Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / STZ / options

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Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$135.33 +3.82% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $136.00

Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $22.06B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on STZ Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is STZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Constellation Brands Inc. (NYSE: STZ) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $135.33 (+3.82% 1D, market cap $22.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, STZ ranks #22 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does STZ compare to COKE and ABEV in the Consumer Staples sector?

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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), STZ carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.1x, gross margin of 51.6%, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, COKE (Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc.) holds a A- grade (82/100 RQD, P/E 24.4x, ROIC 45.1%, cap $13.94B) and ABEV (Ambev S.A. American) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $42.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STZ leads on earnings multiple (13.1x) while COKE leads on capital efficiency (45.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STZ?

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Per STZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0000016918), Constellation Brands Inc. generated $9.14B in revenue (-10.5% YoY), $1.69B in net income, and $1.79B in free cash flow against $21.68B in total assets and $10.29B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $136.01 (+0.50%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 19.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY STZ SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.72 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$127.06+4.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$132.74-1.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$130.63+3.6% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$135.33+1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the STZ Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, STZ faces multiple-compression risk if 13.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($125.15) or 200D SMA ($141.55) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($140.20) toward Bear Floor ($109.36).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STZ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “STZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±5.2%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (STZ)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for STZ.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating STZ & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on STZ
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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STZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.65%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $129.8H $135.3L $129.8C $135.3VOL 1.60M

RES: $140.0SUP: $104.5SMA50: $125.2SMA200: $141.6

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 STZ Butterfly Map → + Track STZ →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

4.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STZ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STZ)

Consumer Staples Rank #22 of 146 ⚔️ COKE vs STZ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (STZ vs. COKE, ABEV, FMX, KDP)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) ranks #22 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #21 by equity capitalization ($22.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STZ leads on earnings valuation at 13.1x trailing P/E, while COKE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 45.1% ROIC and 39.7% gross margin. COKE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with STZ at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
STZ ACTIVE Constellation Brands Inc.	C+	66/100	13.1x	51.6%	12.0%	+3.82%	$22.06B	Benchmark Subject
COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc.	A-	82/100	24.4x	39.7%	45.1%	+0.45%	$13.94B	/coke-vs-stz →
ABEV Ambev S.A. American	D+	53/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-0.37%	$42.08B	/abev-vs-stz →
FMX Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.B. de C.V.	C	64/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+1.46%	$42.34B	/fmx-vs-stz →
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.	C	64/100	23.1x	54.2%	7.5%	+1.53%	$48.04B	/kdp-vs-stz →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-02-28 • CIK 0000016918

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28), Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) reported GAAP revenue of $9.14B (-10.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.21B , and -8.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.69B, operating cash flow of $2.67B, and free cash flow of $1.79B (-7.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, STZ closed FY2025 with $21.68B in total assets against $10.29B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.72, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-02-28	$9.14B	$1.69B	$2.67B	$1.79B	$21.68B	$10.29B
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-28	$10.21B	-$81.4M	$3.15B	$1.94B	$22.81B	$10.19B
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-29	$9.96B	$1.73B	$2.78B	$2.33B	$12.13B	$2.84B

3. STZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does STZ compare to COKE and ABEV in the Consumer Staples sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STZ?

Where is STZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STZ last traded at $135.33 (+3.82% on volume of 3,425,469 shares), positioning the stock +8.13% above its 50-day simple moving average ($125.15) and -4.39% below its 200-day simple moving average ($141.55). Across its 52-week range of $110.60 to $168.60, STZ sits at the 42.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($128.29 to $142.37).

STZ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is STZ's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for STZ.

