Stock Ratings / Communication Services / TLK / options

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PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$11.17 -0.45% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.14

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $11.07B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TLK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TLK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (NYSE: TLK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $11.17 (-0.45% 1D, market cap $11.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, TLK ranks #57 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TLK compare to SKM and TIGO in the Communication Services sector?

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Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), TLK carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, SKM (SK Telecom Co. Ltd.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $11.61B) and TIGO (Millicom International Cellular S.A.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $13.33B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TLK leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while TLK leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TLK?

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For PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #57 in Communication Services, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.14 (-0.27%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 6.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TLK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TLK SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$12.74-7.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$11.78-3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$11.43-2.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$11.17-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TLK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TLK currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.18) and Max Pain ($11.73) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.70.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TLK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TLK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±4.9%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TLK)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TLK.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TLK)

✓Walkthrough of TLK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TLK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.63%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $11.22H $11.22L $11.17C $11.17VOL 2.16M

RES: $14.66SUP: $9.27SMA50: $13.18SMA200: $16.23

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TLK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TLK Butterfly Map → + Track TLK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TLK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TLK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TLK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TLK)

Communication Services Rank #57 of 132 ⚔️ SKM vs TLK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (TLK vs. SKM, TIGO, TU, TIMB)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) ranks #57 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #30 by equity capitalization ($11.07B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TLK leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while TLK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. TU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with TLK at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TLK ACTIVE PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk	D	51/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-0.45%	$11.07B	Benchmark Subject
SKM SK Telecom Co. Ltd.	D+	55/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-2.70%	$11.61B	/skm-vs-tlk →
TIGO Millicom International Cellular S.A.	D+	56/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-0.41%	$13.33B	/tigo-vs-tlk →
TU Telus Corporation	C-	59/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+2.31%	$14.09B	/tu-vs-tlk →
TIMB TIM S.A. American	D+	52/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-2.37%	$8.46B	/timb-vs-tlk →

2. TLK Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) operates in Telecommunications Equipment (Communication Services) with an equity capitalization of $11.07B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. TLK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TLK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TLK compare to SKM and TIGO in the Communication Services sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TLK?

Where is TLK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TLK last traded at $11.17 (-0.45% on volume of 2,163,380 shares), positioning the stock -15.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.18) and -31.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.23). Across its 52-week range of $10.15 to $23.52, TLK sits at the 7.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($10.62 to $11.72).

TLK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TLK's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for TLK.

Direct Sub-Reports: TLK RQD Cockpit TLK 12M Forecast TLK Earnings & Move TLK Dividends & DRIP TLK Insiders & 13F TLK Whale Options TLK Profit Sankey TLK News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 51/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TLK — PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:19Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TLK scores 51 out of 100, a grade of D, labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20 (ROIC 9.9%; FCF yield 2.21%); Whale 13F Flow 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 8/20 (Beta 1.09; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 16/20 (Altman Z 3.74; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.39).

Read together, the strongest pillar is balance-sheet quality, while the weakest is institutional flow, which scores 4 of 20. For a prospective investor, the rating implies that the company's financial structure appears sound on the forensic measures provided, but the cash-generation and positioning signals do not offer support at present. The FCF yield of 2.21% and ROIC of 9.9% are the upside anchors on the fundamental side; the trailing P/E of 32.8 and EV/EBITDA of 21 are the valuation tradeoffs, meaning the price already reflects a premium relative to the cash and earnings figures shown. The 0% dividend yield means total return depends entirely on price appreciation. The institutional flow pillar's low score is the most direct caution signal in this dataset.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
11.22	$11.11B	32.8	30.5	21	0.34	0%	1.09	$10.15 - $23.52	9.9%

Business

Sector: Communication Services. Industry: Telecommunications Equipment. Exchange: NYSE. Per the profile, PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk operates as a NYSE-listed issuer in this industry with a market capitalization of $11.1B. Not available in source data: product lines, customer segments, and revenue model details.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the items are as follows:

Seeking Alpha (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A report titled around a "Buy" view following an infrastructure unit spinoff and a Q3 preview.
The Globe and Mail (GREEN, CATALYST): Reports a Rp36.5 billion share buyback linked to a fiber business spin-off.
MarketBeat (RED, RISK WATCH): Reports a downgrade from Wall Street Zen.
Timothy Sykes (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Reports a plunge in TLK shares as the company led South Asian decliners.
MarketBeat (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Reports shares gapping down.
Stock Traders Daily (RED, RISK WATCH): Discusses rules-based execution in response to TLK.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no upstream or downstream links, no sector-correlation signals, and no identified bottlenecks. Not available in source data: supplier, customer, and peer dependencies. The news feed references a fiber-related spin-off and buyback, which an investor may wish to trace further in primary filings, but the source data does not map these into supply-chain effects.

Open Questions

What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow figures by period, given that the financials section is empty?
What is the analyst consensus rating and price target, given that the analyst data section is empty?
Which institutional holders, insiders, or Congressional traders are active in TLK, given that the holders section is empty?
What are the financial and economic terms of the fiber business spin-off and the Rp36.5 billion buyback, beyond the headline descriptions?
Why does the gross margin read 0%, and what does that reflect in the reporting basis?

TLK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TLK Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 17h ago

Telekomunikasi Indonesia: A 'Buy' After Infrastructure Unit Spinoff And Q3 Preview

Seeking Alpha report covering PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST The Globe and Mail • 20h ago

Telkom Indonesia Completes Rp36.5 Billion Share Buyback Linked to Fiber Business Spin-Off

The Globe and Mail report covering PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH MarketBeat • 23h ago

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk (NYSE:TLK) Stock Gets Downgrade from Wall Street Zen

MarketBeat report covering PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Timothy Sykes • 1d ago

TLK Stock Plunges As Telekomunikasi Indonesia Leads South Asian Decliners

Timothy Sykes report covering PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk (NYSE:TLK) Shares Gap Down - What's Next?

MarketBeat report covering PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

Discipline and Rules-Based Execution in TLK Response

Stock Traders Daily report covering PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Timothy Sykes • 1d ago

TLK Stock Slips As Telekomunikasi Indonesia ADR Keeps Lagging Asia Peers

Timothy Sykes report covering PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk (NYSE:TLK) Sees Large Volume Increase - Time to Buy?

MarketBeat report covering PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TLK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.17?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TLK 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $12.12 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TLK (D • RQD 51/100) a Buy at $11.22?

Welcome to the TLK (PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 51/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Telecommunications Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.42 (-25.0%)

Spot @ $11.22

Pump the brakes on TLK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TLK, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.80 (+23.0%)

Spot @ $11.22

TLK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TLK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Telecommunications Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $11.22 (52-wk range $10.15 - $23.52), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.