Materion Corporation (MTRN) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$216.84 -2.30% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $215.53

Materion Corporation (MTRN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $4.62B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MTRN Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MTRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Materion Corporation (NYSE: MTRN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $216.84 (-2.30% 1D, market cap $4.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MTRN ranks #162 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MTRN compare to AZZ and MAS in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), MTRN carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 66.8x, gross margin of 17.3%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, AZZ (AZZ Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 13.0x, ROIC 11.3%, cap $4.02B) and MAS (Masco Corporation) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 46.7%, cap $15.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while MAS leads on capital efficiency (46.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTRN?
β–Ό

Per MTRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001104657), Materion Corporation generated $1.79B in revenue (+6.0% YoY), $74.8M in net income, and $103.2M in free cash flow against $1.80B in total assets and $436.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $215.54 (-0.60%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 5.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 51.8% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510056
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk C+
Cash (13)Whales (7)SEC (15)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$341 Bull$215 Base$168 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MTRN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MTRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±11%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MTRN SCORES 56/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.8% FCF Margin ($103.2M FCF) & 17.3% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$271.84-11.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$239.72-1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$235.63-8% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$216.84-0.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (64) β†’ D+ (56)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MTRN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, MTRN faces multiple-compression risk if 66.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 67x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($253.01) or 200D SMA ($212.74) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($214.89) toward Bear Floor ($167.61).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MTRNβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMTRN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
40.430 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE50% OF RANGE
L: $111$216.84H: $325
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (17% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on MTRN

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (65)

6.4% ROIC with 17.3% gross margin and 2.07% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (47)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MTRN
  • βœ“Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Priced at 67x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MTRN)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of MTRN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MTRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.49%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $239.8H $239.8L $216.8C $216.8VOL 198.2K
RES: $333.2SUP: $211.6SMA50: $253.0SMA200: $212.7
$338.5$282.5$226.5$170.6$114.6RES $333.2SUP $211.6$216.82026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MTRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
44.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTRN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MTRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MTRN)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (MTRN vs. AZZ, MAS, TRS, XPEL)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Materion Corporation (MTRN) ranks #162 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #151 by equity capitalization ($4.62B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRS leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while MAS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 46.7% ROIC and 35.4% gross margin. MAS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with MTRN at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MTRN ACTIVE
Materion Corporation
D+ 56/100 66.8x 17.3% 6.4% -2.30% $4.62B Benchmark Subject
AZZ
AZZ Inc.
C 65/100 13.0x 23.9% 11.3% +1.93% $4.02B /azz-vs-mtrn β†’
MAS
Masco Corporation
B+ 76/100 19.1x 35.4% 46.7% +3.56% $15.54B /mas-vs-mtrn β†’
TRS
TriMas Corporation
D 51/100 11.5x 21.4% 4.8% +4.67% $1.37B /trs-vs-mtrn β†’
XPEL
XPEL Inc.
B 72/100 24.6x 42.2% 21.6% -1.76% $1.26B /xpel-vs-mtrn β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001104657

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Materion Corporation (MTRN) reported GAAP revenue of $1.79B (+6.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.68B , and +7.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $74.8M, operating cash flow of $103.2M, and free cash flow of $103.2M (+438.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MTRN closed FY2025 with $1.80B in total assets against $436.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.79B $74.8M $103.2M $103.2M $1.80B $436.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.68B $5.9M $87.8M $19.2M $1.70B $407.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.67B $95.7M $144.4M $144.4M β€” β€”

3. MTRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MTRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Materion Corporation (NYSE: MTRN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $216.84 (-2.30% 1D, market cap $4.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MTRN ranks #162 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MTRN compare to AZZ and MAS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), MTRN carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 66.8x, gross margin of 17.3%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, AZZ (AZZ Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 13.0x, ROIC 11.3%, cap $4.02B) and MAS (Masco Corporation) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 46.7%, cap $15.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while MAS leads on capital efficiency (46.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTRN?

