Stock Ratings / Industrials / EME / forecast

FIX (56) PWR (65) IESC (58) ENGS (44) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$679.55 -1.42% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $676.52

EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $30.41B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on EME Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EME stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, EMCOR Group Inc. (NYSE: EME) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $679.55 (-1.42% 1D, market cap $30.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, EME ranks #118 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EME compare to FIX and PWR in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Engineering & Construction), EME carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.9x, gross margin of 19.3%, and ROIC of 27.5%. By comparison, FIX (Comfort Systems USA Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 45.4x, ROIC 4.5%, cap $46.40B) and PWR (Quanta Services Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 89.8x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $93.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EME leads on earnings multiple (23.9x) while IESC leads on capital efficiency (34.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EME?

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Per EME's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000105634), EMCOR Group Inc. generated $16.99B in revenue (+16.6% YoY), $1.27B in net income, and $537.7M in free cash flow against $9.29B in total assets and $2.53B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $676.49 (-0.45%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 3.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EME)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY EME SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.73 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.16% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (41.7) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$776.05-9.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$702.48-5.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$666.36+2% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$679.55+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EME Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, EME faces multiple-compression risk if 23.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.16% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 16.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($739.84) or 200D SMA ($781.97) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($688.72) toward Bear Floor ($537.20).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EME• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “EME Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your EME Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $679.55: 14.7 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $537.20

$7,905

$-2,095 (-20.9%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $688.72

$10,135

+$135 (+1.3%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $999.56

$14,709

+$4,709 (+47.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$716	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$940	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$613	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (EME Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

EME // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.35%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $678.6H $689.3L $678.6C $679.6VOL 667.5K

RES: $811.8SUP: $614.6SMA50: $739.8SMA200: $782.0

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EME Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EME Butterfly Map → + Track EME →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

17.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EME today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EME. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EME today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EME)

Industrials Rank #118 of 485 ⚔️ FIX vs EME Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (EME vs. FIX, PWR, IESC, ENGS)

Industry: Engineering & Construction (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) ranks #118 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #49 by equity capitalization ($30.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EME leads on earnings valuation at 23.9x trailing P/E, while IESC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 34.7% ROIC and 25.5% gross margin. PWR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with EME at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
EME ACTIVE EMCOR Group Inc.	C-	61/100	23.9x	19.3%	27.5%	-1.42%	$30.41B	Benchmark Subject
FIX Comfort Systems USA Inc.	D+	56/100	45.4x	—	4.5%	-7.05%	$46.40B	/fix-vs-eme →
PWR Quanta Services Inc.	C	65/100	89.8x	15.0%	8.4%	-2.27%	$93.58B	/pwr-vs-eme →
IESC IES Holdings Inc.	D+	58/100	29.8x	25.5%	34.7%	-7.97%	$9.11B	/iesc-vs-eme →
ENGS Energys Group Limited	D	44/100	—	20.4%	—	+1.34%	$242.2M	/engs-vs-eme →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000105634

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) reported GAAP revenue of $16.99B (+16.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $14.57B , and +35.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.27B, operating cash flow of $1.30B, and free cash flow of $537.7M (-28.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, EME closed FY2025 with $9.29B in total assets against $2.53B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.73, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$16.99B	$1.27B	$1.30B	$537.7M	$9.29B	$2.53B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$14.57B	$1.01B	$1.41B	$752.4M	$7.72B	$2.15B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$12.58B	$633.0M	$899.7M	$333.4M	$16.72B	$3.91B

3. EME Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EME stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does EME compare to FIX and PWR in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EME?

Where is EME trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EME last traded at $679.55 (-1.42% on volume of 554,101 shares), positioning the stock -8.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($739.84) and -13.10% below its 200-day simple moving average ($781.97). Across its 52-week range of $564.92 to $951.96, EME sits at the 29.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($627.22 to $731.88).

EME Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is EME's 12-month stock price target?

EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $688.72 (+1.3% from $679.55), with a bull-case target of $999.56 and a bear-case floor of $537.2.

