Stock Ratings / Technology / STX / earnings

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Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) (STX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.6% Move

$644.58 -7.98% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $634.10

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) (STX) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $160.21B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on STX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is STX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) (NASDAQ: STX) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $644.58 (-7.98% 1D, market cap $160.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, STX ranks #146 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does STX compare to WDC and SNDK in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), STX carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 58.3%. By comparison, WDC (Western Digital Corporation) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 58.3%, cap $148.01B) and SNDK (Sandisk Corporation) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 58.3%, cap $193.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STX leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while STX leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STX?

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Per STX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0001137789), Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $8.71B in total assets and $3.50B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $634.07 (-1.63%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY STX SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45.9) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$747.20-9.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$675.13-1.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$667.85-3.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$644.58+1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the STX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, STX faces multiple-compression risk if 21.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($794.22) or 200D SMA ($696.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($667.78) toward Bear Floor ($520.87).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STX• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “STX Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 1, 2027 (~59 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.6% Swing Band

±$74.77 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

STX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 66/100

Trailing EPS: $32.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 180%

Model Bullish Setup (66/100)Model Risk Weight (34/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-01-02	$0	$0	$0	52%
FY 2024	2025-06-27	$9.10B	$1.47B	$818.0M	35.2%
FY 2023	2024-06-28	$6.55B	$335.0M	$623.2M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating STX & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on STX
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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STX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.72%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $698.0H $700.5L $644.6C $644.6VOL 5.35M

RES: $897.8SUP: $596.1SMA50: $794.2SMA200: $696.4

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 STX Butterfly Map → + Track STX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

15.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STX)

Technology Rank #146 of 714 ⚔️ WDC vs STX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (STX vs. WDC, SNDK, KLAC, TEL)

Industry: Electronic Components (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) (STX) ranks #146 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #35 by equity capitalization ($160.21B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STX leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while STX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.3% ROIC and — gross margin. SNDK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with STX at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
STX ACTIVE Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland)	C+	66/100	21.7x	—	58.3%	-7.98%	$160.21B	Benchmark Subject
WDC Western Digital Corporation	C+	69/100	21.7x	—	58.3%	-7.41%	$148.01B	/wdc-vs-stx →
SNDK Sandisk Corporation	B+	76/100	21.7x	—	58.3%	-13.47%	$193.29B	/sndk-vs-stx →
KLAC KLA Corporation	C+	68/100	53.8x	60.9%	22.4%	-5.69%	$218.50B	/klac-vs-stx →
TEL TE Connectivity plc	B	74/100	35.0x	35.2%	15.2%	-4.37%	$64.49B	/tel-vs-stx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-02 • CIK 0001137789

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02), Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) (STX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.10B , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 (-100.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, STX closed FY2025 with $8.71B in total assets against $3.50B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 19.26, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-02	$0	$0	$0	$0	$8.71B	$3.50B
FY2024 (FY)	2025-06-27	$9.10B	$1.47B	$1.08B	$818.0M	$7.96B	$5.20B
FY2023 (FY)	2024-06-28	$6.55B	$335.0M	$918.0M	$623.2M	$88.12B	$20.62B

3. STX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does STX compare to WDC and SNDK in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STX?

Where is STX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STX last traded at $644.58 (-7.98% on volume of 5,786,155 shares), positioning the stock -18.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($794.22) and -7.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($696.37). Across its 52-week range of $228.61 to $1,145.00, STX sits at the 45.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.6% ($569.81 to $719.35).

STX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is STX's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) (STX)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 1, 2027.

How much is STX stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.6% event move for STX, spanning a range between $569.81 and $719.35.

Direct Sub-Reports: STX RQD Cockpit STX 12M Forecast STX Earnings & Move STX Dividends & DRIP STX Insiders & 13F STX Whale Options STX Profit Sankey STX News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

STX — Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:20Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, STX scores 66 out of 100, a C+ grade with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. Cited figures are ROIC of 58.3% and an FCF yield of 3.99%. A high return on invested capital alongside a modest free-cash-flow yield suggests the business earns strong returns on capital, but the price paid for that cash generation is comparatively high.
Whale 13F Flow: 11 / 20. Institutional accumulation and options positioning are referenced, but no supporting holder data is provided in this dataset (see Analyst View section).
Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. The strongest pillar. The rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow; the underlying transaction detail is not provided in this dataset.
Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. The weakest pillar, reflecting a Beta of 1.33 and sector sensitivity. For a prospective investor, this implies amplified price moves relative to the broader market in either direction.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Altman Z-Score of 19.26 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate strong financial health on these measures, while Debt/Equity of 7.63 is a leverage flag that tempers the score.

Investment implications: the rating frames STX as a "Hold" with upside contingent on a breakout, rather than a clear accumulation signal. Upside drivers in the data are the cash-generation and insider pillars; the valuation tradeoff is a forward P/E of 18.2 against a trailing P/E of 21.7 and an FCF yield of 3.99%; and the volatility profile (Beta 1.33, 52-week range of $228.61 – $1145) means position sizing and timing carry outsized importance. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$700.47	$160.21B	21.7	18.2	14.6	32.25	0%	1.33	$228.61 - $1145	58.3%

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$0.0M	$0.0M	$0.0M	N/A	$0.0M	$1046.0M	$3501.0M
FY 2024	$9097.0M	$1890.0M	$1469.0M	N/A	$818.0M	$1238.0M	$5200.0M
FY 2023	$6551.0M	$452.0M	$335.0M	N/A	$623.2M	N/A	$20619.1M

Per the market data, operating margin is 21.1%, net margin is 16.4%, and gross margin is 0%, with ROIC at 58.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 19.26, the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 7.63. The FY 2025 income statement figures are reported as $0.0M, which the source does not explain; the FY 2024 and FY 2023 periods show the reported trend in debt moving from $20619.1M to $5200.0M to $3501.0M across the periods shown.

Open Questions

Why are FY 2025 revenue, net income, operating income, and FCF reported as $0.0M when the balance-sheet items are populated?
What drove the change in debt from $20619.1M (FY 2023) to $3501.0M (FY 2025), and is the current debt level sustainable at a Debt/Equity of 7.63?
What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue mix, given that the business description is not in the source data?
What specific SEC Form 4, 13F, and Congressional transactions underlie the insider and whale pillar scores?
What explains the $228.61 to $1145 52-week range, and what catalysts are behind that volatility?

STX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) (STX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to STX Debate Forum (3) ↓

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

STX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $644.58?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON STX 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $756.51 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is STX (C+ • RQD 66/100) a Buy at $700.47?

Welcome to the STX (Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 66/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Electronic Components. Bulls point to capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $574.39 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $700.47

Pump the brakes on STX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on STX, but look at what you are paying: 21.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (Ireland) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $812.55 (+16.0%)

Spot @ $700.47

STX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on STX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Electronic Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $700.47 (52-wk range $228.61 - $1145.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.