Universal Logistics Holdings Inc. (ULH) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ULH scores 35 out of 100 with a letter grade of D- and a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

• Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of -4.2% and FCF yield of -8.95%. For an investor, negative returns on invested capital and negative free-cash-flow yield mean the business is not currently generating cash in excess of its capital base, so the equity case depends on a future operating turnaround rather than current cash generation.
• Whale / 13F Flow: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The pillar is weak in the RQD assessment, and the holders section contains no 13F detail to verify the basis for the score, so an investor should treat institutional support as unconfirmed.
• Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, and it is the lowest pillar. Insider signals are weak, which removes a common confirmation signal for investors.
• Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. An investor should expect the stock to move in line with the broad market while carrying sector-specific cyclical exposure.
• Forensic Balance Sheet: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 1.26. This indicates a leveraged balance sheet with weak forensic quality, which raises financial-distress and refinancing risk.

Taken together, the valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a $459.3M market cap with negative operating, net, and FCF returns, so there is no earnings-based anchor for valuation. Upside would depend on operating margin recovery from -4.1% and free cash flow turning positive; the downside risks are continued losses and leverage. This is an educational reading of the scores, not personalized advice.

Universal Logistics Holdings Inc. (ULH) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, within the Trucking Freight/Courier Services industry, per the company profile. The profile describes the company as operating in trucking freight and courier services with a market capitalization of $0.5B. The source data does not detail the company's customers, service lines, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification.

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $1846.0M in FY 2024 to $1558.4M in FY 2025, and the company moved from positive operating and net income in FY 2024 to losses in FY 2025. Per the market data, operating margin is -4.1%, net margin is -6.4%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is -4.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 1.26. Reported debt rose from $670.3M to $682.7M while cash rose from $19.4M to $26.8M in FY 2025.

• Earnings headline (Yahoo Finance, GREEN / CATALYST): "Universal Logistics (ULH) Beats Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates." This is the only positively flagged item in the feed.
• Third-quarter results and dividend (TradingView, YELLOW / MARKET WIRE): Universal Logistics reported third-quarter 2026 financial results and declared a dividend.
• Rebound narrative (Simply Wall St, YELLOW / MARKET WIRE): "Universal Logistics (ULH) Stock Rebounds As Q3 Earnings Revive Profitability."
• Q3 snapshot (Yahoo Finance, YELLOW / MARKET WIRE): "Universal Truckload: Q3 Earnings Snapshot."
• Technical risk watch (MarketBeat, YELLOW / MARKET WIRE): The stock crossed below its 50-day moving average.
• Forecast/analyst coverage (Moomoo, YELLOW / MARKET WIRE): A stock forecast and analyst-ratings page was published, but no ratings are included in the source data.
• Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Sector Industrials, industry Trucking Freight/Courier Services, supply chain NONE, no butterfly links, and no proprietary signals.

Risk watch: the feed's earnings headlines conflict with the sharply negative FY 2025 reported results and the negative RQD cash-flow pillar. The source data does not reconcile these, so the earnings-beat and profitability-revival framing should be weighed against the audited trend.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals. Sector correlations and 2nd-order dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. An investor should note that the absence of mapped links means no supply-chain ripple effects can be verified here; the only sector context available is that ULH sits in Trucking Freight/Courier Services with beta of 1.0 per the RQD rating and market data.

• What drove the revenue decline from $1846.0M to $1558.4M and the swing to operating losses in FY 2025, and is there a path back to positive operating income?
• Why do the Q3 earnings headlines describe a beat and a profitability revival while the reported annual and RQD metrics remain negative, and what were the actual Q3 figures?
• What are the EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA figures, which are absent from the source data, and how does the company value on an earnings basis?
• What is the FY 2023 cash and debt position, which is recorded as N/A, and how has leverage (Debt/Equity 1.26) trended over time?
• Who holds the stock, including any 13F institutional positions and insider Form 4 activity, given that the holders and analyst sections are empty?