Assurant Inc. (AIZ) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$292.80 +0.04% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $293.52

Assurant Inc. (AIZ) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 5% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B β€’ BUY Cap $14.44B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AIZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Assurant Inc. (NYSE: AIZ) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $292.80 (+0.04% 1D, market cap $14.44B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AIZ ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AIZ compare to RNR and EG in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), AIZ carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.5x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 5.0%. By comparison, RNR (RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 5.1x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $13.68B) and EG (Everest Group Ltd.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 9.7x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $15.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNR leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while CNA leads on capital efficiency (19.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIZ?
β–Ό

Per AIZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001267238), Assurant Inc. generated $12.81B in revenue (+7.9% YoY), $872.7M in net income, and $1.60B in free cash flow against $36.29B in total assets and $13.69B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $293.53 (+0.25%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 12.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 69.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B
025507510075
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ Β· Rk B-
Cash (14)Whales (16)SEC (15)Macro (13)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.7% Base Target
$372 Bull$315 Base$240 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AIZ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AIZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (75/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AIZ SCORES 75/100 (B) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±4% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (65.4) create a -7 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$270.99+4.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$283.61+0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
72
Grade B$286.30+2.3% Next Q
Current
75
Grade B$292.80+7.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (67) β†’ B (75)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AIZ Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 75/100 (B) score, AIZ faces multiple-compression risk if 16.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($279.02) or 200D SMA ($255.09) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($315.20) toward Bear Floor ($240.10).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AIZβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAIZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AIZ)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for AIZ.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating AIZ & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on AIZ
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AIZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +27.79%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $285.0H $292.8L $285.0C $292.8VOL 313.3K
RES: $298.1SUP: $255.8SMA50: $279.0SMA200: $255.1
$309.8$285.6$261.4$237.2$213.0RES $298.1SUP $255.8$292.82026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AIZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AIZ today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AIZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AIZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AIZ)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AIZ vs. RNR, EG, BNT, CNA)

Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Assurant Inc. (AIZ) ranks #32 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #144 by equity capitalization ($14.44B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RNR leads on earnings valuation at 5.1x trailing P/E, while CNA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.7% ROIC and β€” gross margin. AIZ currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 75/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AIZ ACTIVE
Assurant Inc.
B 75/100 16.5x β€” 5.0% +0.04% $14.44B Benchmark Subject
RNR
RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.
B 75/100 5.1x β€” 10.6% +0.20% $13.68B /rnr-vs-aiz β†’
EG
Everest Group Ltd.
B 74/100 9.7x β€” 5.5% +2.59% $15.36B /eg-vs-aiz β†’
BNT
Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. Class A Exchangeable Limited Voting Shares
D 48/100 β€” β€” β€” -0.61% $13.33B /bnt-vs-aiz β†’
CNA
CNA Financial Corporation
B 73/100 10.3x β€” 19.7% -0.39% $13.22B /cna-vs-aiz β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001267238

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Assurant Inc. (AIZ) reported GAAP revenue of $12.81B (+7.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.88B , and +15.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $872.7M, operating cash flow of $1.83B, and free cash flow of $1.60B (+43.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, AIZ closed FY2025 with $36.29B in total assets against $13.69B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $12.81B $872.7M $1.83B $1.60B $36.29B $13.69B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $11.88B $760.2M $1.33B $1.11B $35.02B $13.46B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $11.13B $642.5M $1.14B $637.2M $13.36B $3.13B

3. AIZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AIZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Assurant Inc. (NYSE: AIZ) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $292.80 (+0.04% 1D, market cap $14.44B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AIZ ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AIZ compare to RNR and EG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), AIZ carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.5x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 5.0%. By comparison, RNR (RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 5.1x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $13.68B) and EG (Everest Group Ltd.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 9.7x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $15.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNR leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while CNA leads on capital efficiency (19.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIZ?

