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TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$5.30 -0.93% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.28

TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $54.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TPCS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, TechPrecision Corporation (NASDAQ: TPCS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $5.30 (-0.93% 1D, market cap $54.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TPCS ranks #415 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TPCS compare to AIOS and VATE in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), TPCS carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.7%, and ROIC of -10.6%. By comparison, AIOS (AIOS Tech Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 29.9%, cap $74.5M) and VATE (INNOVATE Corp.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $75.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TPCS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while VATE leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPCS?
β–Ό

Per TPCS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001328792), TechPrecision Corporation generated $31.6M in revenue (-7.0% YoY), -$1.7M in net income, and -$3.3M in free cash flow against $32.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.28 (-0.36%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510029
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (4)Whales (11)SEC (3)Macro (9)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13% Base Target
$7 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TPCS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TPCS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TPCS SCORES 29/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (38% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±10% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (31% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 71% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 47.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$5.68-5.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$5.39+0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
32
Grade E$5.40-1.9% Next Q
Current
29
Grade E$5.30-9.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (37) β†’ E (29)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TPCS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While TPCS currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.46) and Max Pain ($5.57) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.63.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TPCSβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTPCS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TPCS)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of TPCS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TPCS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +27.10%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $5.53H $5.53L $5.30C $5.30VOL 29.5K
RES: $5.72SUP: $5.30SMA50: $5.46SMA200: $4.51
$6.52$5.66$4.81$3.95$3.09RES $5.72SUP $5.30$5.302026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TPCS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TPCS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TPCS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TPCS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TPCS)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TPCS vs. AIOS, VATE, ZKIN, ZJK)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) ranks #415 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #400 by equity capitalization ($54.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TPCS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while VATE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 16.0% gross margin. ZJK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with TPCS at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TPCS ACTIVE
TechPrecision Corporation
E 29/100 β€” 15.7% -10.6% -0.93% $54.2M Benchmark Subject
AIOS
AIOS Tech Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 β€” 72.0% 29.9% +4.43% $74.5M /aios-vs-tpcs β†’
VATE
INNOVATE Corp.
D- 41/100 β€” 16.0% 85.0% -2.36% $75.2M /vate-vs-tpcs β†’
ZKIN
ZK International Group Co. Ltd Ordinary Share
D- 42/100 β€” 5.7% β€” +10.71% $80.2M /zkin-vs-tpcs β†’
ZJK
ZJK Industrial Co. Ltd. (Class A)
C- 61/100 β€” 43.7% 25.7% +5.80% $88.8M /zjk-vs-tpcs β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-03-31 β€’ CIK 0001328792

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) reported GAAP revenue of $31.6M (-7.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $34.0M , and +0.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.7M, operating cash flow of $6.0K, and free cash flow of -$3.3M (+31.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TPCS closed FY2025 with $32.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.71, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $31.6M -$1.7M $6.0K -$3.3M $32.8M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $34.0M -$2.7M -$599.0K -$4.7M $32.2M $19.0K
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $31.6M -$7.0M $728.0K $728.0K β€” β€”

3. TPCS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TPCS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, TechPrecision Corporation (NASDAQ: TPCS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $5.30 (-0.93% 1D, market cap $54.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TPCS ranks #415 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TPCS compare to AIOS and VATE in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), TPCS carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.7%, and ROIC of -10.6%. By comparison, AIOS (AIOS Tech Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 29.9%, cap $74.5M) and VATE (INNOVATE Corp.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $75.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TPCS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while VATE leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPCS?

Per TPCS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001328792), TechPrecision Corporation generated $31.6M in revenue (-7.0% YoY), -$1.7M in net income, and -$3.3M in free cash flow against $32.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TPCS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TPCS last traded at $5.30 (-0.93% on volume of 5,605 shares), positioning the stock -2.93% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.46) and +17.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.51). Across its 52-week range of $2.88 to $6.31, TPCS sits at the 70.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.0% ($4.77 to $5.83).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 29/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TPCS β€” TechPrecision Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-03-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 29/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $5.30 (-0.93% 1D, market capitalization $54.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -10.6%, gross margin of 15.7%, operating margin of -3.4%, and free cash flow yield of -5.82%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.71, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Metal Fabrications industry. It is classified within Industrials and Metal Fabrications. Reported revenue levels appear in the financial trend section below.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-31), TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) reported $31.6M in annual revenue (up from $34.0M in FY2024, -7.0% YoY) and -$1.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($31.6M revenue, -$7.0M net income) through FY2025, TPCS scaled operating cash flow to $6.0K and free cash flow to -$3.3M, backed by $32.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 29/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -5.82% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.88 – $6.31 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -3.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Metal Fabrications (Industrials), TPCS carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 15.7%.

  • Key Question #1: Can TPCS sustain or expand its -3.4% operating margin and -10.6% ROIC against Metal Fabrications peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $31.6M and free cash flow of -$3.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TPCS's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TPCS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to TPCS Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TPCS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $5.30?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TPCS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TPCS:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Systematic Momentum Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.21 (+16.1%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning provide the strongest pillar in the RQD rating at 13 of 20.

Picked up a starter position in TPCS in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $5.35. Institutional accumulation and options positioning provide the strongest pillar in the RQD rating at 13 of 20.. Trading inside a $2.88–$6.31 52-week range with -5.82% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Metal Fabrications multiples expand this quarter.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 11/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $5.35 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.07 (-23.9%)
Spot @ $5.35

A forensic balance sheet score of 2 of 20 alongside negative ROIC of -10.6% and FCF yield of -5.82% signals elevated financial risk.

A forensic balance sheet score of 2 of 20 alongside negative ROIC of -10.6% and FCF yield of -5.82% signals elevated financial risk.. Look at the math on TPCS: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -10.6% ROIC and -3.4% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Metal Fabrications demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $4.71 before getting long.

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