American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$130.21 +0.67% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $130.12

American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $70.43B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AEP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, American Electric Power Company Inc. (NASDAQ: AEP) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $130.21 (+0.67% 1D, market cap $70.43B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, AEP ranks #23 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AEP compare to D and CEG in the Utilities sector?
β–Ό

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), AEP carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.0x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, D (Dominion Energy Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $57.27B) and CEG (Constellation Energy Corporation) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 40.4x, ROIC 13.4%, cap $93.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AEP leads on earnings multiple (17.0x) while CEG leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AEP?
β–Ό

Per AEP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000004904), American Electric Power Company Inc. generated $21.70B in revenue (+8.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $5.97B in free cash flow against $114.46B in total assets and $44.13B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $130.12 (-0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 27.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 54.8% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510063
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ Β· Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (14)SEC (10)Macro (13)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$157 Bull$133 Base$104 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AEP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AEP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±3.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AEP SCORES 63/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±3.7% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$125.65+1.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$127.22+2.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$130.30-0.1% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$130.21+0.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (55) β†’ C (63)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AEP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, AEP faces multiple-compression risk if 17.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($123.66) or 200D SMA ($128.21) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($133.14) toward Bear Floor ($103.85).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AEPβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAEP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
4.65% Total Yield
2.85% Cash ($3.71/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
21.9% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (9.4% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $24,557

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,142/yr
$10.9K
Yr 1
$12.0K
Yr 2
$13.1K
Yr 3
$14.3K
Yr 4
$15.7K
Yr 5
$17.1K
Yr 6
$18.8K
Yr 7
$20.5K
Yr 8
$22.4K
Yr 9
$24.6K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in AEP & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on AEP and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AEP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.30%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $128.2H $130.2L $128.2C $130.2VOL 4.36M
RES: $132.3SUP: $114.3SMA50: $123.7SMA200: $128.2
$142.3$135.3$128.4$121.5$114.6RES $132.3SUP $114.3$130.22026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AEP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AEP today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AEP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AEP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AEP)

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (AEP vs. D, CEG, ETR, VST)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP) ranks #23 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #7 by equity capitalization ($70.43B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AEP leads on earnings valuation at 17.0x trailing P/E, while CEG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.4% ROIC and β€” gross margin. D currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with AEP at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AEP ACTIVE
American Electric Power Company Inc.
C 63/100 17.0x β€” 5.6% +0.67% $70.43B Benchmark Subject
D
Dominion Energy Inc.
C 65/100 19.1x β€” 5.5% +2.30% $57.27B /d-vs-aep β†’
CEG
Constellation Energy Corporation
D+ 57/100 40.4x β€” 13.4% -0.83% $93.74B /ceg-vs-aep β†’
ETR
Entergy Corporation
D 46/100 20.5x β€” 5.9% +0.13% $51.32B /etr-vs-aep β†’
VST
Vistra Corp.
D- 41/100 50.1x β€” 7.7% -1.83% $47.31B /vst-vs-aep β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000004904

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP) reported GAAP revenue of $21.70B (+8.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $19.97B , and +11.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $6.94B, and free cash flow of $5.97B (+1.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, AEP closed FY2025 with $114.46B in total assets against $44.13B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.97, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $21.70B $0 $6.94B $5.97B $114.46B $44.13B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $19.97B $0 $6.80B $5.91B $103.08B $39.31B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $19.46B $0 $5.01B $4.14B $38.74B $9.06B

3. AEP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AEP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, American Electric Power Company Inc. (NASDAQ: AEP) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $130.21 (+0.67% 1D, market cap $70.43B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, AEP ranks #23 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AEP compare to D and CEG in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), AEP carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.0x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, D (Dominion Energy Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $57.27B) and CEG (Constellation Energy Corporation) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 40.4x, ROIC 13.4%, cap $93.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AEP leads on earnings multiple (17.0x) while CEG leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AEP?

Per AEP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000004904), American Electric Power Company Inc. generated $21.70B in revenue (+8.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $5.97B in free cash flow against $114.46B in total assets and $44.13B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AEP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AEP last traded at $130.21 (+0.67% on volume of 4,593,909 shares), positioning the stock +5.30% above its 50-day simple moving average ($123.66) and +1.56% above its 200-day simple moving average ($128.21). Across its 52-week range of $112.54 to $140.58, AEP sits at the 63.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±3.7% ($125.39 to $135.03).

