U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$5.71 +9.39% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.80

U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $73.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is USGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, U.S. GoldMining Inc. (NASDAQ: USGO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $5.71 (+9.39% 1D, market cap $73.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, USGO ranks #242 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does USGO compare to SRL and FURY in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), USGO carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SRL (Scully Royalty Ltd.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $61.5M) and FURY (Fury Gold Mines Limited) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $87.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, USGO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XPL leads on capital efficiency (-15.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USGO?
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Per USGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001947244), U.S. GoldMining Inc. generated $19.9M in revenue (-20.0% YoY), -$7.0M in net income, and -$5.8M in free cash flow against $8.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.80 (+1.50%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510029
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.1% Base Target
$19 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE USGO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for USGO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY USGO SCORES 29/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (34% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$6.07-8.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$5.55-8.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
32
Grade E$5.07+12.6% Next Q
Current
29
Grade E$5.71-9.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (37) → E (29)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a USGO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While USGO currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.91) and Max Pain ($6.00) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.88.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $USGO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “USGO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.71 Expected Swing
$5.00 (-12.5%)Spot $5.71$6.42 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

USGO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 29/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (29/100)Model Risk Weight (71/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$19.9M-$7.0M-$5.8M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$24.9M-$8.5M-$7.9M52%
FY 20232023-11-30$27.4M-$9.4M-$9.4M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring USGO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of USGO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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USGO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -56.97%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $5.59H $5.71L $5.22C $5.71VOL 103.1K
RES: $7.75SUP: $4.08SMA50: $6.91SMA200: $9.84
$14.62$11.84$9.05$6.27$3.49RES $7.75SUP $4.08$5.712026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

USGO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on USGO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for USGO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for USGO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (USGO)

Materials Rank #242 of 270 ⚔️ SRL vs USGO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (USGO vs. SRL, FURY, XPL, NAMM)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) ranks #242 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #236 by equity capitalization ($73.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, USGO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while XPL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -15.5% ROIC and — gross margin. FURY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with USGO at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
USGO ACTIVE
U.S. GoldMining Inc.
E 29/100 — — -35.0% +9.39% $73.3M Benchmark Subject
SRL
Scully Royalty Ltd.
D 46/100 — — — +1.46% $61.5M /srl-vs-usgo →
FURY
Fury Gold Mines Limited
D+ 54/100 — — — +5.97% $87.9M /fury-vs-usgo →
XPL
Solitario Resources Corp.
D- 39/100 — — -15.5% +2.11% $45.0M /xpl-vs-usgo →
NAMM
Namib Minerals
D 46/100 — — — -2.59% $43.1M /namm-vs-usgo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001947244

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) reported GAAP revenue of $19.9M (-20.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $24.9M , and -27.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$7.0M, operating cash flow of -$5.8M, and free cash flow of -$5.8M (+26.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, USGO closed FY2025 with $8.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $19.9M -$7.0M -$5.8M -$5.8M $8.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $24.9M -$8.5M -$7.8M -$7.9M $5.1M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-11-30 $27.4M -$9.4M -$9.4M -$9.4M — —

3. USGO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is USGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, U.S. GoldMining Inc. (NASDAQ: USGO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $5.71 (+9.39% 1D, market cap $73.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, USGO ranks #242 in composite RQD confidence.

How does USGO compare to SRL and FURY in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), USGO carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SRL (Scully Royalty Ltd.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $61.5M) and FURY (Fury Gold Mines Limited) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $87.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, USGO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XPL leads on capital efficiency (-15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USGO?

Per USGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001947244), U.S. GoldMining Inc. generated $19.9M in revenue (-20.0% YoY), -$7.0M in net income, and -$5.8M in free cash flow against $8.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is USGO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

USGO last traded at $5.71 (+9.39% on volume of 157,738 shares), positioning the stock -17.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.91) and -41.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.84). Across its 52-week range of $4.35 to $17.98, USGO sits at the 10.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.00 to $6.42).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 29/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

USGO — U.S. GoldMining Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:45:07Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

USGO scores 32 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -7.44%), Whale 13F Flow at 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 6/20 (Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 3/9, Debt/Equity of 0.5). For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the cash engine and insider conviction, which point to negative cash generation and limited insider buying support. The forensic balance sheet pillar is the strongest of the five but remains moderate.6.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Precious Metals industry (Materials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $73.3M. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 0%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35% (free cash flow yield of -7.44%). Within the Precious Metals peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

Operating and net losses narrowed from FY 2023 through FY 2025, and free cash flow was negative in every reported period. Gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% and ROIC is -35%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9 . Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the same source, while reported debt in the SEC financials is N/A.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: The H.C. Wainwright Buy rating with a $30.75 target price is the sharpest upside claim in the source data. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC -35.0%, FCF yield -7.44%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $4.35 – $17.98 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: The Q3 2026 interim results show a $14.1M net loss, and the RQD rating carries a Strong Sell grade with negative free cash flow. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations for USGO.

  • Key Question #1: What is the reported debt balance, since the financials list debt as N/A while the RQD rating cites Debt/Equity of 0.5?
  • Key Question #2: What explains the gap between the Q3 2026 total assets of $210.5M cited in the news and the $78.5M market capitalization?
  • Key Question #3: What are the terms and runway of the cash position relative to the negative free cash flow trend?

USGO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to USGO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Price Performance

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

USGO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.71?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON USGO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on USGO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.06 (+16.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

USGO (E • RQD 29/100) operating leverage in Precious Metals is mispriced at $5.22

Picked up a starter position in USGO in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $5.22. USGO (E • RQD 29/100) operating leverage in Precious Metals is mispriced at $5.22. Trading inside a $4.35–$17.98 52-week range with -7.44% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Precious Metals multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@BreakoutHunter Agree on the RQD 29/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $5.22 and keeping dry powder in case we test $4.85.

RE RedlineAuditor Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.33 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $5.22

The Q3 2026 interim results show a $14.1M net loss, and the RQD rating carries a Strong Sell grade with negative free cash flow.

Careful chasing USGO at $5.22. The Q3 2026 interim results show a $14.1M net loss, and the RQD rating carries a Strong Sell grade with negative free cash flow.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $4.33 on multiple compression.

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