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Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$11.08 -7.67% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.91

Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.59B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NEXA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NEXA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Nexa Resources S.A. (NYSE: NEXA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $11.08 (-7.67% 1D, market cap $1.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NEXA ranks #105 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NEXA compare to IE and IMC in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), NEXA carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, IE (Ivanhoe Electric Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.34B) and IMC (IMC Rare Earths Ltd) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.26B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEXA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IE leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEXA?

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For Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #105 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.91 (-1.57%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NEXA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NEXA SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 1.1% FCF Margin ($44.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$12.88-1.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$12.65-8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$11.64-4.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D$11.08-5.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NEXA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NEXA currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.83) and Max Pain ($11.63) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.73.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NEXA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NEXA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

47.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE51% OF RANGE

L: $5$11.08H: $17

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on NEXA

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (40)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NEXA

✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NEXA)

✓Walkthrough of NEXA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NEXA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.56%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $11.82H $12.00L $11.08C $11.08VOL 596.7K

RES: $15.38SUP: $11.06SMA50: $12.83SMA200: $13.03

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NEXA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NEXA Butterfly Map → + Track NEXA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NEXA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NEXA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NEXA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NEXA)

Materials Rank #105 of 270 ⚔️ IE vs NEXA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (NEXA vs. IE, IMC, TMC, CRML)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) ranks #105 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #120 by equity capitalization ($1.59B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NEXA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 65.3% gross margin. IMC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with NEXA at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NEXA ACTIVE Nexa Resources S.A.	D	49/100	—	—	—	-7.67%	$1.59B	Benchmark Subject
IE Ivanhoe Electric Inc.	D-	35/100	—	65.3%	-35.0%	-8.31%	$1.34B	/ie-vs-nexa →
IMC IMC Rare Earths Ltd	C-	59/100	—	—	—	-6.33%	$1.26B	/imc-vs-nexa →
TMC TMC the metals company Inc.	E	29/100	—	—	-35.0%	-8.45%	$1.25B	/tmc-vs-nexa →
CRML Critical Metals Corp.	D+	53/100	—	—	—	-9.94%	$1.18B	/crml-vs-nexa →

2. NEXA Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) operates in Metal Mining (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $1.59B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. NEXA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NEXA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NEXA compare to IE and IMC in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEXA?

Where is NEXA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NEXA last traded at $11.08 (-7.67% on volume of 1,081,256 shares), positioning the stock -13.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.83) and -14.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.03). Across its 52-week range of $5.05 to $16.89, NEXA sits at the 50.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($10.23 to $11.93).

NEXA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NEXA stock right now?

Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 49/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is NEXA's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NEXA's 12-month base price target is $10.63 (range $8.29 to $17.73), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: NEXA RQD Cockpit NEXA 12M Forecast NEXA Earnings & Move NEXA Dividends & DRIP NEXA Insiders & 13F NEXA Whale Options NEXA Profit Sankey NEXA News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NEXA — Nexa Resources S.A.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:13:23Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NEXA scores 49 out of 100, earning a D grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars break down as follows:

Fundamental Cash Engine (12 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 0% and FCF yield is 0%. For a prospective investor, this means the source data shows no measurable return on invested capital or free-cash-flow generation to support the current valuation.
Whale 13F Flow (7 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score suggests weak institutional conviction in the source data.
Insider Conviction (9 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is below midpoint, indicating limited insider-driven confidence signals in the source data.
Macro Regime Fit (8 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is reflected in this score. The rating indicates a modest fit with the current macro regime as measured by the rating model.
Forensic Balance Sheet (13 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, indicating balance-sheet resilience relative to the other pillars, though it does not offset the weak cash-generation and signal scores.

Taken together, the rating reflects weak cash returns and soft institutional and insider signals, partly cushioned by a relatively sound balance sheet. A prospective investor should weigh the upside drivers (balance-sheet strength, recent positive headlines) against the valuation tradeoff implied by zero ROIC and zero FCF yield. This is educational analysis, not personalized financial advice.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items reference NEXA, all from the past 15 hours:

Q3 earnings coverage (Yahoo Finance, Quiver Quantitative): Multiple headlines reference Q3 earnings, including one stating the company "Surpasses Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates." Signal light: YELLOW / GREEN depending on item.
Growth and momentum commentary (ChartMill): Two items reference high growth leadership and momentum candidacy, with a GREEN signal light.
Operational commentary (Seeking Alpha): One item titled "Operational Recovery Balanced By Price Volatility," signal light YELLOW.

Risk watch items: The Seeking Alpha headline itself flags price volatility as a balancing factor. The ChartMill item describes the stock as "Awaiting Momentum Confirmation," indicating the momentum thesis is not yet confirmed per that source.

Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present.

Open Questions

What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow figures for the most recent periods, given that the financials section is empty?
What is the consensus analyst rating and price target, since analyst data is not provided?
Who are the major institutional holders and what are recent 13F, Form 4, or Congressional trades, given the holders section is empty?
What are the trailing and forward earnings multiples, since P/E and EV/EBITDA are not reported?
What is the nature and magnitude of the price volatility referenced in recent coverage, and what commodity or operational drivers underlie it?

NEXA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NEXA Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 8h ago

Nexa Resources Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Yahoo Finance report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST ChartMill • 11h ago

Nexa Resources (NYSE:NEXA) Shows High Growth Leadership and Momentum

ChartMill report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 14h ago

Nexa Resources: Operational Recovery Balanced By Price Volatility (NYSE:NEXA)

Seeking Alpha report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 17h ago

Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) Surpasses Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Yahoo Finance report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST ChartMill • 20h ago

NEXA Resources (NYSE:NEXA): A High-Growth, High-RS Leadership Candidate Awaiting Momentum Confirmation

ChartMill report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Quiver Quantitative • 23h ago

NEXA RESOURCES SA ($NEXA) Releases Q3 2026 Earnings

Quiver Quantitative report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Nexa Resources raised at Morgan Stanley on compelling valuation, Boliden tender offer (NEXA:NYSE)

Seeking Alpha report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Revenue rose 23% at Nexa Resources (NEXA), but a $124M non-cash impairment hit earnings.

Stock Titan report covering Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NEXA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.08?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NEXA 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $12.96 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NEXA (D • RQD 49/100) a Buy at $12.00?

Welcome to the NEXA (Nexa Resources S.A.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 49/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Metal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.36 (-22.0%)

Spot @ $12.00

Pump the brakes on NEXA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NEXA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Nexa Resources S.A. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.80 (+15.0%)

Spot @ $12.00

NEXA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NEXA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $12.00 (52-wk range $5.05 - $16.89), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.