Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±1.8% Move

$371.57 -0.25% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $370.70

Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. As an exchange-traded fund, single-company GAAP gross margins, Altman-Z, and CEO Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for fund structure; its score reflects basket trend, institutional flow, and macro regime alignment.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $465.00B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (NYSE: VTI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $371.57 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $465.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 17/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, VTI ranks #15 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VTI compare to VOO and SPY in the ETF / Index sector?
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Within the ETF / Index sector (Total US Equity Market), VTI carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, VOO (Vanguard S&P 500 ETF) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $580.00B) and SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $620.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VTI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while VTI leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VTI?
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For Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI), key quantitative strengths include Diversified Total US Equity Market basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $370.72 (-0.23%)🧬 ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • Liquid Basket
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Fund (18)Whales (13)Struct (17)Macro (8)Flow (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$450 Bull$382 Base$298 Bear
📬 FREE VTI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VTI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VTI SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (28% of score)

ETF liquidity & tracking efficiency ($465.00B AUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+17/20 pts (27% of score)

Diversified basket structure mitigates single-issuer 10-K restatement risk

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
72
Grade B$381.32-1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$377.09+0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$377.92-1.7% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$371.57+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VTI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, VTI faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($377.19) or 200D SMA ($359.64) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($381.60) toward Bear Floor ($297.65).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VTI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VTI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Quarterly Rebalance / Distribution) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Quarterly Rebalance / Distribution (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±1.8% Swing Band

±$6.69 Expected Swing
$364.88 (-1.8%)Spot $371.57$378.26 (+1.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure

Index funds and ETFs do not file single-company quarterly EPS releases. The volatility cone reflects 20-day realized OHLCV swing bands.

Model Bullish Setup (64/100)Model Risk Weight (36/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating VTI & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on VTI
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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VTI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.97%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $372.5H $372.5L $371.6C $371.6VOL 4.67M
RES: $383.2SUP: $369.1SMA50: $377.2SMA200: $359.6
$388.9$373.2$357.5$341.8$326.0RES $383.2SUP $369.1$371.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VTI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure

Single-issuer corporate Reverse-DCF growth hurdles do not apply to index funds or ETFs.

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VTI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VTI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VTI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VTI)

ETF / Index Rank #15 of 40 ⚔️ VOO vs VTI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head ETF / Index Peer Comparison (VTI vs. VOO, SPY, QQQ, GLD)

Industry: Total US Equity Market (1 Tracked Issuers)

Across 40 tracked ETF / Index securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) ranks #15 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #3 by equity capitalization ($465.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VTI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while VTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with ETF composite structure and benchmark tracking. SPY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with VTI at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VTI ACTIVE
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
C 64/100 — — — -0.25% $465.00B Benchmark Subject
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
C+ 66/100 — — — -0.36% $580.00B /voo-vs-vti →
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
B- 70/100 — — — -0.38% $620.00B /spy-vs-vti →
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust (Nasdaq-100)
C 64/100 — — — -1.44% $325.00B /qqq-vs-vti →
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares Trust
D- 39/100 — — — -1.34% $82.00B /gld-vs-vti →

2. VTI ETF Structure, Technical Regime & Benchmark Role Breakdown

EXCHANGE-TRADED FUND / COMPOSITE VEHICLE • NYSE

Because Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) is structured as an exchange-traded fund / composite basket rather than a single operating corporation filing 10-K GAAP income statements, Roarable evaluates VTI on technical trend regime, moving-average dispersion, 52-week range positioning, relative strength (RSI-14), and secondary-market share volume liquidity. At $371.57, VTI trades vs. its 50-day SMA of $377.19 and 200-day SMA of $359.64 on daily liquidity of 4,673,257 shares.

50D SMA Level
$377.19
Medium-Term Trend Anchor
200D SMA Level
$359.64
Institutional Secular Line
52-Week Range Pos
82.0%
$310.40 – $385.12
RSI-14 Momentum
41.1
NEUTRAL RANGE
Volume Liquidity
4,673,257
AUM Cap $465.00B

3. VTI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (NYSE: VTI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $371.57 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $465.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 17/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, VTI ranks #15 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VTI compare to VOO and SPY in the ETF / Index sector?