AEP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does AEP pay a dividend and is it safe?

American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP) offers a 2.85% cash dividend yield ($3.71 annualized) and 4.65% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 63/100 (C) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AEP β€” American Electric Power Company Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:30Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AEP scores 63 out of 100, a C grade labeled "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20 (ROIC 5.6%; FCF yield 8.47%); Whale 13F Flow 14/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 13/20 (Beta 0.78; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 10/20 (Altman Z 0.97; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 1.42). The two weakest pillars are the cash engine and the balance sheet, each at 10 of 20, which points to return-on-capital and leverage as the main constraints on the thesis. Insider conviction is the strongest pillar at 16 of 20. Per the same rating, the composite reads as balanced rather than compelling: the 8.47% FCF yield and 2.85% dividend yield provide income support, while the Altman Z of 0.97 and Debt/Equity of 1.42 indicate a leveraged balance sheet. A prospective investor should weigh the valuation (P/E TTM 17, Forward P/E 15.8, EV/EBITDA 18.6) against these balance-sheet and return-on-capital constraints. This is an educational reading of the scores, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$129.34$70.43B1715.818.67.622.85%0.78$112.54 - $140.585.6%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$21702.0M$5319.0M$0.0MN/A$5967.4M$197.0M$44128.0M
FY 2024$19970.0M$4304.0M$0.0MN/A$5905.4M$203.0M$39308.0M
FY 2023$19456.0M$3556.0M$0.0MN/A$4136.5MN/A$9064.2M

Per the market data, operating margin is 24.5%, net margin is 19.1%, and gross margin is 0%. The financials table reports net income of $0.0M for each period, which conflicts with the net margin figure and is unresolved in the source data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 5.6%, the Altman Z-Score is 0.97, and the Piotroski F-Score is 6 of 9, with Debt/Equity at 1.42. Debt rose from $9064.2M in FY 2023 to $44128.0M in FY 2025 per the financials table. Per the same data, the Altman Z-Score sits below the distress-zone reference typically cited for that model; the source data does not define the scale, so no further interpretation is applied.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Catalyst (GREEN): "AEP Reports Third-Quarter 2026 Earnings, Expands Capital Plan and Increases Growth Outlook" (AEP.com, 1h ago).
  • Market wire (YELLOW): "American Electric Power (AEP) Stock Could Be 11% Overvalued Following Generator Deal" (Yahoo Finance, 3h ago).
  • Market wire (YELLOW): "American Electric Power to invest $4 billion in fuel cell project to power Google" (Reuters, 6h ago).
  • Market wire (YELLOW): "American Electric Power Company (Nasdaq:AEP) - Stock Analysis" (Simply Wall St, 9h ago).
  • Market wire (YELLOW): "American Electric Power (AEP) Stock Price, News & Analysis" (24/7 Wall St., 12h ago).
  • Market wire (YELLOW): "American Electric Power: Texas Could Make It Even Bigger" (Seeking Alpha, 15h ago).

Risk watch items per the news feed: the Yahoo Finance headline raises a valuation-overshoot question tied to a generator deal. Proprietary signals from the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Not available in source data (supply chain listed as NONE; no butterfly links or proprietary signals).

Open Questions

  • The financials table reports net income of $0.0M and EPS of N/A for all three periods, while market data shows a net margin of 19.1% and TTM EPS of 7.62. Which figures reflect reported results?
  • Total debt rose sharply from $9064.2M (FY 2023) to $44128.0M (FY 2025). What drove this increase, and how does it relate to the expanded capital plan?
  • What are the specific terms, counterparties, and capital commitments of the $4 billion fuel cell project and the generator deal?
  • What is the regulatory and service-territory structure underlying revenue, and how does it bear on the 5.6% ROIC?
  • What is the analyst consensus and holder composition behind the insider and 13F pillar scores?

AEP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for American Electric Power Company Inc. (AEP) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to AEP Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AEP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $130.21?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AEP 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AEP:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $139.69 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AEP (C β€’ RQD 63/100) a Buy at $129.34?

Welcome to the AEP (American Electric Power Company Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Electric Utilities: Central. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $98.30 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $129.34

Pump the brakes on AEP β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AEP, but look at what you are paying: 17.0x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless American Electric Power Company Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $164.26 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $129.34

AEP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AEP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Electric Utilities: Central and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $129.34 (52-wk range $112.54 - $140.58), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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