Tredegar Corporation (TG) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$7.50 -0.13% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.48

Tredegar Corporation (TG) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $262.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Tredegar Corporation (NYSE: TG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $7.50 (-0.13% 1D, market cap $262.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TG ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TG compare to NKLR and IMSR in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), TG carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.5%. By comparison, NKLR (Terra Innovatum Global N.V.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $245.3M) and IMSR (Terrestrial Energy Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $341.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TG leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while TG leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TG?
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Per TG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000850429), Tredegar Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $33.5M in net income, and $15.7M in free cash flow against $371.4M in total assets and $34.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.48 (-0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (11)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$11 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE TG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TG SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$7.61+5.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$8.04-10.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$7.20+4.2% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$7.50+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, TG faces multiple-compression risk if 7.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.37) or 200D SMA ($8.07) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.53) toward Bear Floor ($5.87).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
51.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE29% OF RANGE
L: $6$7.50H: $11
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on TG

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

15.5% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 6.00% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (58)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TG
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TG Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
TG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.14%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $7.51H $7.51L $7.50C $7.50VOL 302.2K
RES: $8.06SUP: $6.11SMA50: $7.37SMA200: $8.07
$10.82$9.63$8.43$7.24$6.05RES $8.06SUP $6.11$7.502026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-6.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TG)

Industrials Rank #134 of 485 ⚔️ NKLR vs TG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TG vs. NKLR, IMSR, FSTR, UAMY)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tredegar Corporation (TG) ranks #134 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #333 by equity capitalization ($262.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TG leads on earnings valuation at 7.8x trailing P/E, while TG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and — gross margin. TG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TG ACTIVE
Tredegar Corporation
C- 59/100 7.8x — 15.5% -0.13% $262.1M Benchmark Subject
NKLR
Terra Innovatum Global N.V.
E 25/100 — — -35.0% -4.72% $245.3M /nklr-vs-tg →
IMSR
Terrestrial Energy Inc.
E 28/100 — — -10.0% -6.80% $341.1M /imsr-vs-tg →
FSTR
L.B. Foster Company
D+ 54/100 50.7x 21.1% 10.1% -1.48% $377.1M /fstr-vs-tg →
UAMY
United States Antimony Corporation
E 30/100 — 25.2% -6.0% -5.70% $446.0M /uamy-vs-tg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000850429

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tredegar Corporation (TG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $33.5M, operating cash flow of $33.0M, and free cash flow of $15.7M (+41.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TG closed FY2025 with $371.4M in total assets against $34.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $33.5M $33.0M $15.7M $371.4M $34.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$64.6M $25.5M $11.2M $356.4M $60.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$105.9M $24.0M $24.0M — —

3. TG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tredegar Corporation (NYSE: TG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $7.50 (-0.13% 1D, market cap $262.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TG ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TG compare to NKLR and IMSR in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), TG carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.5%. By comparison, NKLR (Terra Innovatum Global N.V.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $245.3M) and IMSR (Terrestrial Energy Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $341.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TG leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while TG leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TG?

Per TG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000850429), Tredegar Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $33.5M in net income, and $15.7M in free cash flow against $371.4M in total assets and $34.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TG last traded at $7.50 (-0.13% on volume of 302,180 shares), positioning the stock +1.76% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.37) and -7.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.07). Across its 52-week range of $6.25 to $10.53, TG sits at the 29.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($6.86 to $8.14).

TG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TG stock right now?

Tredegar Corporation (TG) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (16% return on capital), mixed timing at 8x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is TG's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TG's 12-month base price target is $7.53 (range $5.87 to $11.06), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TG — Tredegar Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:39:43Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TG scores 59 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11 / 20 (ROIC 15.5%; FCF yield 6%); Whale 13F Flow at 7 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 17 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 11 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.16).

For a prospective investor, the profile is mixed. The strongest pillar is insider conviction, which the rating treats as the highest-scoring signal, while institutional flow is the weakest at 7 / 20. The cash engine (ROIC 15.5%, FCF yield 6%) and forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.16) provide moderate support, but the macro pillar at 11 / 20 signals that the stock's market-sensitivity profile offers no clear tailwind. The low trailing P/E of 7.8 (forward 7.3) is a valuation feature an investor may weigh against the modest 59 composite score, but a low multiple alone does not resolve the uncertainty reflected in the rating. The verdict of "Hold — Cautious Neutral" per the Roarable RQD rating suggests the composite does not indicate a strong upside case at present.

Business

Tredegar Corporation (TG) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and Metal Fabrications industry, per the profile section. The profile describes it as a company with a market capitalization of $0.3B. Source data does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$33.5MN/A$15.7M$6.7M$34.5M
FY 2024$0.0M$0.0M$-64.6MN/A$11.2M$7.1M$60.6M
FY 2023$0.0M$0.0M$-105.9MN/A$24.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, net income moved from $-105.9M in FY 2023 to $-64.6M in FY 2024 and then to $33.5M in FY 2025, while reported revenue and operating income are listed as $0.0M in each period. Gross, operating, and net margins are each listed as 0% in the market data, so margin trend cannot be assessed from source data. ROIC is 15.5% per the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.16. Reported debt declined from $60.6M in FY 2024 to $34.5M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items reference TG:

  • Yahoo! Finance Canada item (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) covering market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
  • Investing.com UK item (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) reporting that director John Gottwald sold $267,530 in company stock.
  • Stock Traders Daily item (RED, RISK WATCH) titled "Understanding the Setup: (TG) and Scalable Risk."
  • ad-hoc-news.de item (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) reporting a grant of 1,583 shares to a director.
  • Investing.com India item (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) reporting that director William Gottwald sold $284,048 in stock.
  • Stock Traders Daily item (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) titled "Technical Reactions to TG Trends in Macro Strategies."

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The single RED flag is the RISK WATCH item; the remaining items are YELLOW market-wire items.

Open Questions

  • What are TG's revenue and operating income figures, given that the financials report $0.0M for both across all three periods?
  • What explains the swing in net income from $-105.9M (FY 2023) to $33.5M (FY 2025), and is it recurring?
  • Why is EV/EBITDA unavailable, and what would be needed to assess valuation on an enterprise basis?
  • Which products, customers, and end markets drive the business, given that the business description is limited to sector and industry labels?
  • What is the basis for the reported insider sales, and do they reflect planned or discretionary transactions?

TG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tredegar Corporation (TG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.50?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $8.11 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TG (C- • RQD 59/100) a Buy at $7.51?

Welcome to the TG (Tredegar Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 59/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Metal Fabrications. Bulls point to capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.23 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $7.51

Pump the brakes on TG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TG, but look at what you are paying: 7.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Tredegar Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.39 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $7.51

TG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Fabrications and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $7.51 (52-wk range $6.25 - $10.53), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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