TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, TMC the metals company Inc. (NASDAQ: TMC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $2.60 (-8.45% 1D, market cap $1.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TMC ranks #235 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), TMC carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, IMC (IMC Rare Earths Ltd) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.26B) and CRML (Critical Metals Corp.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TMC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TMC leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
Per TMC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001798562), TMC the metals company Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$319.8M in net income, and -$43.1M in free cash flow against $181.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
While TMC currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.65) and Max Pain ($2.73) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.55.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) dropped -8.45% to $2.60, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($2.34 – $10.05). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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Stocktwits report covering TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Exoswan Insights report covering TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
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Freeport-McMoRan, MP Materials, TMC The Metals Company, and USA Rare Earth are all potential answers to a lack of U.S.-produced critical minerals.
Stewards Investment Capital, FreeCast (NASDAQ:CAST) and BioVie (NASDAQ:BIVI) Headline a Four-Region Broadcast Across the U., Latin America, MENA and Southeast AsiaNEW YORK CITY, NY / ACCESS Newswire / October 31, 2026 /
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TMC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TMC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) ranks #235 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #127 by equity capitalization ($1.25B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TMC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TMC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. IMC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with TMC at 29/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMC
ACTIVE
TMC the metals company Inc. | E | 29/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -8.45% | $1.25B | Benchmark Subject |
| IMC IMC Rare Earths Ltd | C- | 59/100 | — | — | — | -6.33% | $1.26B | /imc-vs-tmc → |
| CRML Critical Metals Corp. | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | — | -9.94% | $1.18B | /crml-vs-tmc → |
| IE Ivanhoe Electric Inc. | D- | 35/100 | — | 65.3% | -35.0% | -8.31% | $1.34B | /ie-vs-tmc → |
| USAS Americas Gold and Silver Corporation no par value | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -6.51% | $1.04B | /usas-vs-tmc → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$319.8M, operating cash flow of -$42.9M, and free cash flow of -$43.1M (+2.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TMC closed FY2025 with $181.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$319.8M | -$42.9M | -$43.1M | $181.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$81.9M | -$43.5M | -$44.0M | $63.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$73.8M | -$59.6M | -$59.6M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-02, TMC the metals company Inc. (NASDAQ: TMC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $2.60 (-8.45% 1D, market cap $1.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TMC ranks #235 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), TMC carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, IMC (IMC Rare Earths Ltd) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.26B) and CRML (Critical Metals Corp.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TMC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TMC leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
Per TMC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001798562), TMC the metals company Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$319.8M in net income, and -$43.1M in free cash flow against $181.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
TMC last traded at $2.60 (-8.45% on volume of 3,571,546 shares), positioning the stock -28.77% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.65) and -46.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.87). Across its 52-week range of $2.34 to $10.05, TMC sits at the 3.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.27 to $2.93).
Why TMC Stock dropped -8.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, TMC scores 29 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:
Taken together, the pillars indicate that upside would have to come from a successful operational or strategic outcome that the current cash flows do not yet reflect. The valuation tradeoff is that the price of $2.84 sits well above zero earnings support, so the investor is paying for an unproven future. The low score across most pillars is an analytical signal of elevated risk, not a personalized recommendation.
TMC the metals company Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Materials sector, operating within the Metal Mining industry. Per the company profile, it has a market capitalization of $1.3B. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Reported revenue is $0.0M across the periods provided, and the Butterfly graph reports no supply-chain links.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $0.0M | $-140.1M | $-319.8M | N/A | $-43.1M | $117.6M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $0.0M | $-81.3M | $-81.9M | N/A | $-44.0M | $3.5M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $0.0M | $-72.4M | $-73.8M | N/A | $-59.6M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, the company reported no revenue and operating losses in each period shown, with net losses widening to $-319.8M in FY 2025. Gross, operating, and net margins are each listed as 0% in the market data. Per the market data, ROIC is -35%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the RQD rating, while reported cash rose to $117.6M in FY 2025 from $3.5M in FY 2024.
Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Sector Materials, Industry Metal Mining, supply chain "NONE," no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signals recorded. For a prospective investor, the practical implication is that the source data cannot map how a change in critical-metals policy or commodity demand would transmit through TMC's supply chain. The one catalyst that could plausibly ripple outward is the NOAA compliance ruling referenced in the news wire, but the source data does not establish its scope, so any second-order effect on peers or inputs remains unquantified.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stocktwits report covering TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Exoswan Insights report covering TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the TMC (TMC the metals company Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 29/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Metal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TMC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless TMC the metals company Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TMC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.84 (52-wk range $2.34 - $10.05), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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