FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts

American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$130.33 +0.09% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $130.10

American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $70.90B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AEP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AEP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, American Electric Power Company Inc. (NASDAQ: AEP) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $130.33 (+0.09% 1D, market cap $70.90B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, AEP ranks #23 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AEP compare to D and CEG in the Utilities sector?
▼

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), AEP carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, D (Dominion Energy Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $58.59B) and CEG (Constellation Energy Corporation) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 40.4x, ROIC 13.4%, cap $92.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AEP leads on earnings multiple (17.0x) while CEG leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AEP?
▼

Per AEP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000004904), American Electric Power Company Inc. generated $21.70B in revenue (+8.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $5.97B in free cash flow against $114.46B in total assets and $44.13B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $130.11 (-0.17%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 27.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C-
Cash (10)Whales (14)SEC (10)Macro (14)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$158 Bull$134 Base$104 Bear
📬 FREE AEP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AEP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AEP SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$126.13+1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$127.39+0.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$128.20+1.7% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$130.33+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AEP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, AEP faces multiple-compression risk if 17.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($123.81) or 200D SMA ($128.27) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($133.85) toward Bear Floor ($104.40).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AEP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AEP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AEP Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $130.33: 76.7 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $104.40
$8,010
$-1,990 (-19.9%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $133.85
$10,270
+$270 (+2.7%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $157.94
$12,118
+$2,118 (+21.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$13974%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$14869%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$11958%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AEP Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
AEP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.22%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $129.3H $130.3L $129.3C $130.3VOL 4.59M
RES: $132.4SUP: $114.3SMA50: $123.8SMA200: $128.3
$142.3$135.3$128.4$121.5$114.6RES $132.4SUP $114.3$130.32026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AEP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
9.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AEP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AEP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AEP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AEP)

Utilities Rank #23 of 116 ⚔️ D vs AEP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (AEP vs. D, CEG, ETR, SO)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 116 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP) ranks #23 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #7 by equity capitalization ($70.90B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AEP leads on earnings valuation at 17.0x trailing P/E, while CEG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.4% ROIC and — gross margin. D currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with AEP at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AEP ACTIVE
American Electric Power Company Inc.
C 64/100 17.0x — 5.6% +0.09% $70.90B Benchmark Subject
D
Dominion Energy Inc.
C+ 67/100 19.1x — 5.5% +1.65% $58.59B /d-vs-aep →
CEG
Constellation Energy Corporation
D+ 57/100 40.4x — 13.4% -1.95% $92.96B /ceg-vs-aep →
ETR
Entergy Corporation
D 46/100 20.5x — 5.9% -0.22% $51.38B /etr-vs-aep →
SO
Southern Company
D 49/100 24.6x — 6.9% +0.96% $107.80B /so-vs-aep →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000004904 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP) reported GAAP revenue of $21.70B (+8.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $19.97B , and +11.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $6.94B, and free cash flow of $5.97B (+1.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, AEP closed FY2025 with $114.46B in total assets against $44.13B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.97, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $21.70B $0 $6.94B $5.97B $114.46B $44.13B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $19.97B $0 $6.80B $5.91B $103.08B $39.31B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $19.46B $0 $5.01B $4.14B $38.74B $9.06B

3. AEP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AEP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, American Electric Power Company Inc. (NASDAQ: AEP) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $130.33 (+0.09% 1D, market cap $70.90B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, AEP ranks #23 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AEP compare to D and CEG in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), AEP carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, D (Dominion Energy Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $58.59B) and CEG (Constellation Energy Corporation) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 40.4x, ROIC 13.4%, cap $92.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AEP leads on earnings multiple (17.0x) while CEG leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AEP?

Per AEP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000004904), American Electric Power Company Inc. generated $21.70B in revenue (+8.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $5.97B in free cash flow against $114.46B in total assets and $44.13B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AEP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AEP last traded at $130.33 (+0.09% on volume of 3,777,517 shares), positioning the stock +5.27% above its 50-day simple moving average ($123.81) and +1.61% above its 200-day simple moving average ($128.27). Across its 52-week range of $112.54 to $140.58, AEP sits at the 63.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.6% ($125.64 to $135.02).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AEP — American Electric Power Company Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 64/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $130.33 (+0.09% 1D, market capitalization $70.90B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 24.5%, and free cash flow yield of 8.47%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 0.78x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.97, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.42x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector: Utilities. Industry: Electric Utilities: Central. American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in this industry. Per the recent news feed, the company has announced a $4 billion fuel cell project to power Google, and an expanded capital plan with a raised growth outlook.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP) reported $21.70B in annual revenue (up from $19.97B in FY2024, +8.7% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($19.46B revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, AEP scaled operating cash flow to $6.94B and free cash flow to $5.97B, backed by $114.46B in total assets against $44.13B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 64/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 8.47% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $112.54 – $140.58 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 17.0x trailing P/E and 18.6x EV/EBITDA against 24.5% operating margins and a 0.78x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The news feed references a fuel cell project for Google and a generator deal, which would imply counterparty and equipment dependencies, but the sources do not specify them.

  • Key Question #1: Can AEP sustain or expand its 24.5% operating margin and 5.6% ROIC against Electric Utilities: Central peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $21.70B and free cash flow of $5.97B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $44.13B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AEP's 15.8x forward P/E multiple to Utilities capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.78x)?

AEP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AEP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AEP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $130.33?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AEP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AEP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $167.97 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

An 8.47% FCF yield and 2.85% dividend yield, alongside 16 of 20 insider-conviction points, support the income and flow case.

The street is overcomplicating American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP). An 8.47% FCF yield and 2.85% dividend yield, alongside 16 of 20 insider-conviction points, support the income and flow case.. With an RQD score of 64/100 (C) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $140.63.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on 17.0x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Electric Utilities: Central. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $100.26 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $130.21

A 0.97 Altman Z-Score, 1.42 Debt/Equity, and 5.6% ROIC leave the balance sheet and return on capital as the weakest links.

Careful chasing AEP at $130.21. A 0.97 Altman Z-Score, 1.42 Debt/Equity, and 5.6% ROIC leave the balance sheet and return on capital as the weakest links.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 24.5%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $100.26 on multiple compression.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%