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Stock Ratings / Utilities / TAC / dividends
AQN (62) PAM (45) ELC (43) OTTR (71) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

TransAlta Corporation (TAC) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$12.98 -1.74% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.91

TransAlta Corporation (TAC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.10B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TAC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, TransAlta Corporation (NYSE: TAC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $12.98 (-1.74% 1D, market cap $4.10B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, TAC ranks #54 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TAC compare to AQN and PAM in the Utilities sector?
▼

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), TAC carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, AQN (Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 23.1x, ROIC 3.7%, cap $4.20B) and PAM (Pampa Energia S.A.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OTTR leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while OTTR leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TAC?
▼

For TransAlta Corporation (TAC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #54 in Utilities, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.92 (-0.50%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$19 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE TAC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TAC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TAC SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 2.9% FCF Margin ($114.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$13.22-1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$12.97-0.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$12.87+0.9% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$12.98-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TAC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TAC currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.42) and Max Pain ($13.63) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.70.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TAC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TAC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.2K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.9K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.8K
Yr 7
$16.9K
Yr 8
$18.1K
Yr 9
$19.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TAC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TAC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
TAC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.85%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $13.21H $13.21L $12.98C $12.98VOL 835.5K
RES: $13.42SUP: $11.18SMA50: $12.42SMA200: $12.94
$15.09$14.10$13.10$12.11$11.11RES $13.42SUP $11.18$12.982026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TAC Butterfly Map → + Track TAC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TAC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TAC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TAC)

Utilities Rank #54 of 117 ⚔️ AQN vs TAC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (TAC vs. AQN, PAM, ELC, OTTR)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TransAlta Corporation (TAC) ranks #54 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #62 by equity capitalization ($4.10B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OTTR leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while OTTR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.5% ROIC and — gross margin. OTTR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with TAC at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TAC ACTIVE
TransAlta Corporation
D+ 52/100 — — — -1.74% $4.10B Benchmark Subject
AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
C 62/100 23.1x — 3.7% +0.55% $4.20B /aqn-vs-tac →
PAM
Pampa Energia S.A.
D 45/100 — — — -3.29% $3.96B /pam-vs-tac →
ELC
Entergy Louisiana Inc. Collateral Trust Mortgage Bonds 4.875 % Series due September 1 2066
D- 43/100 — — — 0.00% $3.87B /elc-vs-tac →
OTTR
Otter Tail Corporation
B- 71/100 13.8x — 18.5% -0.08% $3.79B /ottr-vs-tac →

2. TAC Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

TransAlta Corporation (TAC) operates in Electric Utilities: Central (Utilities) with an equity capitalization of $4.10B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, TransAlta Corporation (NYSE: TAC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $12.98 (-1.74% 1D, market cap $4.10B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, TAC ranks #54 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TAC compare to AQN and PAM in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), TAC carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, AQN (Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 23.1x, ROIC 3.7%, cap $4.20B) and PAM (Pampa Energia S.A.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OTTR leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while OTTR leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TAC?

For TransAlta Corporation (TAC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #54 in Utilities, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TAC last traded at $12.98 (-1.74% on volume of 835,545 shares), positioning the stock +4.51% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.42) and +0.31% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.94). Across its 52-week range of $11.38 to $17.81, TAC sits at the 24.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($12.11 to $13.85).

TAC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does TAC pay a dividend and is it safe?

TransAlta Corporation (TAC) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: TAC RQD Cockpit TAC 12M Forecast TAC Earnings & Move TAC Dividends & DRIP TAC Insiders & 13F TAC Whale Options TAC Profit Sankey TAC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TAC — TransAlta Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:11:31Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TAC scores 55 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12 of 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 10 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 9 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 11 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillar is Insider Conviction, and the cash engine pillar reflects the zero ROIC and zero FCF yield reported in the market data. The strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, which is the main offset to the weak cash-generation reading. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the balance sheet holding up and on the stock's modest market move, while the valuation tradeoff is that the rating's cash-engine inputs give no earnings-based anchor for price. The rating characterizes current fundamentals, not a forecast.

Business

Per the profile section, TransAlta Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Utilities sector, specifically the Electric Utilities: Central industry. Its market capitalization is listed as $4.2B. Not available in source data for product lines, customer base, or revenue model.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, six items reference TAC. Items are attributed by headline source: a Stocktwits market report (labeled MARKET WIRE, YELLOW), a Yahoo Finance dividend declaration headline "TransAlta Declares Dividends" (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW), a Yahoo Finance stock forecasts item (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW), a Stock Titan price and news item (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW), and two items flagged CATALYST (GREEN) reporting shares gaining 1.50% to $12.85 with put support and VWAP deviation references. The dividend declaration headline is the only item that names a specific corporate action. Several item summaries are generic templates and do not state new facts. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain field is NONE, there are no butterfly links, and no proprietary signals are provided. Key risk watch items per the rating are the zero dividend yield alongside the declared-dividend headline, which the sources do not reconcile, and the weak insider and cash-engine pillars.

Open Questions

  • What does the declared dividend in the news headline correspond to, given the 0% dividend yield in market data?
  • What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, EPS, free cash flow, cash, and debt figures, since the financials section is empty?
  • What are the P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA multiples, which are all absent from the source data?
  • What analyst consensus rating or price targets apply to TAC?
  • What 13F institutional, SEC Form 4 insider, or Congressional trades are recorded for TAC?

TAC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TransAlta Corporation (TAC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TAC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TAC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.98?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TAC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TAC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $14.27 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TAC (D+ • RQD 55/100) a Buy at $13.21?

Welcome to the TAC (TransAlta Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 55/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Electric Utilities: Central. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.96 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $13.21

Pump the brakes on TAC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TAC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless TransAlta Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $16.51 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $13.21

TAC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TAC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Electric Utilities: Central and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $13.21 (52-wk range $11.38 - $17.82), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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