Stock Ratings / Technology / TXN / financials

AMAT (67) ARM (58) ADI (71) MRVL (57) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$300.84 -3.40% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $299.72

Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 79/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (57% profit margin, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 79/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $285.96B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TXN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TXN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-02, Texas Instruments Incorporated (NASDAQ: TXN) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $300.84 (-3.40% 1D, market cap $285.96B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 20/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TXN ranks #14 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TXN compare to AMAT and ARM in the Technology sector?

▼

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), TXN carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 57.2x, gross margin of 57.0%, and ROIC of 17.9%. By comparison, AMAT (Applied Materials Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 47.8x, ROIC 24.5%, cap $334.63B) and ARM (Arm Holdings plc) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.7%, cap $243.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMAT leads on earnings multiple (47.8x) while AMAT leads on capital efficiency (24.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TXN?

▼

Per TXN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000097476), Texas Instruments Incorporated generated $17.68B in revenue (+13.0% YoY), $5.00B in net income, and $2.60B in free cash flow against $34.59B in total assets and $13.55B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (57% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 57x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $299.73 (-0.37%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 14.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 79/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TXN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (79/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TXN SCORES 79/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+20/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.8% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 12.94 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$287.85-3.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$277.78+11.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$308.91-2.6% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$300.84+8.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (71) → B+ (79)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TXN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 79/100 (B+) score, TXN faces multiple-compression risk if 57.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 57x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 54.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($277.71) or 200D SMA ($260.89) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($329.27) toward Bear Floor ($246.69).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TXN• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TXN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 79%NO 21%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How TXN Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$2.60B (14.7% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $17.52B

FY24

Rev $15.64B

FY25

Rev $17.68B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$17.68B	57%	34.1%	$5.00B	$2.60B	17.9%
FY 2024	$15.64B	58.1%	34.9%	$4.80B	$1.50B	16.3%
FY 2023	$17.52B	57%	41.8%	$6.51B	$5.63B	6.1%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TXN)

✓Walkthrough of TXN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TXN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.10%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $309.8H $312.9L $300.8C $300.8VOL 5.66M

RES: $314.3SUP: $223.4SMA50: $277.7SMA200: $260.9

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TXN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TXN Butterfly Map → + Track TXN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

40.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TXN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

TXN → F Confirmed Filing

Texas Instruments analog battery-management systems (BMS), 48V zonal body controllers, and radar/infotainment chips double semiconductor content per vehicle across Ford hybrid, EV, and Pro commercial fleets.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TXN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TXN)

Technology Rank #14 of 714 ⚔️ AMAT vs TXN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TXN vs. AMAT, ARM, ADI, MRVL)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) ranks #14 by composite RQD confidence (79/100, grade B+) and #21 by equity capitalization ($285.96B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMAT leads on earnings valuation at 47.8x trailing P/E, while AMAT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.5% ROIC and 48.7% gross margin. TXN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 79/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TXN ACTIVE Texas Instruments Incorporated	B+	79/100	57.2x	57.0%	17.9%	-3.40%	$285.96B	Benchmark Subject
AMAT Applied Materials Inc.	C+	67/100	47.8x	48.7%	24.5%	-7.49%	$334.63B	/amat-vs-txn →
ARM Arm Holdings plc	D+	58/100	—	96.0%	3.7%	-9.97%	$243.42B	/arm-vs-txn →
ADI Analog Devices Inc.	B-	71/100	92.6x	61.5%	6.1%	-3.73%	$209.95B	/adi-vs-txn →
MRVL Marvell Technology Inc.	D+	57/100	71.7x	51.0%	6.7%	-10.05%	$191.46B	/mrvl-vs-txn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000097476

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) reported GAAP revenue of $17.68B (+13.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.64B , and +0.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $5.00B, operating cash flow of $7.15B, and free cash flow of $2.60B (+73.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, TXN closed FY2025 with $34.59B in total assets against $13.55B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 12.94, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$17.68B	$5.00B	$7.15B	$2.60B	$34.59B	$13.55B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$15.64B	$4.80B	$6.32B	$1.50B	$35.51B	$12.85B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$17.52B	$6.51B	$6.42B	$5.63B	$157.28B	$36.80B

3. TXN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TXN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TXN compare to AMAT and ARM in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TXN?

Where is TXN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TXN last traded at $300.84 (-3.40% on volume of 12,998,733 shares), positioning the stock +8.33% above its 50-day simple moving average ($277.71) and +15.31% above its 200-day simple moving average ($260.89). Across its 52-week range of $152.73 to $334.03, TXN sits at the 81.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($280.38 to $321.30).

