AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc. (UAVS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$0.40 -14.48% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.39

AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc. (UAVS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $29.1M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is UAVS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc. (NYSE: UAVS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $0.40 (-14.48% 1D, market cap $29.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, UAVS ranks #449 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does UAVS compare to BAER and MOB in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), UAVS carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 51.8%, and ROIC of -32.4%. By comparison, BAER (Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 5.8x, ROIC —, cap $24.8M) and MOB (Mobilicom Limited) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $42.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BAER leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while UAVS leads on capital efficiency (-32.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UAVS?
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Per UAVS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000008504), AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc. generated $12.8M in revenue (-4.3% YoY), -$5.3M in net income, and -$10.0M in free cash flow against $42.2M in total assets and $209.6K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.39 (-2.80%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510025
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (7)SEC (5)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15% Base Target
$2 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE UAVS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UAVS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY UAVS SCORES 25/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (32% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 25.8 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+7/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$0.78-14.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
30
Grade E$0.67-13.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$0.58-31% Next Q
Current
25
Grade E$0.40-10.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (33) → E (25)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a UAVS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While UAVS currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.87) and Max Pain ($0.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.24.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UAVS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “UAVS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your UAVS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $0.40: 25000.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.27
$6,750
$-3,250 (-32.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $0.34
$8,500
$-1,500 (-15.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $2.24
$56,000
+$46,000 (+460.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$058%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring UAVS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of UAVS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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UAVS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -61.90%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $0.54H $0.54L $0.40C $0.40VOL 1.79M
RES: $1.06SUP: $0.26SMA50: $0.87SMA200: $0.95
$1.58$1.26$0.94$0.62$0.30RES $1.06SUP $0.26$0.402026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

UAVS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UAVS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UAVS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UAVS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UAVS)

Industrials Rank #449 of 485 ⚔️ BAER vs UAVS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (UAVS vs. BAER, MOB, DUKR, EVTL)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc. (UAVS) ranks #449 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #425 by equity capitalization ($29.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BAER leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while UAVS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -32.4% ROIC and 51.8% gross margin. BAER currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with UAVS at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
UAVS ACTIVE
AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc.
E 25/100 — 51.8% -32.4% -14.48% $29.1M Benchmark Subject
BAER
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc.
D 47/100 5.8x 42.1% — -10.26% $24.8M /baer-vs-uavs →
MOB
Mobilicom Limited
D 45/100 — — — -5.81% $42.1M /mob-vs-uavs →
DUKR
DUKE Robotics Corp.
D- 35/100 11.7x — -35.0% -6.51% $13.2M /dukr-vs-uavs →
EVTL
Vertical Aerospace Ltd.
D 46/100 — — — -5.38% $72.1M /evtl-vs-uavs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000008504

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc. (UAVS) reported GAAP revenue of $12.8M (-4.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $13.4M , and -6.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$5.3M, operating cash flow of -$10.0M, and free cash flow of -$10.0M (-51.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, UAVS closed FY2025 with $42.2M in total assets against $209.6K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $12.8M -$5.3M -$10.0M -$10.0M $42.2M $209.6K
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $13.4M -$35.0M -$6.6M -$6.6M $20.6M $274.4K
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $13.7M -$42.4M -$11.0M -$11.0M — —

3. UAVS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is UAVS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc. (NYSE: UAVS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $0.40 (-14.48% 1D, market cap $29.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, UAVS ranks #449 in composite RQD confidence.

How does UAVS compare to BAER and MOB in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), UAVS carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 51.8%, and ROIC of -32.4%. By comparison, BAER (Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 5.8x, ROIC —, cap $24.8M) and MOB (Mobilicom Limited) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $42.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BAER leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while UAVS leads on capital efficiency (-32.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UAVS?

Per UAVS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000008504), AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc. generated $12.8M in revenue (-4.3% YoY), -$5.3M in net income, and -$10.0M in free cash flow against $42.2M in total assets and $209.6K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is UAVS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

UAVS last traded at $0.40 (-14.48% on volume of 1,578,950 shares), positioning the stock -54.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.87) and -57.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.95). Across its 52-week range of $0.44 to $2.13, UAVS sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.45).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 25/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

UAVS — AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:48:16Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

UAVS scores 25 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 0/20 (ROIC of -32.4%; FCF yield of 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 7/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 5/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20 (Altman Z-Score 0.2; Piotroski F-Score 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.01). For a prospective investor, the Cash Engine pillar carries the most weight in the score: a zero reading means the company is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow that the rating can credit. The forensic pillar's low Altman Z-Score signals elevated distress risk per the rating's own framework, while the very low Debt/Equity figure indicates that leverage is not the primary balance-sheet concern. Any upside case would have to rest on a turnaround in operating economics rather than on current cash generation, and the rating does not credit the institutional or insider-flow pillars enough to offset the weakness in fundamentals.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Aerospace industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 51.8%. —

Per the market data, operating margin is -60%, net margin is -41.2%, and ROIC is -32.4%. The Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.01. Reported revenue was broadly flat across the three periods, while operating and net losses were substantial in each.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Institutional accumulation and options positioning (7/20) plus a low Debt/Equity of 0.01 give the balance sheet a non-leverage-driven floor. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 0/20 (ROIC -32.4%, FCF yield —) and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $0.44 – $2.13 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: ROIC of -32.4%, FCF yield of 0%, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 indicate no current cash generation and elevated distress risk. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signals are recorded. —

  • Key Question #1: What is FY 2023 debt and FY 2025 and FY 2023 cash, and what is the EPS for each period?
  • Key Question #2: What drives the gap between FY 2024 net income of -$35.0M and operating income of -$12.6M, and does it recur?
  • Key Question #3: What is the basis for the forward valuation and current P/E, given that these metrics are unavailable?

UAVS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc. (UAVS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to UAVS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

UAVS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.40?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON UAVS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on UAVS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.57 (+23.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning (7/20) plus a low Debt/Equity of 0.01 give the balance sheet a non-leverage-driven f

The street is overcomplicating AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc. (UAVS). Institutional accumulation and options positioning (7/20) plus a low Debt/Equity of 0.01 give the balance sheet a non-leverage-driven floor.. With an RQD score of 25/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $0.50.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Aerospace. If gross margin (51.8%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SK SkepticalCFA Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.36 (-21.7%)
Spot @ $0.46

ROIC of -32.4%, FCF yield of 0%, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 indicate no current cash generation and elevated distress risk.

Careful chasing UAVS at $0.46. ROIC of -32.4%, FCF yield of 0%, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 indicate no current cash generation and elevated distress risk.. Gross margin is 51.8%, but operating margin is -60.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $0.36 on multiple compression.

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