Solitario Resources Corp. (XPL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$0.48 -5.49% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.47

Solitario Resources Corp. (XPL) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $45.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is XPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Solitario Resources Corp. (NYSE: XPL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $0.48 (-5.49% 1D, market cap $45.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, XPL ranks #202 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does XPL compare to NAMM and SRL in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), XPL carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -15.5%. By comparison, NAMM (Namib Minerals) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $43.1M) and SRL (Scully Royalty Ltd.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $61.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, XPL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XPL leads on capital efficiency (-15.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XPL?
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Per XPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000917225), Solitario Resources Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$3.8M in net income, and -$3.6M in free cash flow against $25.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.47 (-1.18%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (12)SEC (10)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.3% Base Target
$1 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE XPL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XPL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY XPL SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (31% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$0.57-10.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$0.51+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$0.51-5.9% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$0.48-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a XPL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While XPL currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.59) and Max Pain ($0.50) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.03.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XPL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “XPL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
36.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $0$0.48H: $1
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on XPL

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

-15.5% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -7.50% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (35)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like XPL
  • ✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XPL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of XPL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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XPL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -41.46%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $0.51H $0.51L $0.48C $0.48VOL 100.6K
RES: $0.77SUP: $0.46SMA50: $0.59SMA200: $0.75
$0.97$0.84$0.70$0.56$0.43RES $0.77SUP $0.46$0.482026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XPL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XPL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XPL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XPL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XPL)

Materials Rank #202 of 270 ⚔️ NAMM vs XPL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (XPL vs. NAMM, SRL, USGO, FURY)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Solitario Resources Corp. (XPL) ranks #202 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #246 by equity capitalization ($45.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, XPL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while XPL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -15.5% ROIC and — gross margin. FURY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with XPL at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
XPL ACTIVE
Solitario Resources Corp.
D- 39/100 — — -15.5% -5.49% $45.0M Benchmark Subject
NAMM
Namib Minerals
D 46/100 — — — -0.01% $43.1M /namm-vs-xpl →
SRL
Scully Royalty Ltd.
D 46/100 — — — -9.29% $61.5M /srl-vs-xpl →
USGO
U.S. GoldMining Inc.
E 29/100 — — -35.0% -6.70% $73.3M /usgo-vs-xpl →
FURY
Fury Gold Mines Limited
D+ 54/100 — — — -5.23% $87.9M /fury-vs-xpl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000917225

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Solitario Resources Corp. (XPL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$3.8M, operating cash flow of -$3.6M, and free cash flow of -$3.6M (+30.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, XPL closed FY2025 with $25.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$3.8M -$3.6M -$3.6M $25.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$5.4M -$5.1M -$5.1M $23.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$3.8M -$3.3M -$3.3M — —

3. XPL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Solitario Resources Corp. (NYSE: XPL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $0.48 (-5.49% 1D, market cap $45.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, XPL ranks #202 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XPL compare to NAMM and SRL in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), XPL carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -15.5%. By comparison, NAMM (Namib Minerals) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $43.1M) and SRL (Scully Royalty Ltd.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $61.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, XPL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XPL leads on capital efficiency (-15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XPL?

Per XPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000917225), Solitario Resources Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$3.8M in net income, and -$3.6M in free cash flow against $25.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XPL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XPL last traded at $0.48 (-5.49% on volume of 100,560 shares), positioning the stock -18.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.59) and -36.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.75). Across its 52-week range of $0.47 to $0.98, XPL sits at the 2.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($1.00 to $0.52).

XPL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell XPL stock right now?

Solitario Resources Corp. (XPL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 39/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is XPL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

XPL's 12-month base price target is $0.44 (range $0.34 to $1.03), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

XPL — Solitario Resources Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:47:08Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, XPL scores 39 out of 100 and carries a letter grade of D-, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across its five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 8 of 20, reflecting a ROIC of -15.5% and an FCF yield of -7.5%; for a prospective investor, this means the business is not currently generating cash returns on capital. Whale/13F Flow scores 12 of 20 on institutional accumulation and options positioning, a modest reading that suggests some institutional interest without strong conviction. Insider Conviction scores 3 of 20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, the weakest pillar and a signal that insiders are not showing confidence through trading activity. Macro Regime Fit scores 6 of 20 with a Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted, indicating the stock moves in line with the market without an identified defensive offset. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 10 of 20, with an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 3 of 9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5, pointing to moderate but weakening financial health. Taken together, the scores describe a low-priced, cash-consuming issuer where the upside case depends on a future operating turn that the current source data does not demonstrate. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because P/E and EV/EBITDA are unavailable in the source data, and the negative FCF yield means any value case rests on factors outside the reported cash flows.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$-3.8MN/A$-3.6M$0.1MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$0.0M$-5.4MN/A$-5.1M$0.1MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$0.0M$-3.8MN/A$-3.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, net losses and negative free cash flow appear in each reported period, and gross, operating, and net margins are all listed as 0%. Per the market data, ROIC is -15.5% and FCF yield is -7.5%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 3 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Cash was $0.1M in the FY 2025 and FY 2024 periods and is N/A for FY 2023, while debt is N/A across all periods, so the source data does not fully characterize the balance sheet posture.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire lists six items, all tagged relatedSymbol XPL and rated YELLOW. The headlines include a Solitario CEO presentation at John Tumazos Very Independent Research, LLC, a Simply Wall St stock analysis referencing Tactical Resources (Nasdaq:TREO), a Yahoo Finance seasonal chart for Fury Gold Mines, a Stock Titan profile for Largo (LGO), a Yahoo Finance seasonal chart for Western Copper and Gold (WRN), and a Stock Titan profile for Electra Battery Materials (ELBM). Their summaries are generic market-coverage descriptions and do not describe a specific fundamental event beyond the conference presentation. Risk watch items include the absence of a substantive company-specific announcement in the wire and the reliance on peer-company references. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What specific assets, projects, or products generate or are intended to generate revenue, given zero reported revenue across all listed periods?
  • What is the cash runway, given cash of $0.1M against negative free cash flow of $-3.6M in FY 2025 and $-5.1M in FY 2024?
  • Why is debt listed as N/A in every period, and what is the full capital structure?
  • What explains the difference between the reported EPS of N/A and the net losses shown across periods?
  • What is the nature of the CEO's presentation referenced in the news wire, and does it relate to any financing or operational milestone?

XPL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Solitario Resources Corp. (XPL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to XPL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

XPL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.48?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON XPL 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on XPL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.44 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is XPL (D- • RQD 39/100) a Buy at $0.50?

Welcome to the XPL (Solitario Resources Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 39/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.40 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $0.50

Pump the brakes on XPL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on XPL, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Solitario Resources Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.62 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $0.50

XPL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on XPL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.50 (52-wk range $0.47 - $0.98), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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