TXN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), TXN converted $17.7B of revenue into a 57% gross margin, 34.1% operating margin, and $2.6B in free cash flow (14.7% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: TXN RQD Cockpit TXN 12M Forecast TXN Earnings & Move TXN Dividends & DRIP TXN Insiders & 13F TXN Whale Options TXN Profit Sankey TXN News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 79/100 (B+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TXN — Texas Instruments Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:08:57Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TXN scores 79 out of 100 for a letter grade of B+, labeled "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 16 of 20 (ROIC 17.9%; FCF yield 0.91%), Whale 13F Flow at 20 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 12 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 13 of 20 (Beta 1.2; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18 of 20 (Altman Z 12.94; Piotroski F 9/9; Debt/Equity 0.83).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is institutional flow, which is at its maximum. The weakest relative pillars are insider conviction and macro regime fit, which together suggest that the ownership signal is more institutional than insider-driven and that the stock's sensitivity to the broader market (Beta 1.2) is a meaningful factor. The forensic balance sheet score is high, consistent with the Altman Z and Piotroski readings. The cash engine score is moderate, and the FCF yield of 0.91% is low, which is a valuation tradeoff: investors are paying a high multiple for each dollar of free cash flow, so the cash engine must keep compounding for the stock to justify its price. The rating is a composite of these inputs and does not by itself indicate expected returns.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
312.94	$285.96B	57.2	48	30	5.47	1.75%	1.2	$152.73 - $334.03	17.9%

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$17682.0M	$6023.0M	$5001.0M	N/A	$2603.0M	$3225.0M	$13548.0M
FY 2024	$15641.0M	$5465.0M	$4799.0M	N/A	$1498.0M	$3200.0M	$12846.0M
FY 2023	$17519.0M	$7331.0M	$6510.0M	N/A	$5631.6M	N/A	$36802.4M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $15641.0M in FY 2024 to $17682.0M in FY 2025, and FY 2023 revenue was $17519.0M. Per the Roarable RQD rating and market data, gross margin is 57%, operating margin is 34.1%, net margin is 28.3%, and ROIC is 17.9%. The Altman Z-Score is 12.94 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, both per the forensic balance sheet pillar. Debt/Equity is 0.83. Per the SEC financials, reported debt rose to $13548.0M in FY 2025 from $12846.0M in FY 2024, and was $36802.4M in FY 2023.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items were published covering TXN, from Yahoo Finance, StockInvest.us, and Seeking Alpha. One item is flagged RED and labeled "RISK WATCH": a Yahoo Finance report headlined that TXN stock falls amid a market uptick. The remaining five are labeled "MARKET WIRE" with YELLOW status and cover Q3 results and guidance topping estimates, profit recovery and valuation questions, and general trending-stock coverage. No proprietary signals are present in the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph. The graph contains one confirmed link: TXN as a direct supplier to Ford (F), tagged as a tailwind under the EV, autonomy, and grid-storage theme, with a stated competing explanation of legacy OEM dealer destocking and slower North American pure-BEV adoption, and a next catalyst of the quarterly automotive commentary and 300mm CHIPS ITC cash receipts. The graph also notes that elevated CapEx on US analog fabs temporarily suppresses free-cash-flow conversion.

Open Questions

What is the consensus analyst rating and price target distribution, given that the analyst data section is empty?
Which specific institutions drove the 13F accumulation signal, and what were the position sizes and timing?
What insider and Congressional transactions make up the cluster flow behind the insider conviction score?
How much of the FY 2023 debt of $36802.4M was retired, and what drove the decline to $12846.0M by FY 2024?
What is the expected timing and size of CHIPS Act investment tax credit cash receipts relative to the 300mm CapEx program?

TXN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TXN Debate Forum (3) ↓

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 5h ago

Texas Instruments (TXN) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to Know

Yahoo Finance report covering Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE StockInvest.us • 8h ago

Texas Instruments Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy TXN?

StockInvest.us report covering Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 11h ago

Texas Instruments ticks up as Q3 results, guidance top estimates (TXN:NASDAQ)

Seeking Alpha report covering Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 14h ago

Texas Instruments (TXN) Sees Profits Recover, but Is the Stock Still Expensive?

Yahoo Finance report covering Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 17h ago

Stay Ahead of the Game With Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Earnings: Wall Street's Insights on Key Metrics

Yahoo Finance report covering Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

Here is What to Know Beyond Why Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) is a Trending Stock

Yahoo Finance report covering Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

TXN Surges 67% Over the Past Year: Is the Stock Still Worth Buying?

Yahoo Finance report covering Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

TXN to Report Q3 Earnings: Should You Buy, Hold or Sell the Stock?

Yahoo Finance report covering Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TXN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $300.84?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TXN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $369.27 (+18.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TXN (B+ • RQD 79/100) a Buy at $312.94?

Welcome to the TXN (Texas Instruments Incorporated) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 79/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to capital efficiency (17.9% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (57.2x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $234.71 (-25.0%)

Spot @ $312.94

Pump the brakes on TXN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TXN, but look at what you are paying: 57.2x trailing P/E with 57.0% gross margins. Unless Texas Instruments Incorporated expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $384.92 (+23.0%)

Spot @ $312.94

TXN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TXN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $312.94 (52-wk range $152.73 - $334.03), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.