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Stock Ratings / Technology / TRIP / earnings
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TripAdvisor Inc. (TRIP) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.2% Move

$9.22 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.20

TripAdvisor Inc. (TRIP) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.08B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TRIP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TRIP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, TripAdvisor Inc. (NASDAQ: TRIP) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $9.22 (0.00% 1D, market cap $1.08B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TRIP ranks #358 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TRIP compare to HSTM and VNET in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), TRIP carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.0x, gross margin of 92.3%, and ROIC of 13.0%. By comparison, HSTM (HealthStream Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 56.4x, ROIC 5.0%, cap $1.03B) and VNET (VNET Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $959.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRIP leads on earnings multiple (27.0x) while VNET leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRIP?
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Per TRIP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001526520), TripAdvisor Inc. generated $1.89B in revenue (+3.1% YoY), $40.0M in net income, and $245.0M in free cash flow against $2.63B in total assets and $819.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.20 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 13% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (9)Macro (7)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$18 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE TRIP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRIP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TRIP SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13% FCF Margin ($245.0M FCF) & 92.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (51.8) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$8.72+6.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$9.27-0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$9.24-0.2% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$9.22-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRIP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TRIP currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.06) and Max Pain ($9.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.41.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRIP• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TRIP Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.2% Swing Band

±$0.76 Expected Swing
$8.46 (-8.2%)Spot $9.22$9.98 (+8.2%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TRIP Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 50/100

Trailing EPS: $0.34 • YoY Revenue Growth: 3.1%

Model Bullish Setup (50/100)Model Risk Weight (50/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$1.89B$40.0M$245.0M92.3%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.83B$5.0M$144.0M93%
FY 20232023-12-31$1.79B$10.0M$235.0M92%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRIP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TRIP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TRIP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.62%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $8.94H $9.22L $8.94C $9.22VOL 2.60M
RES: $16.92SUP: $6.71SMA50: $9.06SMA200: $10.99
$15.65$13.58$11.51$9.45$7.38RES $16.92SUP $6.71$9.222026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRIP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TRIP Butterfly Map → + Track TRIP →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
20.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRIP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRIP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRIP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRIP)

Technology Rank #358 of 714 ⚔️ HSTM vs TRIP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TRIP vs. HSTM, VNET, SIFY, CEVA)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TripAdvisor Inc. (TRIP) ranks #358 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #348 by equity capitalization ($1.08B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRIP leads on earnings valuation at 27.0x trailing P/E, while VNET leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. HSTM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with TRIP at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRIP ACTIVE
TripAdvisor Inc.
D 50/100 27.0x 92.3% 13.0% 0.00% $1.08B Benchmark Subject
HSTM
HealthStream Inc.
C+ 67/100 56.4x — 5.0% -0.30% $1.03B /hstm-vs-trip →
VNET
VNET Group Inc.
D- 42/100 — — 85.0% -4.45% $959.9M /vnet-vs-trip →
SIFY
Sify Technologies Limited
D 48/100 — — — -1.50% $914.8M /sify-vs-trip →
CEVA
CEVA Inc.
E 30/100 — 87.1% -3.0% -8.18% $905.2M /ceva-vs-trip →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001526520

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TripAdvisor Inc. (TRIP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.89B (+3.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.83B , and +5.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $40.0M, operating cash flow of $245.0M, and free cash flow of $245.0M (+70.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRIP closed FY2025 with $2.63B in total assets against $819.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.45, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.89B $40.0M $245.0M $245.0M $2.63B $819.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.83B $5.0M $144.0M $144.0M $2.56B $831.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.79B $10.0M $235.0M $235.0M — —

3. TRIP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRIP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, TripAdvisor Inc. (NASDAQ: TRIP) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $9.22 (0.00% 1D, market cap $1.08B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TRIP ranks #358 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRIP compare to HSTM and VNET in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), TRIP carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.0x, gross margin of 92.3%, and ROIC of 13.0%. By comparison, HSTM (HealthStream Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 56.4x, ROIC 5.0%, cap $1.03B) and VNET (VNET Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $959.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRIP leads on earnings multiple (27.0x) while VNET leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRIP?

