The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$12.29 -5.90% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.14

The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $6.17B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TTD Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TTD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, The Trade Desk Inc. (NASDAQ: TTD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $12.29 (-5.90% 1D, market cap $6.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TTD ranks #180 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TTD compare to NIQ and BZ in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), TTD carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.9x, gross margin of 78.6%, and ROIC of 13.8%. By comparison, NIQ (NIQ Global Intelligence plc) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.7%, cap $6.01B) and BZ (KANZHUN LIMITED American Depository Shares) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $7.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TTD leads on earnings multiple (13.9x) while GDS leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TTD?
β–Ό

Per TTD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001671933), The Trade Desk Inc. generated $2.90B in revenue (+18.5% YoY), $443.3M in net income, and $795.7M in free cash flow against $6.15B in total assets and $1.65B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.14 (-1.25%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 27.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510064
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ Β· Rk C-
Cash (14)Whales (8)SEC (14)Macro (10)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$53 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TTD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TTD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TTD SCORES 64/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 27.5% FCF Margin ($795.7M FCF) & 78.6% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$12.17+3.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$12.65+0.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$12.70-3.2% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$12.29+1.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (56) β†’ C (64)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TTD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, TTD faces multiple-compression risk if 13.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 76.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.09) or 200D SMA ($19.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($12.62) toward Bear Floor ($9.84).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TTDβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTTD Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (12% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $31,058

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $559/yr
$11.2K
Yr 1
$12.5K
Yr 2
$14.0K
Yr 3
$15.7K
Yr 4
$17.6K
Yr 5
$19.7K
Yr 6
$22.1K
Yr 7
$24.8K
Yr 8
$27.7K
Yr 9
$31.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in TTD & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on TTD and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
TTD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.00%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $12.76H $13.06L $12.29C $12.29VOL 15.30M
RES: $13.92SUP: $11.07SMA50: $13.09SMA200: $19.84
$43.39$34.78$26.17$17.56$8.95RES $13.92SUP $11.07$12.292026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TTD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
5.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TTD today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TTD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TTD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TTD)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TTD vs. NIQ, BZ, GDS, SNAP)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) ranks #180 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #192 by equity capitalization ($6.17B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TTD leads on earnings valuation at 13.9x trailing P/E, while GDS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and β€” gross margin. BZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with TTD at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TTD ACTIVE
The Trade Desk Inc.
C 64/100 13.9x 78.6% 13.8% -5.90% $6.17B Benchmark Subject
NIQ
NIQ Global Intelligence plc
D 49/100 β€” β€” 1.7% -2.65% $6.01B /niq-vs-ttd β†’
BZ
KANZHUN LIMITED American Depository Shares
B+ 76/100 19.6x 85.1% 10.9% +1.60% $7.68B /bz-vs-ttd β†’
GDS
GDS Holdings Limited ADS
D+ 57/100 21.7x β€” 14.9% -5.35% $4.64B /gds-vs-ttd β†’
SNAP
Snap Inc.
D 47/100 β€” 55.0% -8.9% -5.99% $9.61B /snap-vs-ttd β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001671933

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) reported GAAP revenue of $2.90B (+18.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.44B , and +48.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $443.3M, operating cash flow of $992.7M, and free cash flow of $795.7M (+24.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, TTD closed FY2025 with $6.15B in total assets against $1.65B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.05, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.90B $443.3M $992.7M $795.7M $6.15B $1.65B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.44B $393.1M $739.5M $641.2M $6.11B $1.42B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.95B $178.9M $598.3M $510.7M $3.40B $794.7M

3. TTD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TTD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, The Trade Desk Inc. (NASDAQ: TTD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $12.29 (-5.90% 1D, market cap $6.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TTD ranks #180 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TTD compare to NIQ and BZ in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), TTD carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.9x, gross margin of 78.6%, and ROIC of 13.8%. By comparison, NIQ (NIQ Global Intelligence plc) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.7%, cap $6.01B) and BZ (KANZHUN LIMITED American Depository Shares) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $7.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TTD leads on earnings multiple (13.9x) while GDS leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TTD?

