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Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / TR
JJSF (74) JBSS (66) MICC (65) MAMA (52) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. (TR) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$36.86 +0.85% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.85

Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. (TR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) β†’
ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $2.74B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TR Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. (NYSE: TR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $36.86 (+0.85% 1D, market cap $2.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, TR ranks #58 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TR compare to JJSF and JBSS in the Consumer Staples sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Specialty Foods), TR carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.4x, gross margin of 35.3%, and ROIC of 9.8%. By comparison, JJSF (J & J Snack Foods Corp.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 23.9x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $1.57B) and JBSS (John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 19.2%, cap $660.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBSS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while JBSS leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TR?
β–Ό

Per TR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000098677), Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. generated $732.5M in revenue (+1.3% YoY), $100.1M in net income, and $96.4M in free cash flow against $1.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.85 (-0.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 13.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 51.4% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C-
Cash (11)Whales (6)SEC (15)Macro (9)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target
$47 Bull$36 Base$28 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TR SCORES 55/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$37.71-1.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$37.26-7.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$34.54+6.7% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$36.86-0.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (63) β†’ D+ (55)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, TR faces multiple-compression risk if 27.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 32.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($38.02) or 200D SMA ($39.51) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($36.36) toward Bear Floor ($28.36).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
46.830 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE29% OF RANGE
L: $33$36.86H: $45
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (35% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on TR

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

9.8% ROIC with 35.3% gross margin and 3.51% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (48)

20/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TR
  • βœ“Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
  • βœ“Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TR)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of TR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.84%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $35.72H $36.86L $35.72C $36.86VOL 208.0K
RES: $38.68SUP: $33.73SMA50: $38.02SMA200: $39.51
$44.09$41.34$38.60$35.85$33.10RES $38.68SUP $33.73$36.862026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ TR Butterfly Map β†’ + Track TR β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
20.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TR today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TR)

Consumer Staples Rank #58 of 146 βš”οΈ JJSF vs TR Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (TR vs. JJSF, JBSS, MICC, MAMA)

Industry: Specialty Foods (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. (TR) ranks #58 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #52 by equity capitalization ($2.74B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JBSS leads on earnings valuation at 10.7x trailing P/E, while JBSS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and 18.0% gross margin. JJSF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with TR at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TR ACTIVE
Tootsie Roll Industries Inc.
D+ 55/100 27.4x 35.3% 9.8% +0.85% $2.74B Benchmark Subject
JJSF
J & J Snack Foods Corp.
B 74/100 23.9x 29.7% 7.9% +1.87% $1.57B /jjsf-vs-tr β†’
JBSS
John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.
C+ 66/100 10.7x 18.0% 19.2% -4.55% $660.3M /jbss-vs-tr β†’
MICC
The Magnum Ice Cream Company N.V.
C 65/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +5.30% $11.55B /micc-vs-tr β†’
MAMA
Mama's Creations Inc.
D+ 52/100 114.4x 25.1% 17.2% -1.17% $604.9M /mama-vs-tr β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000098677

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. (TR) reported GAAP revenue of $732.5M (+1.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $723.2M , and -4.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $100.1M, operating cash flow of $130.6M, and free cash flow of $96.4M (-20.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TR closed FY2025 with $1.25B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $732.5M $100.1M $130.6M $96.4M $1.25B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $723.2M $86.8M $138.9M $120.9M $1.15B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $769.4M $91.9M $94.6M $94.6M β€” β€”

3. TR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. (NYSE: TR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $36.86 (+0.85% 1D, market cap $2.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, TR ranks #58 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TR compare to JJSF and JBSS in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Specialty Foods), TR carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.4x, gross margin of 35.3%, and ROIC of 9.8%. By comparison, JJSF (J & J Snack Foods Corp.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 23.9x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $1.57B) and JBSS (John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 19.2%, cap $660.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBSS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while JBSS leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TR?

