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Stock Ratings / Communication Services / TLK / dividends
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PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$10.85 -2.86% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.77

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $11.07B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TLK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TLK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (NYSE: TLK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $10.85 (-2.86% 1D, market cap $11.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, TLK ranks #57 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TLK compare to SKM and TIGO in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), TLK carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, SKM (SK Telecom Co. Ltd.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $11.61B) and TIGO (Millicom International Cellular S.A.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $13.33B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TLK leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while TLK leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TLK?
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For PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #57 in Communication Services, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.77 (-0.70%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 6.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510051
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-
Cash (11)Whales (4)SEC (16)Macro (8)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
$25 Bull$11 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE TLK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TLK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TLK SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$12.74-7.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$11.78-3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$11.43-5.1% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$10.85-1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TLK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TLK currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.18) and Max Pain ($11.39) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.70.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TLK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TLK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TLK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TLK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TLK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.53%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $11.22H $11.22L $10.85C $10.85VOL 2.16M
RES: $14.66SUP: $9.27SMA50: $13.18SMA200: $16.23
$20.40$17.62$14.84$12.07$9.29RES $14.66SUP $9.27$10.852026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TLK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TLK Butterfly Map → + Track TLK →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TLK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TLK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TLK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TLK)

Communication Services Rank #57 of 132 ⚔️ SKM vs TLK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (TLK vs. SKM, TIGO, TU, TIMB)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) ranks #57 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #30 by equity capitalization ($11.07B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TLK leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while TLK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. TU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with TLK at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TLK ACTIVE
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk
D 51/100 32.8x — 9.9% -2.86% $11.07B Benchmark Subject
SKM
SK Telecom Co. Ltd.
D+ 55/100 32.8x — 9.9% -0.33% $11.61B /skm-vs-tlk →
TIGO
Millicom International Cellular S.A.
D+ 56/100 32.8x — 9.9% -2.75% $13.33B /tigo-vs-tlk →
TU
Telus Corporation
C- 59/100 32.8x — 9.9% +2.03% $14.09B /tu-vs-tlk →
TIMB
TIM S.A. American
D+ 52/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.28% $8.46B /timb-vs-tlk →

2. TLK Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) operates in Telecommunications Equipment (Communication Services) with an equity capitalization of $11.07B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. TLK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TLK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (NYSE: TLK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $10.85 (-2.86% 1D, market cap $11.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, TLK ranks #57 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TLK compare to SKM and TIGO in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), TLK carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, SKM (SK Telecom Co. Ltd.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $11.61B) and TIGO (Millicom International Cellular S.A.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $13.33B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TLK leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while TLK leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TLK?

For PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #57 in Communication Services, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TLK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TLK last traded at $10.85 (-2.86% on volume of 2,372,997 shares), positioning the stock -17.68% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.18) and -33.15% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.23). Across its 52-week range of $10.15 to $23.52, TLK sits at the 5.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($10.32 to $11.38).

Direct Sub-Reports: TLK RQD Cockpit TLK 12M Forecast TLK Earnings & Move TLK Dividends & DRIP TLK Insiders & 13F TLK Whale Options TLK Profit Sankey TLK News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 51/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TLK — PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 51/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $10.85 (-2.86% 1D, market capitalization $11.07B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.09x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector: Communication Services. Industry: Telecommunications Equipment. Exchange: NYSE..1B. —: product lines, customer segments, and revenue model details.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 51/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.21% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $10.15 – $23.52 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 1.09x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

There are no upstream or downstream links, no sector-correlation signals, and no identified bottlenecks. —: supplier, customer, and peer dependencies.

  • Key Question #1: Can TLK sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Telecommunications Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.74) toward the $23.52 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TLK's 30.5x forward P/E multiple to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.09x)?

TLK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TLK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TLK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.85?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TLK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TLK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.85 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance-sheet forensics score 16/20 with Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, and Debt/Equity 0.39.

Here is why I am bullish on TLK here at $11.17: Balance-sheet forensics score 16/20 with Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, and Debt/Equity 0.39.. Compare TLK's 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against the rest of Telecommunications Equipment. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $10.61 are getting bought.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@BreakoutHunter Agree on the RQD 51/100 quality, though with 1.09 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $11.17 and keeping dry powder in case we test $10.39.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.38 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $11.17

Institutional whale 13F flow scores only 4/20 and the stock is down -1.84% amid RED risk-watch headlines.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short TLK above $11.17. Institutional whale 13F flow scores only 4/20 and the stock is down -1.84% amid RED risk-watch headlines.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20) and FCF yield (2.21%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $23.52.

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