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FOIL (45) TRS (51) PKOH (50) AZZ (65) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

XPEL Inc. (XPEL) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$44.85 -1.76% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.82

XPEL Inc. (XPEL) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (42.2% gross margin, 22% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.26B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on XPEL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is XPEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, XPEL Inc. (NASDAQ: XPEL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $44.85 (-1.76% 1D, market cap $1.26B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, XPEL ranks #30 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does XPEL compare to FOIL and TRS in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), XPEL carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.6x, gross margin of 42.2%, and ROIC of 21.6%. By comparison, FOIL (Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.17B) and TRS (TriMas Corporation) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while XPEL leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XPEL?
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Per XPEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001767258), XPEL Inc. generated $476.2M in revenue (+13.3% YoY), $51.2M in net income, and $62.9M in free cash flow against $382.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (42.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.81 (-0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 13.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C
Cash (19)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (10)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$59 Bull$48 Base$37 Bear
📬 FREE XPEL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XPEL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY XPEL SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.2% FCF Margin ($62.9M FCF) & 42.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54.7) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
80
Grade A-$45.44-0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
77
Grade B+$45.16-5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
75
Grade B+$42.91+4.5% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$44.85+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A- (80) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the XPEL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, XPEL faces multiple-compression risk if 24.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 39.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($45.89) or 200D SMA ($46.12) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($47.68) toward Bear Floor ($36.78).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XPEL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “XPEL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

XPEL Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (XPEL)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on XPEL. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (XPEL Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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XPEL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.41%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-03O $45.78H $45.78L $44.85C $44.85VOL 155.3K
RES: $51.44SUP: $42.00SMA50: $45.89SMA200: $46.12
$53.55$49.83$46.11$42.39$38.68RES $51.44SUP $42.00$44.852026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XPEL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 XPEL Butterfly Map → + Track XPEL →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
18.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XPEL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XPEL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XPEL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XPEL)

Industrials Rank #30 of 486 ⚔️ FOIL vs XPEL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (XPEL vs. FOIL, TRS, PKOH, AZZ)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, XPEL Inc. (XPEL) ranks #30 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #233 by equity capitalization ($1.26B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRS leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while XPEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.6% ROIC and 42.2% gross margin. XPEL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
XPEL ACTIVE
XPEL Inc.
B 72/100 24.6x 42.2% 21.6% -1.76% $1.26B Benchmark Subject
FOIL
Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five
D 45/100 — — — +10.64% $1.17B /foil-vs-xpel →
TRS
TriMas Corporation
D 51/100 11.5x 21.4% 4.8% +4.67% $1.37B /trs-vs-xpel →
PKOH
Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.
D 50/100 27.4x 17.0% 15.6% -0.21% $625.1M /pkoh-vs-xpel →
AZZ
AZZ Inc.
C 65/100 13.0x 23.9% 11.3% +1.93% $4.02B /azz-vs-xpel →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001767258 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), XPEL Inc. (XPEL) reported GAAP revenue of $476.2M (+13.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $420.4M , and +20.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $51.2M, operating cash flow of $66.9M, and free cash flow of $62.9M (+53.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, XPEL closed FY2025 with $382.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 11.04, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $476.2M $51.2M $66.9M $62.9M $382.5M $0
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $420.4M $45.5M $47.8M $41.1M $285.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $396.3M $52.8M $37.4M $37.4M — —

3. XPEL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XPEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, XPEL Inc. (NASDAQ: XPEL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $44.85 (-1.76% 1D, market cap $1.26B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, XPEL ranks #30 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XPEL compare to FOIL and TRS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), XPEL carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.6x, gross margin of 42.2%, and ROIC of 21.6%. By comparison, FOIL (Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.17B) and TRS (TriMas Corporation) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while XPEL leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XPEL?

Per XPEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001767258), XPEL Inc. generated $476.2M in revenue (+13.3% YoY), $51.2M in net income, and $62.9M in free cash flow against $382.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (42.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XPEL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XPEL last traded at $44.85 (-1.76% on volume of 405,744 shares), positioning the stock -2.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($45.89) and -2.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($46.12). Across its 52-week range of $31.88 to $55.91, XPEL sits at the 54.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($41.98 to $47.72).

Direct Sub-Reports: XPEL RQD Cockpit XPEL 12M Forecast XPEL Earnings & Move XPEL Dividends & DRIP XPEL Insiders & 13F XPEL Whale Options XPEL Profit Sankey XPEL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

XPEL — XPEL Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

XPEL Inc. (XPEL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 72/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $44.85 (-1.76% 1D, market capitalization $1.26B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (19/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 21.6%, gross margin of 42.2%, operating margin of 13.2%, and free cash flow yield of 4.99%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 11.04, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.00x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

XPEL Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed company classified under the Industrials sector and the Industrial Specialties industry. The profile describes it as a company with a market capitalization of $1.3B. Gross margin is reported at 42.2%, operating margin at 13.2%, and net margin at 10.8%, per the market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), XPEL Inc. (XPEL) reported $476.2M in annual revenue (up from $420.4M in FY2024, +13.3% YoY) and $51.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($396.3M revenue, $52.8M net income) through FY2025, XPEL scaled operating cash flow to $66.9M and free cash flow to $62.9M, backed by $382.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 72/100): Strong cash generator (42.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 19/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $31.88 – $55.91 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 24.6x trailing P/E and 18.3x EV/EBITDA against 13.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Industrial Specialties (Industrials), XPEL carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 42.2%.

  • Key Question #1: Can XPEL sustain or expand its 13.2% operating margin and 21.6% ROIC against Industrial Specialties peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $476.2M and free cash flow of $62.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is XPEL's 20.7x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

XPEL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for XPEL Inc. (XPEL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to XPEL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

XPEL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $44.85?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON XPEL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on XPEL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $52.95 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 19 of 20 with ROIC of 21.6% and an FCF yield of 4.99%.

Picked up a starter position in XPEL in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $45.65. Per the RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 19 of 20 with ROIC of 21.6% and an FCF yield of 4.99%.. Trading inside a $31.88–$55.91 52-week range with 4.99% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Industrial Specialties multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on 24.6x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Industrial Specialties. If gross margin (42.2%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $39.26 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $45.65

Per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 24.6 while the Whale 13F Flow and Macro Regime Fit pillars score only 10 of 20

Careful chasing XPEL at $45.65. Per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 24.6 while the Whale 13F Flow and Macro Regime Fit pillars score only 10 of 20 each.. Gross margin is 42.2%, but operating margin is 13.2%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $39.26 on multiple compression.

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