Within the ETF / Index sector (Total US Equity Market), VTI carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, VOO (Vanguard S&P 500 ETF) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $580.00B) and SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $620.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VTI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while VTI leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VTI?

For Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI), key quantitative strengths include Diversified Total US Equity Market basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VTI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VTI last traded at $371.57 (-0.25% on volume of 4,673,257 shares), positioning the stock -1.49% below its 50-day simple moving average ($377.19) and +3.32% above its 200-day simple moving average ($359.64). Across its 52-week range of $310.40 to $385.12, VTI sits at the 81.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($364.88 to $378.26).

VTI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is VTI's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Quarterly Rebalance / Distribution.

How much is VTI stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±1.8% event move for VTI, spanning a range between $364.88 and $378.26.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

VTI — Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:07:42Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, VTI scores 64 out of 100 for a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward (ETF Composite Methodology)." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow 13/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 8/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 17/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is the balance sheet and the weakest are insider conviction and macro regime fit. Because VTI is a diversified fund rather than an operating company, the ROIC and FCF yield figures of 0% should be read as not meaningful for a fund structure rather than as evidence of poor cash generation. The Macro Regime Fit score of 8/20 reflects a beta of 1.0, meaning the fund is expected to move in line with the broad market, so returns track overall equity market conditions rather than offering insulation from them.

Business

Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) is a liquid institutional exchange-traded fund listed on the NYSE, classified under the ETF / Index sector and the Total US Equity Market industry. Per the profile, it tracks the Total US Equity Market and has approximately $465.0B in assets under management. The source data does not describe the fund's specific holdings, fee structure, or investor base beyond the institutional characterization. Revenue and earnings models do not apply to the fund in the same way they do to operating companies.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all tagged to VTI and carrying a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. The headlines are "VOO vs. VTI: Which Vanguard Fund Is the Better Buy Right Now?" (Yahoo Finance, 1h ago), "Where Will VTI Be in 2046? Here's What 25 Years of History Suggests." (The Motley Fool, 3h ago; also republished via Yahoo Finance, 6h ago), "Vanguard delivers 4 ETFs that could anchor your portfolio" (TheStreet, 9h ago), "U.S. stocks close gap with ex-U.S. markets" (TradingView, 12h ago), and "American Households Own More of the Stock Market Than at Any Time Since the Dot-Com Era" (24/7 Wall St., 15h ago). These items are general market and fund-comparison commentary rather than company-specific events. Per the wire, the "U.S. stocks close gap with ex-U.S. markets" item is the most directly relevant to the fund's market exposure. The source data does not identify any discrete earnings, guidance, or corporate action catalyst. Risk watch items are limited to the fund's stated beta of 1.0 and the 52-week range, with the price of 371.57 sitting below the 52-week high of $385.12. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the sector is ETF / Index with supply_chain reported as NONE, no butterfly links, and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is NONE, there are no butterfly links, and no proprietary signals are recorded. Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. The fund's exposure to the Total US Equity Market means its performance is linked to a broad cross-section of sectors, but the source data does not quantify individual sector weights or correlations. A prospective investor should note that second-order effects would arise through whatever sectors dominate the broad market, and that the source data does not identify which sectors those are.

Open Questions

  • What are the fund's expense ratio, tracking error, and holdings composition, none of which appear in the source data?
  • What are the P/E, forward P/E, and EPS figures, which are reported as not available and would indicate the aggregate valuation of the underlying holdings?
  • What are the specific 13F institutional and Congressional PTR flows underlying the Whale and Insider pillar scores?
  • How do the Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, and Debt/Equity figures attributed to the Forensic pillar map onto the fund's underlying holdings or fund-level structure?
  • What is the source of the Macro Regime Fit sector sensitivity referenced in the RQD rating?

VTI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to VTI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VTI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $371.57?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VTI 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on VTI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $401.30 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is VTI (C • RQD 64/100) a Buy at $371.57?

Welcome to the VTI (Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward (ETF Composite Methodology)) in Total US Equity Market. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $297.26 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $371.57

Pump the brakes on VTI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on VTI, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $457.03 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $371.57

VTI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on VTI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Total US Equity Market and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $371.57 (52-wk range $310.40 - $385.12), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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