Should I buy, hold, or sell EME stock right now?

EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 19.3% gross margin (28% return on capital), mixed timing at 24x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is EME's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

EME's 12-month base price target is $688.9 (range $537.34 to $999.56), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Industrials / EME

FIX (55) PWR (57) IESC (58) ENGS (44) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$682.76 +0.47% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $682.04

EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $29.75B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on EME Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EME stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-03, EMCOR Group Inc. (NYSE: EME) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $682.76 (+0.47% 1D, market cap $29.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, EME ranks #113 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EME compare to FIX and PWR in the Industrials sector?

▼

Within the Industrials sector (Engineering & Construction), EME carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.9x, gross margin of 19.3%, and ROIC of 27.5%. By comparison, FIX (Comfort Systems USA Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 45.4x, ROIC 4.5%, cap $43.13B) and PWR (Quanta Services Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 89.8x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $93.53B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EME leads on earnings multiple (23.9x) while IESC leads on capital efficiency (34.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EME?

▼

Per EME's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000105634), EMCOR Group Inc. generated $16.99B in revenue (+16.6% YoY), $1.27B in net income, and $537.7M in free cash flow against $9.29B in total assets and $2.53B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $682.01 (-0.11%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 3.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EME)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY EME SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.73 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.16% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$745.35-6.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$699.17-2.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$678.55+0.6% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$682.76+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EME Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, EME faces multiple-compression risk if 23.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.16% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 16.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($738.64) or 200D SMA ($781.92) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($688.90) toward Bear Floor ($537.34).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EME• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “EME Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

39.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

6.73>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE30% OF RANGE

L: $565$682.76H: $952

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (19.3% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on EME

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (65)

27.5% ROIC with 19.3% gross margin and 1.77% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 6.73 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (48)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like EME

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (EME Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

EME // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.99%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $689.3H $689.3L $679.6C $682.8VOL 554.1K

RES: $810.7SUP: $612.2SMA50: $738.6SMA200: $781.9

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EME Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EME Butterfly Map → + Track EME →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

17.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EME today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EME. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EME today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EME)

Industrials Rank #113 of 486 ⚔️ FIX vs EME Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (EME vs. FIX, PWR, IESC, ENGS)

Industry: Engineering & Construction (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) ranks #113 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #49 by equity capitalization ($29.75B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EME leads on earnings valuation at 23.9x trailing P/E, while IESC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 34.7% ROIC and 25.5% gross margin. EME currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
EME ACTIVE EMCOR Group Inc.	C-	60/100	23.9x	19.3%	27.5%	+0.47%	$29.75B	Benchmark Subject
FIX Comfort Systems USA Inc.	D+	55/100	45.4x	—	4.5%	-2.64%	$43.13B	/fix-vs-eme →
PWR Quanta Services Inc.	D+	57/100	89.8x	15.0%	8.4%	+0.07%	$93.53B	/pwr-vs-eme →
IESC IES Holdings Inc.	D+	58/100	29.8x	25.5%	34.7%	-4.80%	$8.38B	/iesc-vs-eme →
ENGS Energys Group Limited	D	44/100	—	20.4%	—	+1.33%	$245.4M	/engs-vs-eme →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000105634 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) reported GAAP revenue of $16.99B (+16.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $14.57B , and +35.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.27B, operating cash flow of $1.30B, and free cash flow of $537.7M (-28.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, EME closed FY2025 with $9.29B in total assets against $2.53B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.73, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$16.99B	$1.27B	$1.30B	$537.7M	$9.29B	$2.53B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$14.57B	$1.01B	$1.41B	$752.4M	$7.72B	$2.15B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$12.58B	$633.0M	$899.7M	$333.4M	$16.72B	$3.91B

3. EME Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EME stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does EME compare to FIX and PWR in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EME?

Where is EME trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EME last traded at $682.76 (+0.47% on volume of 465,786 shares), positioning the stock -7.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($738.64) and -12.68% below its 200-day simple moving average ($781.92). Across its 52-week range of $564.92 to $951.96, EME sits at the 30.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($632.92 to $732.60).

Direct Sub-Reports: EME RQD Cockpit EME 12M Forecast EME Earnings & Move EME Dividends & DRIP EME Insiders & 13F EME Whale Options EME Profit Sankey EME News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

EME — EMCOR Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 60/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $682.76 (+0.47% 1D, market capitalization $29.75B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 27.5%, gross margin of 19.3%, operating margin of 10.1%, and free cash flow yield of 1.77%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.13x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 6.73, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.64x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

EMCOR Group Inc. Is classified in the Industrials sector and Engineering & Construction industry and trades on the NYSE. It is a NYSE-listed issuer in this industry with a market capitalization of $30.4B. Customer base, service lines, and revenue mix are — Specific revenue-generation mechanics are — beyond the reported financial lines below.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) reported $16.99B in annual revenue (up from $14.57B in FY2024, +16.6% YoY) and $1.27B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($12.58B revenue, $633.0M net income) through FY2025, EME scaled operating cash flow to $1.30B and free cash flow to $537.7M, backed by $9.29B in total assets against $2.53B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 60/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $564.92 – $951.96 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 23.9x trailing P/E and 13.4x EV/EBITDA against 10.1% operating margins and a 1.13x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — An investor should treat any ripple analysis as unsupported by the provided graph.

Key Question #1: Can EME sustain or expand its 10.1% operating margin and 27.5% ROIC against Engineering & Construction peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $16.99B and free cash flow of $537.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.53B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is EME's 20.1x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.13x)?

EME Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EME Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

Emcor Group (EME) Stock Declines While Market Improves: Some Information for Investors

Yahoo Finance report covering EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Trefis • 1d ago

Can EMCOR Stock Rally 50% After This Dip?

Trefis report covering EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

EMCOR Group (EME) Nears Its Earnings Report, Is The Stock Still 24% Below Fair Value?

Yahoo Finance report covering EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Trefis • 1d ago

EMCOR Stock Slides 18% Over 10 Straight Down Days

Trefis report covering EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know

Yahoo Finance report covering EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

EMCOR Group (EME) Stock May Look Reasonable Given Its Earnings Power

Yahoo Finance report covering EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

EMCOR Group (EME) Stock May Be 41% Undervalued On Cash Flow

Yahoo Finance report covering EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Why Emcor Group (EME) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today

Yahoo Finance report covering EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EME Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $682.76?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EME 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $856.23 (+26.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Strong capital efficiency and balance sheet (ROIC 27.5%, Altman Z 6.73, Piotroski F 8/9) with insider conviction scoring 16 of 20.

Long EME at $679.55 targeting $856.23. Strong capital efficiency and balance sheet (ROIC 27.5%, Altman Z 6.73, Piotroski F 8/9) with insider conviction scoring 16 of 20.. Institutional whale score is 6/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $564.92 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — EME's 18/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $557.23 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $679.55

Low 1.77% FCF yield and 23.9 trailing P/E leave limited cushion, with beta of 1.13 amplifying sector sensitivity.

Fading this rally in EME at $679.55. Low 1.77% FCF yield and 23.9 trailing P/E leave limited cushion, with beta of 1.13 amplifying sector sensitivity.. With a beta of 1.13 and the stock sitting at $679.55 (52-wk range $564.92–$951.96), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.