Micron has already locked in shipments years ahead, co-designed its next chip with NVIDIA, and posted revenue growth that leaves its peers in the dust, yet the stock trades at a fraction of the multiple those peers comma
Why STX Stock dropped -7.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) (STX) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is STX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) (NASDAQ: STX) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $644.58 (-7.98% 1D, market cap $160.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, STX ranks #146 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does STX compare to WDC and SNDK in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), STX carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 58.3%. By comparison, WDC (Western Digital Corporation) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 58.3%, cap $148.01B) and SNDK (Sandisk Corporation) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 58.3%, cap $193.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STX leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while STX leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STX?
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Per STX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0001137789), Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $8.71B in total assets and $3.50B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45.9) create a -12 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the STX Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, STX faces multiple-compression risk if 21.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($794.22) or 200D SMA ($696.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($667.78) toward Bear Floor ($520.87).
Why STX Stock dropped -7.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) (STX) dropped -7.98% to $644.58, trading at 45% of its 52-week range ($228.61 – $1145). Solid steady margins (58% return on capital), mixed timing at 22x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 45% of its 52-week range ($228.61 – $1145) with RSI-14 at 45.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.6% around $644.58 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 0% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Compelling Strategic and Financial RationaleThe combination is expected to deliver substantial strategic and financial benefits:Creates a category leader in AI connectivity: Combining Marvell's electrical and
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Seagate downgraded to Hold after a 440% rally. Learn why supply shortages, record margins, and 2028 capacity growth could limit upside now.
Meta faces political backlash, Nvidia draws DOJ scrutiny, and tech giants report mixed earnings as AI demand, telecom battles and major corporate deals dominate headlines.
Data storage manufacturer Seagate (NASDAQ:STX) reported calendar Q3 2026 (fiscal Q1 2027) results beating Wall Street’s revenue expectations, with sales up 61% year on year to $4.23 billion. On top of that, next quarter’
Intel is the worst stock in the S&P 500 in October. The chip maker is heading for its worst month on record.
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Sandisk Corporation (NASDAQ:SNDK) shares fell around 8% in morning trading on Friday despite reporting first-quarter results that topped Wall Street expectations, as investors weighed strong datacenter demand against the
Sandisk just posted a blowout quarter, announced a massive buyback, and unveiled an 8-for-1 stock split, yet shares cratered anyway and dragged the entire memory sector down with them. What spooked investors enough to se
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (STX Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
STX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STX today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STX)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (STX vs. WDC, SNDK, KLAC, TEL)
Industry: Electronic Components (21 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) (STX) ranks #146 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #35 by equity capitalization ($160.21B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STX leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while STX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.3% ROIC and — gross margin. SNDK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with STX at 66/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STX
ACTIVE
Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) | C+ | 66/100 | 21.7x | — | 58.3% | -7.98% | $160.21B | Benchmark Subject |
| WDC Western Digital Corporation | C+ | 69/100 | 21.7x | — | 58.3% | -7.41% | $148.01B | /wdc-vs-stx → |
| SNDK Sandisk Corporation | B+ | 76/100 | 21.7x | — | 58.3% | -13.47% | $193.29B | /sndk-vs-stx → |
| KLAC KLA Corporation | C+ | 68/100 | 53.8x | 60.9% | 22.4% | -5.69% | $218.50B | /klac-vs-stx → |
| TEL TE Connectivity plc | B | 74/100 | 35.0x | 35.2% | 15.2% | -4.37% | $64.49B | /tel-vs-stx → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-02 • CIK 0001137789In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02), Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) (STX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.10B , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 (-100.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, STX closed FY2025 with $8.71B in total assets against $3.50B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 19.26, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-01-02 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $8.71B | $3.50B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-06-27 | $9.10B | $1.47B | $1.08B | $818.0M | $7.96B | $5.20B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-06-28 | $6.55B | $335.0M | $918.0M | $623.2M | $88.12B | $20.62B |
3. STX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs STX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) (NASDAQ: STX) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $644.58 (-7.98% 1D, market cap $160.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, STX ranks #146 in composite RQD confidence.
How does STX compare to WDC and SNDK in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), STX carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 58.3%. By comparison, WDC (Western Digital Corporation) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 58.3%, cap $148.01B) and SNDK (Sandisk Corporation) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 58.3%, cap $193.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STX leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while STX leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STX?