Per TR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000098677), Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. generated $732.5M in revenue (+1.3% YoY), $100.1M in net income, and $96.4M in free cash flow against $1.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TR last traded at $36.86 (+0.85% on volume of 198,608 shares), positioning the stock -3.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($38.02) and -6.71% below its 200-day simple moving average ($39.51). Across its 52-week range of $33.44 to $45.06, TR sits at the 29.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.8% ($34.72 to $39.00).

TR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TR stock right now?

Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. (TR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell β€” SELL) with 55/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 27x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is TR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TR's 12-month base price target is $36.36 (range $28.36 to $47.31), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: TR RQD Cockpit TR 12M Forecast TR Earnings & Move TR Dividends & DRIP TR Insiders & 13F TR Whale Options TR Profit Sankey TR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 55/100 (D+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TR β€” Tootsie Roll Industries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:25:04Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TR scores 55 out of 100, earning a D+ grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC 9.8%; FCF yield 3.51%), Whale 13F Flow at 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 14/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 9/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The two weakest pillars, institutional flow and macro fit, are where the score loses the most ground. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the balance sheet and insider signals, while the cash-return and institutional-flow pillars limit conviction. The stock's 27.4x trailing P/E and 20.1x EV/EBITDA, per the market data, mean the valuation already embeds meaningful expectations relative to the 3.51% FCF yield. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
36.55$2.74B27.425.520.11.330.95%1.0$33.44 - $45.069.8%

Business

Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, Specialty Foods industry, per the company profile. Per the SEC financials, the company reports annual revenue of $732.5M for FY 2025. The source data does not describe its product lines, customer base, or distribution channels, so the monetization model is not available in source data beyond its sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$732.5M$100.9M$100.1MN/A$96.4M$127.2MN/A
FY 2024$723.2M$100.5M$86.8MN/A$120.9M$138.8MN/A
FY 2023$769.4M$101.8M$91.9MN/A$94.6MN/AN/A

Per the market data, gross margin is 35.3%, operating margin 13.8%, and net margin 13.7%, with ROIC at 9.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Revenue declined from $769.4M in FY 2023 to $723.2M in FY 2024 before recovering to $732.5M in FY 2025, while net income moved from $91.9M to $86.8M to $100.1M. FCF declined from $120.9M in FY 2024 to $96.4M in FY 2025. Debt is not available in source data for any period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all relating to TR. Headlines include "Tootsie Roll (TR) Stock May Be Overvalued As Its 48% Run Continues" (Yahoo Finance, YELLOW), "Tootsie Roll Industries Inc (TR) Stock Down 6.5% but Still Overv[alued]" (GuruFocus, YELLOW), and "Tootsie Roll Industries (NYSE:TR) Stock Falls 7.1% - Here's Why" (MarketBeat, RED, RISK WATCH). The one CATALYST-tagged item, GuruFocus's "Tootsie Roll Industries Inc (TR) Shares Surge 3.4%," is marked GREEN. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so no butterfly-derived catalysts are available.

Open Questions

  • What is TR's debt balance in any period? The financials list Debt as N/A, which leaves the Debt/Equity of 0.5 unverifiable against reported figures.
  • Why did FCF decline from $120.9M in FY 2024 to $96.4M in FY 2025 while operating income held near $100M?
  • What drove the 48% run referenced in recent coverage, and how much of the current 27.4x P/E reflects that move?
  • What are the company's product lines, customer concentration, and input-cost exposures?
  • What do institutional holders and insiders currently hold, given that the holders and analyst sections are empty?

TR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. (TR) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to TR Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $36.86?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TR 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TR:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $39.47 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TR (D+ β€’ RQD 55/100) a Buy at $36.55?

Welcome to the TR (Tootsie Roll Industries Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 55/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Specialty Foods. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $30.34 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $36.55

Pump the brakes on TR β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TR, but look at what you are paying: 27.4x trailing P/E with 35.3% gross margins. Unless Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $45.69 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $36.55

TR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Specialty Foods and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $36.55 (52-wk range $33.44 - $45.06), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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