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Titan International Inc. (TWI) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$4.97 +6.88% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.02

Titan International Inc. (TWI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 19/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $300.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TWI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Titan International Inc. (NYSE: TWI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 19/100 at a spot price of $4.97 (+6.88% 1D, market cap $300.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TWI ranks #265 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TWI compare to FRD and ASTL in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), TWI carries a Roarable E (19/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 13.9%, and ROIC of 5.3%. By comparison, FRD (Friedman Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 15.9x, ROIC 13.7%, cap $304.1M) and ASTL (Algoma Steel Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $504.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IIIN leads on earnings multiple (13.7x) while FRD leads on capital efficiency (13.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TWI?
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Per TWI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000899751), Titan International Inc. generated $1.83B in revenue (-0.9% YoY), -$61.2M in net income, and -$24.6M in free cash flow against $1.67B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.02 (+1.05%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (19/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510019
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (6)Whales (3)SEC (4)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-17.5% Base Target
$12 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE TWI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TWI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (19/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TWI SCORES 19/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 13.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+4/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
27
Grade E$6.98-3.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
24
Grade E$6.76-1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
22
Grade E$6.66-25.4% Next Q
Current
19
Grade E$4.97-12% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (27) → E (19)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TWI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TWI currently carries a cautious 19/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.88) and Max Pain ($5.22) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.29.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TWI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TWI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 19%NO 81%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

TWI Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (TWI)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on TWI. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TWI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TWI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TWI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.00%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $4.91H $4.97L $4.65C $4.97VOL 1.94M
RES: $8.35SUP: $4.55SMA50: $6.88SMA200: $7.77
$8.69$7.58$6.48$5.37$4.27RES $8.35SUP $4.55$4.972026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TWI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TWI Butterfly Map → + Track TWI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TWI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TWI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TWI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TWI)

Materials Rank #265 of 270 ⚔️ FRD vs TWI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TWI vs. FRD, ASTL, IIIN, MTUS)

Industry: Steel/Iron Ore (26 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Titan International Inc. (TWI) ranks #265 by composite RQD confidence (19/100, grade E) and #202 by equity capitalization ($300.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IIIN leads on earnings valuation at 13.7x trailing P/E, while FRD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.7% ROIC and — gross margin. FRD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with TWI at 19/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TWI ACTIVE
Titan International Inc.
E 19/100 — 13.9% 5.3% +6.88% $300.4M Benchmark Subject
FRD
Friedman Industries Inc.
C- 60/100 15.9x — 13.7% -1.47% $304.1M /frd-vs-twi →
ASTL
Algoma Steel Group Inc.
D+ 56/100 — — — +3.56% $504.0M /astl-vs-twi →
IIIN
Insteel Industries Inc.
D 48/100 13.7x 14.4% 11.4% +1.37% $550.6M /iiin-vs-twi →
MTUS
Metallus Inc.
D+ 52/100 — 8.2% -0.2% +0.95% $875.4M /mtus-vs-twi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000899751 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Titan International Inc. (TWI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.83B (-0.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.85B , and +0.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$61.2M, operating cash flow of $30.0M, and free cash flow of -$24.6M (-132.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, TWI closed FY2025 with $1.67B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.78, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.83B -$61.2M $30.0M -$24.6M $1.67B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.85B -$3.6M $141.5M $75.9M $1.58B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.82B $83.7M $179.3M $179.3M — —

3. TWI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TWI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Titan International Inc. (NYSE: TWI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 19/100 at a spot price of $4.97 (+6.88% 1D, market cap $300.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TWI ranks #265 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TWI compare to FRD and ASTL in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), TWI carries a Roarable E (19/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 13.9%, and ROIC of 5.3%. By comparison, FRD (Friedman Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 15.9x, ROIC 13.7%, cap $304.1M) and ASTL (Algoma Steel Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $504.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IIIN leads on earnings multiple (13.7x) while FRD leads on capital efficiency (13.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TWI?

Per TWI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000899751), Titan International Inc. generated $1.83B in revenue (-0.9% YoY), -$61.2M in net income, and -$24.6M in free cash flow against $1.67B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TWI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TWI last traded at $4.97 (+6.88% on volume of 1,058,699 shares), positioning the stock -27.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.88) and -36.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.77). Across its 52-week range of $4.61 to $11.70, TWI sits at the 5.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 21.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.35 to $5.59).

Direct Sub-Reports: TWI RQD Cockpit TWI 12M Forecast TWI Earnings & Move TWI Dividends & DRIP TWI Insiders & 13F TWI Whale Options TWI Profit Sankey TWI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 19/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TWI — Titan International Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Titan International Inc. (TWI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 19/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $4.97 (+6.88% 1D, market capitalization $300.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.3%, gross margin of 13.9%, operating margin of 1.1%, and free cash flow yield of -7.76%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (4/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.78, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Titan International Inc. (TWI) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector, operating in the Steel/Iron Ore industry. The company's market capitalization is $0.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Titan International Inc. (TWI) reported $1.83B in annual revenue (up from $1.85B in FY2024, -0.9% YoY) and -$61.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.82B revenue, $83.7M net income) through FY2025, TWI scaled operating cash flow to $30.0M and free cash flow to -$24.6M, backed by $1.67B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 19/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -7.76% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.61 – $11.70 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against 1.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector context available is the Materials / Steel/Iron Ore classification and the beta of 1.0.

  • Key Question #1: Can TWI sustain or expand its 1.1% operating margin and 5.3% ROIC against Steel/Iron Ore peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.83B and free cash flow of -$24.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TWI's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TWI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Titan International Inc. (TWI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TWI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TWI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.97?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TWI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TWI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.00 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Cash of $202.9M in FY 2025 and a beta of 1.0 give the company a reported liquidity cushion and market-aligned volatility.

The street is overcomplicating Titan International Inc. (TWI). Cash of $202.9M in FY 2025 and a beta of 1.0 give the company a reported liquidity cushion and market-aligned volatility.. With an RQD score of 19/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 4/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $5.02.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 19/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $4.65 and keeping dry powder in case we test $4.32.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.86 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $4.65

Negative FCF yield of -7.76%, Altman Z of 1.78, and an RQD grade of E flag forensic and cash-flow risk with a Strong Sell verdict.

Negative FCF yield of -7.76%, Altman Z of 1.78, and an RQD grade of E flag forensic and cash-flow risk with a Strong Sell verdict.. Look at the math on TWI: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 5.3% ROIC and 1.1% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Steel/Iron Ore demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $4.09 before getting long.

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