Per STX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0001137789), Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $8.71B in total assets and $3.50B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is STX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
STX last traded at $644.58 (-7.98% on volume of 5,786,155 shares), positioning the stock -18.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($794.22) and -7.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($696.37). Across its 52-week range of $228.61 to $1,145.00, STX sits at the 45.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.6% ($569.81 to $719.35).
STX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is STX stock moving today?
Why STX Stock dropped -7.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (58% return on capital), mixed timing at 22x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
STX — Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, STX scores 66 out of 100, a C+ grade with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. Cited figures are ROIC of 58.3% and an FCF yield of 3.99%. A high return on invested capital alongside a modest free-cash-flow yield suggests the business earns strong returns on capital, but the price paid for that cash generation is comparatively high.
- Whale 13F Flow: 11 / 20. Institutional accumulation and options positioning are referenced, but no supporting holder data is provided in this dataset (see Analyst View section).
- Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. The strongest pillar. The rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow; the underlying transaction detail is not provided in this dataset.
- Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. The weakest pillar, reflecting a Beta of 1.33 and sector sensitivity. For a prospective investor, this implies amplified price moves relative to the broader market in either direction.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Altman Z-Score of 19.26 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate strong financial health on these measures, while Debt/Equity of 7.63 is a leverage flag that tempers the score.
Investment implications: the rating frames STX as a "Hold" with upside contingent on a breakout, rather than a clear accumulation signal. Upside drivers in the data are the cash-generation and insider pillars; the valuation tradeoff is a forward P/E of 18.2 against a trailing P/E of 21.7 and an FCF yield of 3.99%; and the volatility profile (Beta 1.33, 52-week range of $228.61 – $1145) means position sizing and timing carry outsized importance. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $0.0M | $0.0M | $0.0M | N/A | $0.0M | $1046.0M | $3501.0M |
| FY 2024 | $9097.0M | $1890.0M | $1469.0M | N/A | $818.0M | $1238.0M | $5200.0M |
| FY 2023 | $6551.0M | $452.0M | $335.0M | N/A | $623.2M | N/A | $20619.1M |
Per the market data, operating margin is 21.1%, net margin is 16.4%, and gross margin is 0%, with ROIC at 58.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 19.26, the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 7.63. The FY 2025 income statement figures are reported as $0.0M, which the source does not explain; the FY 2024 and FY 2023 periods show the reported trend in debt moving from $20619.1M to $5200.0M to $3501.0M across the periods shown.
Open Questions
- Why are FY 2025 revenue, net income, operating income, and FCF reported as $0.0M when the balance-sheet items are populated?
- What drove the change in debt from $20619.1M (FY 2023) to $3501.0M (FY 2025), and is the current debt level sustainable at a Debt/Equity of 7.63?
- What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue mix, given that the business description is not in the source data?
- What specific SEC Form 4, 13F, and Congressional transactions underlie the insider and whale pillar scores?
- What explains the $228.61 to $1145 52-week range, and what catalysts are behind that volatility?
STX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) (STX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Micron has already locked in shipments years ahead, co-designed its next chip with NVIDIA, and posted revenue growth that leaves its peers in the dust, yet the stock trades at a fraction of the multiple those peers comma
Compelling Strategic and Financial RationaleThe combination is expected to deliver substantial strategic and financial benefits:Creates a category leader in AI connectivity: Combining Marvell's electrical and
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Seagate downgraded to Hold after a 440% rally. Learn why supply shortages, record margins, and 2028 capacity growth could limit upside now.
Meta faces political backlash, Nvidia draws DOJ scrutiny, and tech giants report mixed earnings as AI demand, telecom battles and major corporate deals dominate headlines.
Data storage manufacturer Seagate (NASDAQ:STX) reported calendar Q3 2026 (fiscal Q1 2027) results beating Wall Street’s revenue expectations, with sales up 61% year on year to $4.23 billion. On top of that, next quarter’
Intel is the worst stock in the S&P 500 in October. The chip maker is heading for its worst month on record.
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
STX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $644.58?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is STX (C+ • RQD 66/100) a Buy at $700.47?
Welcome to the STX (Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 66/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Electronic Components. Bulls point to capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on STX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on STX, but look at what you are paying: 21.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
STX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on STX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Electronic Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $700.47 (52-wk range $228.61 - $1145.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.