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Stock Ratings / Industrials / EVTL
HOVR (34) MOB (45) SIF (37) DPRO (45) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$0.42 -1.73% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.42

Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $72.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on EVTL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EVTL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (NYSE: EVTL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $0.42 (-1.73% 1D, market cap $72.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, EVTL ranks #272 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EVTL compare to HOVR and MOB in the Industrials sector?
▼

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), EVTL carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HOVR (New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E 9.9x, ROIC —, cap $80.2M) and MOB (Mobilicom Limited) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $42.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOVR leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while SIF leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EVTL?
▼

For Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #272 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.42 (-0.50%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (6)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.8% Base Target
$8 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE EVTL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EVTL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EVTL SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.1% FCF Margin ($2.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (40.4) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$0.41-2.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$0.40+10% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$0.44-4.5% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$0.42-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EVTL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While EVTL currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.55) and Max Pain ($0.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.70.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EVTL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EVTL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
40.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $0$0.42H: $7
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on EVTL

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (35)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like EVTL
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EVTL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of EVTL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
EVTL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -82.20%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $0.43H $0.43L $0.42C $0.42VOL 2.73M
RES: $0.38SUP: $-0.25SMA50: $0.55SMA200: $2.18
$5.03$3.76$2.49$1.22$-0.05RES $0.38SUP $-0.25$0.422026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EVTL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EVTL Butterfly Map → + Track EVTL →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EVTL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EVTL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EVTL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EVTL)

Industrials Rank #272 of 485 ⚔️ HOVR vs EVTL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (EVTL vs. HOVR, MOB, SIF, DPRO)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) ranks #272 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #389 by equity capitalization ($72.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HOVR leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while SIF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.4% ROIC and 12.5% gross margin. EVTL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EVTL ACTIVE
Vertical Aerospace Ltd.
D 46/100 — — — -1.73% $72.1M Benchmark Subject
HOVR
New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share
E 34/100 9.9x — — -5.91% $80.2M /hovr-vs-evtl →
MOB
Mobilicom Limited
D 45/100 — — — -0.91% $42.1M /mob-vs-evtl →
SIF
SIFCO Industries Inc.
D- 37/100 — 12.5% 0.4% -5.14% $125.7M /sif-vs-evtl →
DPRO
Draganfly Inc.
D 45/100 — — — -4.88% $136.4M /dpro-vs-evtl →

2. EVTL Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) operates in Aerospace (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $72.1M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. EVTL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EVTL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (NYSE: EVTL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $0.42 (-1.73% 1D, market cap $72.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, EVTL ranks #272 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EVTL compare to HOVR and MOB in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), EVTL carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HOVR (New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E 9.9x, ROIC —, cap $80.2M) and MOB (Mobilicom Limited) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $42.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOVR leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while SIF leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EVTL?

For Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #272 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EVTL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EVTL last traded at $0.42 (-1.73% on volume of 2,725,445 shares), positioning the stock -23.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.55) and -80.73% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.18). Across its 52-week range of $0.34 to $7.33, EVTL sits at the 1.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.47).

EVTL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell EVTL stock right now?

Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 46/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is EVTL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

EVTL's 12-month base price target is $0.4 (range $0.31 to $7.7), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: EVTL RQD Cockpit EVTL 12M Forecast EVTL Earnings & Move EVTL Dividends & DRIP EVTL Insiders & 13F EVTL Whale Options EVTL Profit Sankey EVTL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

EVTL — Vertical Aerospace Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:18:51Z

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, cash, and debt figures for recent periods, given that the financials section is empty?
  • What is the company's current cash runway and funding plan, given the "financial pressures" headline and a 0% FCF yield?
  • What are the consensus rating and price targets after the reported target cuts and the Barclays upgrade?
  • Which seat and navigation suppliers are involved in the Valo finalization, and how material are they to production timelines?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what is their recent buying or selling activity?

EVTL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EVTL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EVTL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.42?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EVTL 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EVTL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $0.46 (+7.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is EVTL (D • RQD 47/100) a Buy at $0.43?

Welcome to the EVTL (Vertical Aerospace Ltd.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 47/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Aerospace. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.35 (-18.6%)
Spot @ $0.43

Pump the brakes on EVTL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on EVTL, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Vertical Aerospace Ltd. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.50 (+16.3%)
Spot @ $0.43

EVTL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on EVTL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Aerospace and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.43 (52-wk range $0.34 - $7.33), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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