Per TTD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001671933), The Trade Desk Inc. generated $2.90B in revenue (+18.5% YoY), $443.3M in net income, and $795.7M in free cash flow against $6.15B in total assets and $1.65B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TTD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TTD last traded at $12.29 (-5.90% on volume of 16,410,101 shares), positioning the stock -6.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.09) and -38.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.84). Across its 52-week range of $11.62 to $50.06, TTD sits at the 1.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.9% ($11.20 to $13.38).

TTD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does TTD pay a dividend and is it safe?

The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 64/100 (C) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TTD β€” The Trade Desk Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:19:21Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TTD scores 64 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 14 of 20, supported by ROIC of 13.8% and an FCF yield of 12.89%. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 8 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning that the rating treats as weak. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 18 of 20, the strongest pillar, driven by SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 10 of 20, consistent with a Beta of 1.22 and the sector sensitivity the rating assigns. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 14 of 20, supported by Altman Z 2.05, Piotroski F 9/9, and Debt/Equity 0.62.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside drivers the rating points to are the high free-cash-flow yield, strong insider cluster activity, and a clean forensic balance sheet. The valuation tradeoff is that the current price of 13.06 sits far below the 52-week high of $50.06, and the rating's middling institutional-flow and macro-fit scores indicate the market has not yet re-rated the shares. The overall grade reflects a balanced profile rather than a clear directional signal, so the rating itself does not argue for either urgency or avoidance.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
13.06$6.17B13.911.79.30.940%1.22$11.62 - $50.0613.8%

Business

The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry. Per the company profile, it carries a market capitalization of $6.2B. Beyond sector and industry classification, the source data does not describe the company's specific products, customers, or revenue model.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2896.3M$589.3M$443.3MN/A$795.7M$658.2M$1651.0M
FY 2024$2444.8M$427.2M$393.1MN/A$641.2M$1369.5M$1423.3M
FY 2023$1946.1M$200.5M$178.9MN/A$510.7MN/A$794.7M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $1946.1M in FY 2023 to $2896.3M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $178.9M to $443.3M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 78.6%, operating margin 20.3%, and net margin 15.3%, with ROIC of 13.8%. The Roarable RQD rating reports an Altman Z-Score of 2.05 and a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.62. Cash declined from $1369.5M in FY 2024 to $658.2M in FY 2025 while debt rose from $1423.3M to $1651.0M, a shift the source data does not explain.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all tagged to TTD. The highest-severity item is a RED "RISK WATCH" headline stating the stock has fallen 77% while the market rose, questioning whether 14 times earnings is sufficient. Two YELLOW "MARKET WIRE" items reference a 68% decline this year and a September tumble, both framing the stock as weak. One YELLOW item covers the market dipping while TTD gained. Two GREEN "CATALYST" items cover a one-day gain and a long-run comparison to the first trading day. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so no butterfly-derived catalyst is available. Net, the news flow is predominantly risk-framed, with the positive items being price-action observations rather than fundamental catalysts.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with an empty set of butterfly links and proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The only sector context provided is the Technology sector and Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry classification.

Open Questions

  • What drove the shift from $1369.5M cash in FY 2024 to $658.2M in FY 2025 alongside debt rising to $1651.0M, and how does the company intend to manage that balance sheet?
  • Why are EPS figures reported as N/A across all three periods when net income and the trailing EPS of 0.94 are available?
  • What is the composition of the insider and Congressional trades underlying the 18 of 20 Insider Conviction pillar score?
  • What specific business drivers and competitive dynamics explain the 77% and 68% declines referenced in the news wire?
  • What is the FY 2023 cash balance, which is missing from the source financials?

TTD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to TTD Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TTD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $12.29?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TTD 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TTD:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $14.10 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TTD (C β€’ RQD 64/100) a Buy at $13.06?

Welcome to the TTD (The Trade Desk Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing. Bulls point to capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.93 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $13.06

Pump the brakes on TTD β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TTD, but look at what you are paying: 13.9x trailing P/E with 78.6% gross margins. Unless The Trade Desk Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $15.28 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $13.06

TTD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TTD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $13.06 (52-wk range $11.62 - $50.06), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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