Yahoo Finance report covering TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why TMDX Stock slipped -1.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is TMDX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, TransMedics Group Inc. (NASDAQ: TMDX) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $65.99 (-1.68% 1D, market cap $2.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, TMDX ranks #160 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does TMDX compare to AXGN and CNMD in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus), TMDX carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.2x, gross margin of 59.9%, and ROIC of 18.1%. By comparison, AXGN (Axogen Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.6%, cap $2.96B) and CNMD (CONMED Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 28.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $1.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TMDX leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while TMDX leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TMDX?
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Per TMDX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001756262), TransMedics Group Inc. generated $605.5M in revenue (+37.1% YoY), $190.3M in net income, and $133.6M in free cash flow against $1.07B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (60% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
Altman Z-Score 3.50 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TMDX Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 62/100 (C) score, TMDX faces multiple-compression risk if 12.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 57.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($81.10) or 200D SMA ($94.10) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($67.18) toward Bear Floor ($52.40).
Why TMDX Stock slipped -1.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) slipped -1.68% to $65.99, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($60.1 – $156). Solid 60% profit margin (18% return on capital), mixed timing at 12x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($60.1 – $156) with RSI-14 at 32.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.8% around $65.99 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 59.9% gross margin and $133.6M annual free cash flow.
Simply Wall St report covering TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TransMedics Group, Inc. ("TransMedics") (Nasdaq: TMDX), a medical technology company that is transforming organ transplant therapy for patients with end-stage lung, heart, and liver failure, today announced that on Octob
TransMedics Group, Inc. ("TransMedics") (Nasdaq: TMDX), a medical technology company that is transforming organ transplant therapy for patients with end-stage lung, heart, and liver failure, today announced the company w
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TMDX Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
TMDX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +37.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TMDX today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TMDX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TMDX)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (TMDX vs. AXGN, CNMD, ITGR, LIVN)
Industry: Biotechnology: Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus (26 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) ranks #160 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #233 by equity capitalization ($2.33B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TMDX leads on earnings valuation at 12.2x trailing P/E, while TMDX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.1% ROIC and 59.9% gross margin. LIVN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with TMDX at 62/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMDX
ACTIVE
TransMedics Group Inc. | C | 62/100 | 12.2x | 59.9% | 18.1% | -1.68% | $2.33B | Benchmark Subject |
| AXGN Axogen Inc. | D+ | 54/100 | — | 74.3% | -2.6% | -0.52% | $2.96B | /axgn-vs-tmdx → |
| CNMD CONMED Corporation | C | 65/100 | 28.9x | 54.6% | 7.8% | -3.13% | $1.36B | /cnmd-vs-tmdx → |
| ITGR Integer Holdings Corporation | C+ | 67/100 | 41.8x | 27.0% | 6.0% | +0.06% | $4.30B | /itgr-vs-tmdx → |
| LIVN LivaNova PLC | C+ | 68/100 | — | 67.7% | 17.3% | -2.81% | $4.48B | /livn-vs-tmdx → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001756262In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) reported GAAP revenue of $605.5M (+37.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $441.5M , and +150.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $190.3M, operating cash flow of $192.8M, and free cash flow of $133.6M (+265.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TMDX closed FY2025 with $1.07B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.50, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $605.5M | $190.3M | $192.8M | $133.6M | $1.07B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $441.5M | $35.5M | $48.8M | -$80.9M | $804.1M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $241.6M | -$25.0M | -$13.0M | -$13.0M | — | — |
3. TMDX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TMDX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, TransMedics Group Inc. (NASDAQ: TMDX) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $65.99 (-1.68% 1D, market cap $2.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, TMDX ranks #160 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TMDX compare to AXGN and CNMD in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus), TMDX carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.2x, gross margin of 59.9%, and ROIC of 18.1%. By comparison, AXGN (Axogen Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.6%, cap $2.96B) and CNMD (CONMED Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 28.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $1.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TMDX leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while TMDX leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TMDX?
Per TMDX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001756262), TransMedics Group Inc. generated $605.5M in revenue (+37.1% YoY), $190.3M in net income, and $133.6M in free cash flow against $1.07B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (60% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TMDX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TMDX last traded at $65.99 (-1.68% on volume of 900,114 shares), positioning the stock -18.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($81.10) and -29.87% below its 200-day simple moving average ($94.10). Across its 52-week range of $60.10 to $156.00, TMDX sits at the 6.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($59.52 to $72.46).
TMDX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is TMDX stock moving today?
Why TMDX Stock slipped -1.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 60% profit margin (18% return on capital), mixed timing at 12x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
TMDX — TransMedics Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, TMDX scores 62 out of 100, grade C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 15 of 20 (ROIC 18.1%; FCF yield 5.74%); Whale 13F Flow at 4 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 17 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 10 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16 of 20 (Altman Z 3.5; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).
For a prospective investor, the pillar mix is uneven. The strongest signals are the balance sheet and insider flow, while institutional accumulation registers as weak at 4 of 20. The cash-engine score is moderate, supported by the reported ROIC and FCF yield, and the macro pillar is middling given a Beta of 1.0. The valuation tradeoff is that the stock's trailing and forward multiples sit below its EV/EBITDA level, so upside depends on sustaining the reported earnings and cash-flow improvement. The 52-week range ($60.1 – $156) indicates the stock has traded far above its current price, which underscores volatility and sentiment sensitivity. This is an educational reading of the rating, not personalized advice.
Snapshot
Business
Per the Profile section, TransMedics Group Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Biotechnology: Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus industry, with a market capitalization of $2.3B. The source data does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification. The reported margins (gross 59.9%, operating 17.9%, net 31.4%) are per the Market Data section.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six items are tagged to TMDX, all flagged YELLOW with the MARKET WIRE impact label: a Yahoo Finance piece describing the stock as undervalued on current earnings; a Simply Wall St stock analysis; a GuruFocus report citing a 4.0% move and a GF Score of 72/100; a MarketBeat report referencing an average price target of $121.10; a Stock Titan notice that a 4:30 p.m. ET call will accompany the Q3 results on Nov. 5; and a Yahoo Finance stock forecast piece. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items drawn from the feed are the wide 52-week range and the institutional-flow weakness in the RQD rating. The Q3 earnings call is the nearest identified catalyst.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The only sector context available is the Health Care classification and the Beta of 1.0. An investor should note that any ripple analysis would require supply-chain and correlation data not present in this dossier.
Open Questions
- What are the FY 2025 cash, debt, and EPS balances that underpin the reported Altman Z-Score and Debt/Equity figures?
- What is the composition of the FY 2025 net income of $190.3M, which exceeds operating income of $108.6M?
- Which specific institutional holders and insider transactions drive the RQD whale and insider pillar scores?
- What is the basis for the $121.10 average price target cited in the news feed, and how many analysts contribute to it?
- What products, customers, and supply-chain relationships generate the reported revenue, given that the supply-chain graph is empty?
TMDX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TMDX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $65.99?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TMDX (C • RQD 62/100) a Buy at $67.12?
Welcome to the TMDX (TransMedics Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 62/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Biotechnology: Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus. Bulls point to capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on TMDX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TMDX, but look at what you are paying: 12.2x trailing P/E with 59.9% gross margins. Unless TransMedics Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
TMDX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TMDX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $67.12 (52-wk range $60.10 - $156.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.