ROARABLE
Today ⌘ Pro Terminal Big Ideas 🎲 Predictions Screener πŸ¦‹ Butterfly 8 Analysts πŸ›οΈ Policy 🎬 Video β˜… Watchlist 🎲 Prediction Markets πŸ“Š RQD Track Record πŸ“… Next Catalysts πŸ›‘οΈ Overlap & Crash X-Ray πŸ“° Live Wire πŸ‹ 13F Whales πŸ›οΈ Congress & CEO Buys πŸ† $100K Arena ⌘ Pro Terminal πŸ“ Methodology & Corrections
Stock Ratings / Industrials / TDG / options
FER (56) ESLT (74) RKLB (39) LMT (71) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Transdigm Group Incorporated (TDG) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1,146.81 -2.47% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1,139.53

Transdigm Group Incorporated (TDG) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) β†’
ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $65.00B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TDG Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TDG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Transdigm Group Incorporated (NYSE: TDG) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $1,146.81 (-2.47% 1D, market cap $65.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TDG ranks #102 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TDG compare to FER and ESLT in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), TDG carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.3x, gross margin of 60.1%, and ROIC of 63.3%. By comparison, FER (Ferrovial N.V.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $40.95B) and ESLT (Elbit Systems Ltd.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 70.3x, ROIC 15.1%, cap $37.55B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LMT leads on earnings multiple (29.6x) while TDG leads on capital efficiency (63.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TDG?
β–Ό

Per TDG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001260221), Transdigm Group Incorporated generated $8.83B in revenue (+11.2% YoY), $2.07B in net income, and $1.82B in free cash flow against $23.76B in total assets and $14.86B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1,139.59 (-0.63%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 20.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 54.8% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- Β· Rk D+
Cash (13)Whales (12)SEC (12)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$1536 Bull$1173 Base$915 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TDG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TDG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TDG SCORES 63/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 20.6% FCF Margin ($1.82B FCF) & 60.1% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (60.4) create a -11 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$1,112.39+2.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$1,143.06-1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$1,130.23+1.5% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$1,146.81+0.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (55) β†’ C (63)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TDG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, TDG faces multiple-compression risk if 31.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1,128.31) or 200D SMA ($1,223.56) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1,172.61) toward Bear Floor ($914.64).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TDGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTDG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±5.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TDG)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TDG.

Sponsored / Partner SpotlightACTIVE TRADER & PROP EVALUATION DESK

Practice in Our Weekly $100,000 Paper Arena Before Risking Personal Capital

Keep your personal nest egg in cash while trading NQ, ES, Crude, and Gold momentum using institutional prop-desk buying power.

FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

πŸ† Enter Free $100K Paper Arena β†’
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TDG & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TDG
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) β†’$100K Arena
TDG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.25%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $1,136.5H $1,175.9L $1,136.5C $1,146.8VOL 331.1K
RES: $1,353.3SUP: $965.9SMA50: $1,128.3SMA200: $1,223.6
$1,382.1$1,297.9$1,213.6$1,129.4$1,045.1RES $1,353.3SUP $965.9$1,146.82026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TDG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ TDG Butterfly Map β†’ + Track TDG β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
24.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TDG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TDG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TDG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TDG)

Industrials Rank #102 of 485 βš”οΈ FER vs TDG Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TDG vs. FER, ESLT, RKLB, LMT)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Transdigm Group Incorporated (TDG) ranks #102 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #25 by equity capitalization ($65.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LMT leads on earnings valuation at 29.6x trailing P/E, while TDG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 63.3% ROIC and 60.1% gross margin. ESLT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with TDG at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TDG ACTIVE
Transdigm Group Incorporated
C 63/100 31.3x 60.1% 63.3% -2.47% $65.00B Benchmark Subject
FER
Ferrovial N.V.
D+ 56/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -2.86% $40.95B /fer-vs-tdg β†’
ESLT
Elbit Systems Ltd.
B 74/100 70.3x 24.4% 15.1% -3.43% $37.55B /eslt-vs-tdg β†’
RKLB
Rocket Lab Corporation
D- 39/100 β€” 34.4% -6.1% -7.39% $37.10B /rklb-vs-tdg β†’
LMT
Lockheed Martin Corporation
B- 71/100 29.6x 10.2% 26.4% -1.03% $148.67B /lmt-vs-tdg β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-09-30 β€’ CIK 0001260221

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Transdigm Group Incorporated (TDG) reported GAAP revenue of $8.83B (+11.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.94B , and +34.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.07B, operating cash flow of $2.04B, and free cash flow of $1.82B (-3.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, TDG closed FY2025 with $23.76B in total assets against $14.86B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.76, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $8.83B $2.07B $2.04B $1.82B $23.76B $14.86B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $7.94B $1.71B $2.04B $1.88B $21.52B $12.49B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $6.58B $1.30B $1.38B $1.08B $35.75B $8.37B

3. TDG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TDG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Transdigm Group Incorporated (NYSE: TDG) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $1,146.81 (-2.47% 1D, market cap $65.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TDG ranks #102 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TDG compare to FER and ESLT in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), TDG carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.3x, gross margin of 60.1%, and ROIC of 63.3%. By comparison, FER (Ferrovial N.V.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $40.95B) and ESLT (Elbit Systems Ltd.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 70.3x, ROIC 15.1%, cap $37.55B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LMT leads on earnings multiple (29.6x) while TDG leads on capital efficiency (63.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TDG?