Per AIZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001267238), Assurant Inc. generated $12.81B in revenue (+7.9% YoY), $872.7M in net income, and $1.60B in free cash flow against $36.29B in total assets and $13.69B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AIZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AIZ last traded at $292.80 (+0.04% on volume of 321,581 shares), positioning the stock +4.94% above its 50-day simple moving average ($279.02) and +14.78% above its 200-day simple moving average ($255.09). Across its 52-week range of $207.78 to $303.94, AIZ sits at the 88.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±4.0% ($281.09 to $304.51).

AIZ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is AIZ's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for AIZ.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 75/100 (B) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AIZ β€” Assurant Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:52Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AIZ scores 75 out of 100, graded B and labeled "Roarable Buy β€” Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 5% and an FCF yield of 11.07%. A high FCF yield alongside modest ROIC suggests cash generation is strong relative to the market value, while the return on invested capital is comparatively thin.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source does not itemize the underlying holder data, so the magnitude of accumulation cannot be verified here.
  • Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this is the highest-scoring pillar and reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The specific transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects a beta of 0.92 and sector sensitivity. A beta below 1.0 indicates the stock has historically moved less than the broad market in the source's framing, which typically implies lower sensitivity to market-wide swings.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5.

For a prospective investor, the upside drivers embedded in this rating are the strong insider and institutional signal scores and the high FCF yield. The valuation tradeoff is that the P/E (TTM) of 16.5 and EV/EBITDA of 20.1 sit alongside a modest 5% ROIC, so the price already reflects meaningful expectations. The low beta suggests a defensive profile, but the sector-sensitivity component limits how much of that defensiveness the rating credits. The 75 score is a composite of these tradeoffs, not a standalone endorsement.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
292.69$14.44B16.515.320.117.691.17%0.92$207.78 - $303.945%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$12814.3M$1029.8M$872.7MN/A$1598.4M$1834.1M$13688.1M
FY 2024$11877.5M$897.0M$760.2MN/A$1111.4M$1807.7M$13461.3M
FY 2023$11131.6M$758.1M$642.5MN/A$637.2MN/A$3125.8M

Per the market data, operating margin is 8.3%, net margin is 6.8%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 5%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9. Per the same rating, Debt/Equity is 0.5; the SEC financials show debt rising from $3125.8M in FY 2023 to $13688.1M in FY 2025, a figure that should be reconciled against the Debt/Equity reading.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, six AIZ-related items were published, each from a Yahoo Finance, TradingView, Benzinga, or Simply Wall St report. Headlines carry light signals as follows:

  • GREEN (Catalyst): a Yahoo Finance piece on whether AIZ is outperforming other finance stocks this year, and a TradingView piece on an upcoming third-quarter earnings beat.
  • YELLOW (Market Wire): a Yahoo Finance piece asking whether value investors should buy, a Benzinga 15-year return piece, a Simply Wall St piece on fair value, and a Yahoo Finance piece asking whether finance stocks are lagging AIZ.

The news items are headlines and summaries only; their underlying content is not provided. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals or supply-chain links are recorded. Risk watch items drawn from the wire are limited to the third-quarter earnings expectation, which the headline frames as a question rather than an outcome.

Open Questions

  • What drives the reported change in debt from $3125.8M (FY 2023) to $13688.1M (FY 2025), and how does that reconcile with the Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5?
  • Why is EPS reported as N/A across all three periods while TTM EPS is 17.69, and what is the reported EPS trend?
  • What are the specific insider, 13F, and Congressional transactions underlying the high insider-conviction score?
  • Why is gross margin reported as 0% and cash for FY 2023 as N/A, and does the FY 2023 cash figure exist in the filings?
  • What is the company's business mix and revenue model, since the source data does not describe its products or segments?

AIZ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Assurant Inc. (AIZ) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to AIZ Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AIZ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $292.80?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AIZ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AIZ:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $345.37 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AIZ (B β€’ RQD 75/100) a Buy at $292.69?

Welcome to the AIZ (Assurant Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 75/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Good Risk/Reward) in Property-Casualty Insurers. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $237.08 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $292.69

Pump the brakes on AIZ β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AIZ, but look at what you are paying: 16.5x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Assurant Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $371.72 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $292.69

AIZ cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AIZ, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Property-Casualty Insurers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $292.69 (52-wk range $207.78 - $303.94), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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