Stock Ratings / Materials / TX / forecast

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Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$52.77 -2.39% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.44

Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $10.61B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (NYSE: TX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $52.77 (-2.39% 1D, market cap $10.61B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TX ranks #66 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TX compare to GGB and CRS in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), TX carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GGB (Gerdau S.A.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $9.38B) and CRS (Carpenter Technology Corporation) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 39.4x, ROIC 16.9%, cap $14.80B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GGB leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while CRS leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TX?

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For Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #66 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.44 (-0.62%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 7.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TX SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 7.4% FCF Margin ($297.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$57.94+0.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$58.16-7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$54.06-2.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$52.77-0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → D+ (54)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TX currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($56.36) and Max Pain ($55.41) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $63.22.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $52.77: 189.5 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $40.42

$7,660

$-2,340 (-23.4%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $51.82

$9,820

$-180 (-1.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $63.22

$11,980

+$1,980 (+19.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$54	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$59	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$46	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TX)

✓Walkthrough of TX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.41%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $53.92H $54.06L $52.77C $52.77VOL 366.1K

RES: $60.64SUP: $40.52SMA50: $56.36SMA200: $47.67

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TX Butterfly Map → + Track TX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TX)

Materials Rank #66 of 270 ⚔️ GGB vs TX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TX vs. GGB, CRS, CMC, PKX)

Industry: Steel/Iron Ore (26 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX) ranks #66 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #42 by equity capitalization ($10.61B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GGB leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while CRS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 26.7% gross margin. CRS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with TX at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TX ACTIVE Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value)	D+	54/100	—	—	—	-2.39%	$10.61B	Benchmark Subject
GGB Gerdau S.A.	C-	60/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-1.69%	$9.38B	/ggb-vs-tx →
CRS Carpenter Technology Corporation	C	62/100	39.4x	26.7%	16.9%	-5.24%	$14.80B	/crs-vs-tx →
CMC Commercial Metals Company	D	48/100	85.3x	—	1.5%	-2.62%	$7.23B	/cmc-vs-tx →
PKX POSCO HOLDINGS INC. (Each representing 1/4th of a share of )	D	44/100	—	—	—	-2.44%	$16.48B	/pkx-vs-tx →

2. TX Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX) operates in Steel/Iron Ore (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $10.61B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TX compare to GGB and CRS in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TX?

Where is TX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TX last traded at $52.77 (-2.39% on volume of 374,135 shares), positioning the stock -6.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($56.36) and +10.70% above its 200-day simple moving average ($47.67). Across its 52-week range of $35.01 to $60.21, TX sits at the 70.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($49.29 to $56.25).

TX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TX's 12-month stock price target?

Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $51.82 (-1.8% from $52.77), with a bull-case target of $63.22 and a bear-case floor of $40.42.

Is TX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TX D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 54/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: TX RQD Cockpit TX 12M Forecast TX Earnings & Move TX Dividends & DRIP TX Insiders & 13F TX Whale Options TX Profit Sankey TX News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 54/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TX — Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:23Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TX scores 54 out of a possible 100, earning a D+ grade and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars break down as follows:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%). This is the weakest read on cash generation, since the source reports no measurable return on invested capital and no free-cash-flow yield.
Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). The score signals limited institutional conviction, though no 13F detail is provided to explain it.
Insider Conviction: 9 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). The score reflects a weak insider-buying signal; no underlying trades are itemized in the source.
Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market, offering neither defensive protection nor amplified upside on its own.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). This is the strongest pillar, indicating a comparatively sound balance sheet relative to the other inputs.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the implications are that the rating points to weak operating returns and modest institutional and insider conviction, partially offset by a balance sheet that the forensic metrics read as reasonably sound. Upside drivers, valuation tradeoffs, and ripple effects are not quantified in the source data beyond these scores. The price of $54.06 sits near the upper end of the 52-week range of $35.01 to $60.21, while the zero reported margins and ROIC leave valuation support unclear. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply-chain designation is "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data.

Open Questions

What are the company's revenue, operating income, and net income for recent reported periods, given that the financials section is empty?
Why does the market data report 0% for all margins and ROIC, and does this reflect a true zero or missing data?
What is the current analyst consensus rating and price target, and how do they compare to the $54.06 price?
Which insider, 13F institutional, or Congressional trades underlie the insider and whale pillar scores?
What are the company's principal products, customers, and iron ore or steel supply dependencies?

TX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TX Debate Forum (3) ↓

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TX vs. STLD: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now?

TX vs. STLD: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?

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🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 48d ago

Ternium (TX) Could Be 2% Below Fair Value On Its Fresh Zacks Rank #1

Ternium (NYSE:TX) just caught investor attention after receiving a Zacks Rank #1 rating. This was driven by higher earnings estimate revisions, stronger perceived value metrics, and a dividend yield above its industry av

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🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 48d ago

Does Analyst Upgrades And Dividend Appeal Change The Bull Case For Ternium (TX)?

Recently, Ternium S.A. received a series of positive analyst updates, including a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), citing rising earnings estimates, attractive valuation metrics, and an above-industry dividend yield for the s

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Here's Why You Should Hold DOW Stock in Your Portfolio for Now

Dow's growth projects, cost actions and strong liquidity support its outlook, while soft demand and higher feedstock costs remain key pressures.

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $52.77?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TX 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $58.38 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TX (D+ • RQD 54/100) a Buy at $54.06?

Welcome to the TX (Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 54/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Steel/Iron Ore. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $42.71 (-21.0%)

Spot @ $54.06

Pump the brakes on TX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TX, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $67.03 (+24.0%)

Spot @ $54.06

TX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Steel/Iron Ore and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $54.06 (52-wk range $35.01 - $60.21), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.