. Per the SEC financials, the company reported revenue of $3010.0M for FY 2025, indicating its operating scale. How the company makes money beyond this figure is not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$3010.0M$880.0M$623.0MN/A$661.0M$1495.0M$2885.0M
FY 2024$3225.0M$992.0M$731.0MN/A$658.0M$781.0M$2395.0M
FY 2023$3035.0M$919.0M$673.0MN/A$647.4MN/A$1168.8M

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $3225.0M in FY 2024 to $3010.0M in FY 2025, and net income fell from $731.0M to $623.0M, while free cash flow held near $661.0M. Per the market data, the gross margin is 48.6%, operating margin 29.2%, and net margin 20.7%, with ROIC at 21.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.61 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Debt rose from $1168.8M in FY 2023 to $2885.0M in FY 2025, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 1.55, so the balance sheet has taken on more leverage over the reported periods.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all related to ALSN, each flagged "RISK WATCH" with a RED light. Headlines include a Yahoo Finance piece asking whether auto-tire-truck stocks are lagging ALSN this year, a Seeking Alpha piece titled that the stock is "Too Cheap To Drive Past," a Benzinga five-year ownership return piece, a Simply Wall St forecast and analyst predictions piece, a Yahoo Finance piece on whether the options market is predicting a spike, and a MarketBeat piece reporting a move to "Strong-Buy" by Zacks Research. The summaries are generic and do not disclose underlying figures, so the content of each claim cannot be verified from the source data. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific products, end markets, and customer concentration behind the $3010.0M FY 2025 revenue?
  • Why did revenue and net income decline from FY 2024 to FY 2025, and what drove the increase in debt from $2395.0M to $2885.0M?
  • The EPS field is N/A for all reported periods; what is the reconciled per-share earnings history?
  • What are the consensus rating, price targets, and any 13F or insider transactions behind the RQD pillar scores?
  • What sector and supply-chain dependencies explain the beta of 0.98 and the low macro-regime fit score?

ALSN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ALSN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALSN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $108.05?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALSN 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALSN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $118.78 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ALSN (C- β€’ RQD 61/100) a Buy at $109.98?

Welcome to the ALSN (Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 61/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral) in Auto Parts:O.E.M.. Bulls point to capital efficiency (21.3% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $91.28 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $109.98

Pump the brakes on ALSN β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ALSN, but look at what you are paying: 14.6x trailing P/E with 48.6% gross margins. Unless Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $131.98 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $109.98

ALSN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ALSN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Parts:O.E.M. and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $109.98 (52-wk range $78.19 - $137.62), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%