Per TRIP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001526520), TripAdvisor Inc. generated $1.89B in revenue (+3.1% YoY), $40.0M in net income, and $245.0M in free cash flow against $2.63B in total assets and $819.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRIP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRIP last traded at $9.22 (0.00% on volume of 4,149,393 shares), positioning the stock +1.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.06) and -16.11% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.99). Across its 52-week range of $8.02 to $17.53, TRIP sits at the 12.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($8.46 to $9.98).

TRIP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TRIP's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, TripAdvisor Inc. (TRIP)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is TRIP stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.2% event move for TRIP, spanning a range between $8.46 and $9.98.

Direct Sub-Reports: TRIP RQD Cockpit TRIP 12M Forecast TRIP Earnings & Move TRIP Dividends & DRIP TRIP Insiders & 13F TRIP Whale Options TRIP Profit Sankey TRIP News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TRIP — TripAdvisor Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:30:52Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The per the Roarable RQD rating, TRIP scores 50 out of 100 for a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC 13%; FCF yield 22.67%), Whale 13F Flow at 7/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 7/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 9/20 (Altman Z 1.45; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 1.27).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is insider conviction, while institutional flow and macro fit are the weakest. The cash-generation metric (FCF yield 22.67%) is a potential upside driver, but the same rating places the fundamental pillar at only 11/20, which signals that the cash profile alone does not offset weaknesses elsewhere. The forensic balance sheet score of 9/20 and Debt/Equity of 1.27 point to leverage as a valuation tradeoff. The valuation multiples (P/E TTM 27, Forward P/E 25.1) sit against an EPS (TTM) of 0.34, so earnings-based valuation depends heavily on the trajectory of profitability. This is an analytical read of the rating components, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
9.22$1.08B2725.111.50.340%1.0$8.02 - $17.5313%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1891.0M$80.0M$40.0MN/A$245.0M$978.0M$819.0M
FY 2024$1835.0M$92.0M$5.0MN/A$144.0M$1064.0M$831.0M
FY 2023$1788.0M$126.0M$10.0MN/A$235.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1788.0M (FY 2023) to $1891.0M (FY 2025), while operating income declined from $126.0M to $80.0M over the same span. Market data shows a gross margin of 92.3%, operating margin of 4.2%, and net margin of 2.1%, with ROIC of 13%. The Piotroski F-Score is 7/9 and the Altman Z-Score is 1.45 per the Roarable RQD rating, with Debt/Equity at 1.27. Balance sheet posture reflects cash of $978.0M against debt of $819.0M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, one item is flagged RISK WATCH: a Seeking Alpha report carrying a rating downgrade, which characterizes the TheFork catalyst as complete while the Experiences line still needs to prove itself. A CATALYST-flagged StockInvest-style item (Yahoo Finance) references a TheFork sale and describes the stock as potentially a bargain following it. Other items (Yahoo! Finance Canada, StockInvest.us, Simply Wall St, Barron's) are flagged as MARKET WIRE with no specific fundamental detail in the summaries. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

  • What is the revenue composition across the company's business lines, and how much of FY 2025 revenue came from the divested TheFork business versus the Experiences line?
  • Why did operating income decline from $126.0M to $80.0M while revenue grew, and what drove the FY 2024 net income drop to $5.0M?
  • What are the FY 2023 cash and debt balances, which are absent from the source data?
  • What is the analyst consensus and price target range, given that analyst data is unavailable?
  • What insider and institutional holdings sit behind the Insider Conviction and Whale 13F Flow pillar scores?

TRIP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TripAdvisor Inc. (TRIP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TRIP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TRIP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.22?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TRIP 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TRIP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $9.96 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TRIP (D • RQD 50/100) a Buy at $9.22?

Welcome to the TRIP (TripAdvisor Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 50/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing. Bulls point to capital efficiency (13.0% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.74 (-16.1%)
Spot @ $9.22

Pump the brakes on TRIP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TRIP, but look at what you are paying: 27.0x trailing P/E with 92.3% gross margins. Unless TripAdvisor Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.97 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $9.22

TRIP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TRIP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.22 (52-wk range $8.02 - $17.53), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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