Is EME stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates EME C- (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 61/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: EME RQD Cockpit EME 12M Forecast EME Earnings & Move EME Dividends & DRIP EME Insiders & 13F EME Whale Options EME Profit Sankey EME News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

EME — EMCOR Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:12:21Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, EME scores 61 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars break down as follows. Fundamental cash engine scores 13 of 20, citing ROIC of 27.5% and an FCF yield of 1.77%. This suggests strong capital efficiency, but the low free-cash yield relative to price means the market is paying a premium for current cash generation. Whale 13F flow scores 7 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning that the source does not quantify beyond the pillar label. Insider conviction scores 16 of 20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow; this is the strongest pillar and points to insider buying conviction, though the underlying trade-level detail is not available in source data. Macro regime fit scores 7 of 20, citing a beta of 1.13 and sector sensitivity, indicating the stock tends to move more than the broader market in either direction. Forensic balance sheet scores 18 of 20, supported by an Altman Z-Score of 6.73, a Piotroski F-Score of 8 of 9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.64. For a prospective investor, the investment case rests on high capital efficiency and a strong balance sheet, offset by a stretched valuation on free cash flow and above-average market sensitivity. The rating's "Hold" verdict signals that the rating model does not see a clear asymmetric entry at current levels.

Snapshot

Metric	Value
Price	$689.32
Market Cap	$30.41B
P/E (TTM)	23.9
Forward P/E	20.1
EV/EBITDA	13.4
EPS (TTM)	28.86
Dividend Yield	0.15%
Beta	1.13
52-Wk Range	$564.92 - $951.96
ROIC %	27.5%

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$16986.4M	$1713.4M	$1272.8M	N/A	$537.7M	$1112.0M	$2527.4M
FY 2024	$14566.1M	$1344.9M	$1007.1M	N/A	$752.4M	$1339.5M	$2150.0M
FY 2023	$12582.9M	$875.8M	$633.0M	N/A	$333.4M	N/A	$3913.2M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $12582.9M in FY 2023 to $16986.4M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $633.0M to $1272.8M over the same span. Market data reports a gross margin of 19.3%, an operating margin of 10.1%, and a net margin of 7.5%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 6.73, the Piotroski F-Score is 8 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.64. FY 2025 debt of $2527.4M compares with cash of $1112.0M, while FY 2023 debt was $3913.2M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, catalysts and reports are as follows. A Yahoo Finance report (1h ago, YELLOW) covers EME market action and institutional positioning. A Trefis report (3h ago, GREEN) is headlined "Can EMCOR Stock Rally 50% After This Dip?" and is flagged as a catalyst. A Yahoo Finance report (6h ago, YELLOW) frames the stock as nearing its earnings report. A Trefis report (9h ago, YELLOW) describes a decline of 18% over 10 straight down days. Additional Yahoo Finance coverage (12h and 15h ago, YELLOW) discusses investor attention and earnings power. Risk watch items include the reported price decline and the upcoming earnings report. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals and no butterfly links.

Open Questions

What drives the gap between the 23.9 trailing P/E and the 1.77% FCF yield, and how sustainable is current free cash generation?
What are the specific revenue segments, customer concentrations, and backlog figures behind the FY 2025 revenue of $16986.4M?
What is the identity and size of the insider cluster buying and institutional accumulation referenced by the RQD pillars?
Why is FY 2023 cash listed as N/A, and how does it affect the trend in liquidity?
What do the reported earnings date and any guidance imply, given the recent price decline of roughly 18% over 10 straight down days?

EME Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EME Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 6h ago

Emcor Group (EME) Stock Declines While Market Improves: Some Information for Investors

Yahoo Finance report covering EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Trefis • 9h ago

Can EMCOR Stock Rally 50% After This Dip?

Trefis report covering EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 12h ago

EMCOR Group (EME) Nears Its Earnings Report, Is The Stock Still 24% Below Fair Value?

Yahoo Finance report covering EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Trefis • 15h ago

EMCOR Stock Slides 18% Over 10 Straight Down Days

Trefis report covering EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 18h ago

EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know

Yahoo Finance report covering EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

EMCOR Group (EME) Stock May Look Reasonable Given Its Earnings Power

Yahoo Finance report covering EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

EMCOR Group (EME) Stock May Be 41% Undervalued On Cash Flow

Yahoo Finance report covering EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Why Emcor Group (EME) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today

Yahoo Finance report covering EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EME Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $679.55?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EME 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $744.47 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is EME (C- • RQD 61/100) a Buy at $689.32?

Welcome to the EME (EMCOR Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 61/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Engineering & Construction. Bulls point to capital efficiency (27.5% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $537.67 (-22.0%)

Spot @ $689.32

Pump the brakes on EME — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on EME, but look at what you are paying: 23.9x trailing P/E with 19.3% gross margins. Unless EMCOR Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $792.72 (+15.0%)

Spot @ $689.32

EME cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on EME, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Engineering & Construction and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $689.32 (52-wk range $564.92 - $951.96), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.