Per TDG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001260221), Transdigm Group Incorporated generated $8.83B in revenue (+11.2% YoY), $2.07B in net income, and $1.82B in free cash flow against $23.76B in total assets and $14.86B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TDG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TDG last traded at $1,146.81 (-2.47% on volume of 395,436 shares), positioning the stock +1.64% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1,128.31) and -6.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1,223.56). Across its 52-week range of $1,071.25 to $1,463.03, TDG sits at the 19.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.3% ($1,086.03 to $1,207.59).

TDG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is TDG's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for TDG.

Direct Sub-Reports: TDG RQD Cockpit TDG 12M Forecast TDG Earnings & Move TDG Dividends & DRIP TDG Insiders & 13F TDG Whale Options TDG Profit Sankey TDG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 63/100 (C) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TDG β€” Transdigm Group Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:38Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TDG scores 63 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict label "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar cites ROIC of 63.3% and FCF yield of 2.79%. The high return on invested capital supports the quality of the business, while the low FCF yield indicates that the current price leaves limited free cash flow relative to market value. For a prospective investor, the valuation tradeoff is that strong capital efficiency is largely priced in.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data for holders is not provided, so the underlying drivers of this score cannot be independently verified from this dossier.
  • Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the highest pillar and reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the strongest upside-oriented signal in the rating, though the underlying trade-level data is not included in the sources.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar cites Beta of 0.89 and sector sensitivity. The low beta suggests lower market-correlated volatility, but the score is the second-weakest, indicating limited alignment with the current macro regime per the rating's methodology.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar cites Altman Z of 1.76, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85. The Piotroski reading is strong, while the Altman Z is in a range that warrants attention to leverage and refinancing risk.

Taken together, the 63 score reflects a stock with strong operating economics and insider signal support, offset by a stretched valuation (P/E TTM of 31.3) and weaker macro fit. For a prospective investor, the rating points to a balanced risk-reward profile rather than a clear asymmetric opportunity.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$1175.91$65.0B31.329.117.537.5211.5%0.89$1071.25 - $1463.0363.3%

Business

Transdigm Group Incorporated is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Military/Government/Technical industry, per the profile. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Per the SEC financials, the company reported FY 2025 revenue of $8831.0M, indicating a scale of operations, but the mix of sales is not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$8831.0M$4165.0M$2074.0MN/A$1816.0M$2528.0M$14859.0M
FY 2024$7940.0M$3531.0M$1714.0MN/A$1880.0M$2459.0M$12494.7M
FY 2023$6585.0M$2923.0M$1298.0MN/A$1078.7MN/A$8365.5M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $6585.0M in FY 2023 to $8831.0M in FY 2025, and net income rose over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 60.1%, operating margin 47.2%, and net margin 23.5%, with ROIC of 63.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.76 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9. Debt increased from $8365.5M to $14859.0M across the reported periods, and Debt/Equity is 0.85 per the rating's forensic inputs. FCF declined from $1880.0M in FY 2024 to $1816.0M in FY 2025.

Open Questions

  • What products and customers drive the $8831.0M of FY 2025 revenue, and how concentrated is that revenue?
  • What explains the increase in debt from $8365.5M to $14859.0M, and what are the maturity and refinancing terms?
  • Why did FCF decline from $1880.0M to $1816.0M despite rising net income, and what is the working-capital or capex driver?
  • What institutional and insider transactions underlie the Whale 13F and Insider Conviction pillar scores?
  • What is the basis for the 11.5% dividend yield, and is it supported by free cash flow?

TDG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Transdigm Group Incorporated (TDG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to TDG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟒 CATALYST Yahoo β€’ 4d ago
3 market-beating stocks for long-term investors

Stocks that outperform the market usually share key traits such as rising sales, expanding margins, and increasing returns on capital. The select few that can do all three for many years are often the ones that make you

Read Full Source β†—
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TDG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1,146.81?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TDG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TDG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $1,269.98 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TDG (C β€’ RQD 63/100) a Buy at $1175.91?

Welcome to the TDG (Transdigm Group Incorporated) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Military/Government/Technical. Bulls point to capital efficiency (63.3% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (31.3x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $928.97 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $1,175.91

Pump the brakes on TDG β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TDG, but look at what you are paying: 31.3x trailing P/E with 60.1% gross margins. Unless Transdigm Group Incorporated expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1,340.54 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $1,175.91

TDG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TDG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Military/Government/Technical and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1175.91 (52-wk range $1071.25 - $1463.03), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%