Direct Sub-Reports: STZ RQD Cockpit STZ 12M Forecast STZ Earnings & Move STZ Dividends & DRIP STZ Insiders & 13F STZ Whale Options STZ Profit Sankey STZ News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

STZ — Constellation Brands Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:13:25Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, STZ scores 66 out of 100, a C+ grade labeled "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 12%; FCF yield 8.13%), Whale 13F Flow at 10/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 18/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 12/20 (Beta 1.09; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 2.72; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 1.33). The strongest pillar is insider activity, which the rating treats as the main support for the score. The weakest pillars are institutional flow and macro fit, both at the lower end of their ranges, which is why the verdict sits in neutral territory rather than a bullish call. For a prospective investor, the score implies a stock with a reasonably solid balance sheet and cash generation, but one where institutional momentum has not clearly confirmed the insider signal. The "watch for breakout" framing suggests the rating is waiting for confirmation from institutional flow before a stronger view is warranted. This is an analytical reading of the rating, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
130.35	$22.06B	13.1	12.2	9.3	9.97	3.25%	1.09	$110.6 - $168.6	12%

Business

Constellation Brands Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, operating in the Beverages (Production/Distribution) industry. Per the company profile, its market capitalization is $22.1B. The source data does not specify its product lines, customer base, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 51.6%, an operating margin of 29.8%, and a net margin of 18.5%.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$9139.0M	$2721.4M	$1686.7M	N/A	$1794.0M	$152.4M	$10285.1M
FY 2024	$10208.7M	$354.9M	$-81.4M	N/A	$1938.1M	$73.7M	$10185.7M
FY 2023	$9961.8M	$3169.7M	$1727.4M	N/A	$2331.7M	N/A	$2838.5M

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $10208.7M in FY 2024 to $9139.0M in FY 2025, while net income moved from $-81.4M to $1686.7M. Debt rose from $2838.5M in FY 2023 to $10285.1M in FY 2025. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.72, the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 1.33. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scored 14/20 on these measures. ROIC is 12% per the market data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, all six items are tagged with a YELLOW light and a MARKET WIRE impact label. The headlines center on beer sales demand durability, a Modelo owner effort to win back beer drinkers as overall demand weakens, a Trefis piece on the biggest threat to the stock, a Yahoo Finance piece describing the stock as undervalued after a 42% three-year slide, and commentary on whether the stock has become a different bet. The source data does not provide the underlying figures or dates behind these headlines beyond the published timestamps. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded for STZ.

Open Questions

What drove the move in debt from $2838.5M in FY 2023 to $10285.1M in FY 2025, and how is it being serviced?
Why is EPS reported as N/A across all periods when net income is available, and what is the per-share figure for FY 2025?
What specific beer demand trends are referenced in the news, and what volumes or revenue lines do they affect?
Who are the institutional holders and insiders driving the 10/20 flow and 18/20 insider scores?
What is the cash balance for FY 2023, which is reported as N/A?

STZ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to STZ Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 7h ago

Constellation Brands stock rises as beer sales demand faces durability question

Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE CNBC • 10h ago

Modelo owner Constellation is getting creative to bring back beer drinkers as overall demand weakens

CNBC report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Trefis • 13h ago

What Is The Biggest Threat To Constellation Brands Stock?

Trefis report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 16h ago

Constellation Brands (STZ) Stock Looks Undervalued After a 42% Three Year Slide

Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Trefis • 19h ago

Has Constellation Brands Stock Become A Different Bet?

Trefis report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

Jim Cramer Takes a Fresh Look at Constellation (STZ) Brands After an Unexpected Reversal

Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Trefis • 1d ago

Constellation Brands Stock Has One Thing Left To Prove

Trefis report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Constellation Brands’s (NYSE:STZ) Q3 CY2026: Beats On Revenue But Stock Drops On Weak Guidance

Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

STZ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $135.33?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON STZ 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $140.78 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is STZ (C+ • RQD 66/100) a Buy at $130.35?

Welcome to the STZ (Constellation Brands Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 66/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Beverages (Production/Distribution). Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $105.58 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $130.35

Pump the brakes on STZ — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on STZ, but look at what you are paying: 13.1x trailing P/E with 51.6% gross margins. Unless Constellation Brands Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $152.51 (+17.0%)

Spot @ $130.35

STZ cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on STZ, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Beverages (Production/Distribution) and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $130.35 (52-wk range $110.60 - $168.60), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.