Per MTRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001104657), Materion Corporation generated $1.79B in revenue (+6.0% YoY), $74.8M in net income, and $103.2M in free cash flow against $1.80B in total assets and $436.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MTRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MTRN last traded at $216.84 (-2.30% on volume of 190,634 shares), positioning the stock -14.30% below its 50-day simple moving average ($253.01) and +1.93% above its 200-day simple moving average ($212.74). Across its 52-week range of $110.69 to $324.99, MTRN sits at the 49.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±11.0% ($192.99 to $240.69).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 56/100 (D+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MTRN β€” Materion Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:20:55Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

MTRN scores 59 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with the verdict label "Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. this pillar cites ROIC of 6.4% and an FCF yield of 2.07%. Per the market data, FCF yield is 2.07% and ROIC is 6.4%. For a prospective investor, these figures indicate modest capital efficiency and a relatively thin free-cash-flow return against the current price.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 10 / 20. this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The holders section is empty in the source data, so the underlying flow detail cannot be verified here. The sub-par score signals that institutional conviction is not a clear upside driver.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score means insider activity does not currently offer a confirming signal.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. this pillar cites beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. Per the market data, beta is 1.0, meaning the stock is expected to move in line with the broad market. A prospective investor should expect its drawdowns and rallies to track macro conditions rather than diverge from them.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. this pillar cites Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 8/9, and Debt/Equity 0.46. This is the strongest pillar and suggests balance-sheet health is a relative strength.

Valuation tradeoffs: Per the market data, P/E (TTM) is 66.8, forward P/E is 62.1, and EV/EBITDA is 49.4. These multiples are elevated relative to the cash-generation metrics above (ROIC 6.4%, FCF yield 2.07%). A prospective investor is therefore paying a high price for current earnings and must underwrite substantial future growth to justify the valuation. The C- grade reflects this tension: sound balance-sheet forensics paired with a richly valued, modestly cash-yielding equity.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Materion Corporation (MTRN) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Industrial Specialties industry (Industrials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $4.62B. The business operates with a gross margin of 17.3%, an operating margin of 6.1%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.4% (free cash flow yield of 2.07%). Within the Industrial Specialties peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

Revenue grew from $1.67B in FY 2023 to $1.79B in FY 2025, while net income moved from $95.7M to $74.8M over the same span, with FY 2024 at $5.9M. Per the market data, the gross margin is 17.3%, operating margin 6.1%, and net margin 4.2%, with ROIC at 6.4%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9. Debt/Equity is 0.46, and the FY 2025 filing shows cash of $13.7M against debt of $436.3M.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case: Balance-sheet forensics are the strongest pillar, with Piotroski F 8/9, Altman Z 2.5, and Debt/Equity 0.46 supporting financial resilience. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 6.4%, FCF yield 2.07%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $110.69 – $324.99 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Valuation is stretched at P/E (TTM) 66.8 and EV/EBITDA 49.4 while ROIC is only 6.4% and FCF yield 2.07%. Investors must weigh 66.8x trailing P/E and 49.4x EV/EBITDA against 6.1% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Industrial Specialties (Industrials), MTRN carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 17.3%.

  • Key Question #1: What drives the gap between the 52-week low of $110.69 and high of $324.99, and what explains the move in price to $239.81?
  • Key Question #2: What products and end markets generate Materion's revenue, and how does that mix support a P/E near 66.8?
  • Key Question #3: What were the third-quarter 2026 results, and do they confirm or challenge the earnings rebound described in the news feed?

MTRN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Materion Corporation (MTRN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to MTRN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MTRN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $216.84?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MTRN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MTRN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC Cross-Asset Macro Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $272.99 (+23.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Balance-sheet forensics are the strongest pillar, with Piotroski F 8/9, Altman Z 2.5, and Debt/Equity 0.46 supporting financial resilie

The street is overcomplicating Materion Corporation (MTRN). Balance-sheet forensics are the strongest pillar, with Piotroski F 8/9, Altman Z 2.5, and Debt/Equity 0.46 supporting financial resilience.. With an RQD score of 56/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $239.70.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” MTRN's 15/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RE RedlineAuditor Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $181.99 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $221.94

Valuation is stretched at P/E (TTM) 66.8 and EV/EBITDA 49.4 while ROIC is only 6.4% and FCF yield 2.07%.

Valuation is stretched at P/E (TTM) 66.8 and EV/EBITDA 49.4 while ROIC is only 6.4% and FCF yield 2.07%.. Look at the math on MTRN: paying 66.8x trailing P/E for 6.4% ROIC and 6.1% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Industrial Specialties demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $195.31 before getting long.

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