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Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$90.35 -0.08% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $90.55

Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $3.79B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OTTR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OTTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Otter Tail Corporation (NASDAQ: OTTR) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $90.35 (-0.08% 1D, market cap $3.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, OTTR ranks #11 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OTTR compare to ELC and PAM in the Utilities sector?

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Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), OTTR carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.5%. By comparison, ELC (Entergy Louisiana Inc. Collateral Trust Mortgage Bonds 4.875 % Series due September 1 2066) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.87B) and PAM (Pampa Energia S.A.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OTTR leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while OTTR leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OTTR?

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Per OTTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001466593), Otter Tail Corporation generated $1.30B in revenue (-2.0% YoY), $275.9M in net income, and $386.0M in free cash flow against $3.96B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $90.56 (+0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 29.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OTTR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±2.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OTTR SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 29.6% FCF Margin ($386.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$89.04+0.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$89.86+0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$90.47-0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$90.35+6.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OTTR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, OTTR faces multiple-compression risk if 13.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($89.37) or 200D SMA ($88.85) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($95.64) toward Bear Floor ($74.09).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OTTR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OTTR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

54.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE77% OF RANGE

L: $74$90.35H: $95

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: B+RQD 16 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on OTTR

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (80)

18.5% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 10.17% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (75)

30/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like OTTR

✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OTTR Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

OTTR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.26%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-11-03O $90.42H $90.42L $90.35C $90.35VOL 200.0K

RES: $91.56SUP: $87.91SMA50: $89.37SMA200: $88.85

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OTTR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OTTR Butterfly Map → + Track OTTR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

5.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OTTR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OTTR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OTTR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OTTR)

Utilities Rank #11 of 117 ⚔️ ELC vs OTTR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (OTTR vs. ELC, PAM, TAC, AQN)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) ranks #11 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #65 by equity capitalization ($3.79B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OTTR leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while OTTR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.5% ROIC and — gross margin. OTTR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OTTR ACTIVE Otter Tail Corporation	B-	71/100	13.8x	—	18.5%	-0.08%	$3.79B	Benchmark Subject
ELC Entergy Louisiana Inc. Collateral Trust Mortgage Bonds 4.875 % Series due September 1 2066	D-	43/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$3.87B	/elc-vs-ottr →
PAM Pampa Energia S.A.	D	45/100	—	—	—	-3.29%	$3.96B	/pam-vs-ottr →
TAC TransAlta Corporation	D+	52/100	—	—	—	-1.74%	$4.10B	/tac-vs-ottr →
AQN Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.	C	62/100	23.1x	—	3.7%	+0.55%	$4.20B	/aqn-vs-ottr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001466593

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.30B (-2.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.33B , and -3.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $275.9M, operating cash flow of $386.0M, and free cash flow of $386.0M (-14.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, OTTR closed FY2025 with $3.96B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.30B	$275.9M	$386.0M	$386.0M	$3.96B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.33B	$301.7M	$452.7M	$452.7M	$3.65B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.35B	$294.2M	$404.5M	$404.5M	—	—

3. OTTR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OTTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does OTTR compare to ELC and PAM in the Utilities sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OTTR?

Where is OTTR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OTTR last traded at $90.35 (-0.08% on volume of 199,981 shares), positioning the stock +1.10% above its 50-day simple moving average ($89.37) and +1.69% above its 200-day simple moving average ($88.85). Across its 52-week range of $74.15 to $95.09, OTTR sits at the 77.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±2.9% ($87.73 to $92.97).

OTTR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell OTTR stock right now?

Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy — BUY) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is OTTR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

OTTR's 12-month base price target is $95.64 (range $74.09 to $112.86), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: OTTR RQD Cockpit OTTR 12M Forecast OTTR Earnings & Move OTTR Dividends & DRIP OTTR Insiders & 13F OTTR Whale Options OTTR Profit Sankey OTTR News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 71/100 (B-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OTTR — Otter Tail Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:22:50Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OTTR scores 71 out of 100, a letter grade of B-, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 (ROIC 18.5%; FCF yield 10.17%), Whale 13F Flow at 13/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 17/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 15/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The strongest pillar is insider conviction, and the weakest is the forensic balance sheet, which is the pillar a prospective investor should scrutinize most closely. Cash generation, measured by ROIC and FCF yield, is the second-strongest factor and supports the upside case. Institutional flow is moderate, and macro fit is adequate at beta 1.0. For valuation, the market data show a trailing P/E of 13.8 and forward P/E of 12.8, which frames the price as moderate relative to the earnings figures provided, but the sources do not establish whether that is cheap or fair against peers. This is an analytical summary of the rating components, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
90.42	$3.8B	13.8	12.8	9.9	6.57	2.32%	1.0	$74.15 - $95.09	18.5%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Earnings event (YELLOW): A headline states that Otter Tail will host a conference call on Q3 2026 financial results, and a separate GuruFocus item indicates the company is set to report Q3 earnings in November. The specific date is not confirmed in the source data.
Analyst/estimates coverage (YELLOW): A TradingView "Estimates" item is listed, but no estimate figures are included in the source data.
Price action (YELLOW): A regional aggregator item notes the stock held near $90.35 with a marginal slip. This is consistent with the market data price of 90.42 (+0.87%).
Risk Watch (RED): A Yahoo Finance item reports that S&P cut its outlook to stable. The headline is a question about whether the stock is fully valued following that change. The accompanying S&P revision headline attributes the change to capex growth and PVC segment softening. This is the only RED-flag item in the feed.
Catalyst (GREEN): The S&P outlook revision is also tagged as a positive catalyst in the feed, creating a mixed signal that the source data does not resolve.
Proprietary signals: The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What is the company's EPS for each reported fiscal year, and how does it reconcile with the TTM EPS of 6.57?
What are total debt and the debt maturity profile, given that the debt field is N/A in every period?
What is the scale of the PVC segment softening referenced in the S&P outlook revision, and how material is it to revenue and margins?
What are the Q3 2026 earnings date and any consensus estimates, given the feed references but no figures?
What were the cash balances for FY 2023, and what drove the decline in FCF from $452.7M (FY 2024) to $386.0M (FY 2025)?

OTTR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OTTR Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 19h ago

Otter Tail Corporation Will Host Conference Call on Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results

Yahoo Finance report covering Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 22h ago

Otter Tail Corporation Estimates – NASDAQ:OTTR

TradingView report covering Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GuruFocus • 1d ago

Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) Set to Report Q3 Earnings on Novem

GuruFocus report covering Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Is Otter Tail (OTTR) Fully Valued After S&P Cut Its Outlook To Stable?

Yahoo Finance report covering Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) Holds Near $90.35 as Price Slips Marginally - Fundamental Weighted

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

S&P revises Otter Tail outlook to stable on capex growth and PVC segment softening

Yahoo Finance report covering Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) Stock Forecasts

Yahoo Finance report covering Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago

OTTR Q2 2026 Earnings: EPS of $1.66 Beats Consensus by 8.67% as Shares Edge Lower - Earnings Quality Analysis

https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OTTR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $90.35?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OTTR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $106.70 (+18.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OTTR (B- • RQD 71/100) a Buy at $90.42?

Welcome to the OTTR (Otter Tail Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 71/100 (Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Electric Utilities: Central. Bulls point to capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $67.82 (-25.0%)

Spot @ $90.42

Pump the brakes on OTTR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OTTR, but look at what you are paying: 13.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Otter Tail Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $115.74 (+28.0%)

Spot @ $90.42

OTTR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OTTR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Electric Utilities: Central and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $90.42 (52-wk range $74.15 - $95.09), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.