Stock Ratings / Industrials / STRL / options

KTOS (40) J (70) FLR (29) LOAR (60) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Sterling Infrastructure Inc. (STRL) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$345.91 -7.43% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $340.63

Sterling Infrastructure Inc. (STRL) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $11.43B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on STRL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is STRL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Sterling Infrastructure Inc. (NASDAQ: STRL) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $345.91 (-7.43% 1D, market cap $11.43B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, STRL ranks #121 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does STRL compare to KTOS and J in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), STRL carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 39.4x, gross margin of 23.0%, and ROIC of 32.3%. By comparison, KTOS (Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.4%, cap $8.18B) and J (Jacobs Solutions Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 61.8x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $17.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRL leads on earnings multiple (39.4x) while STRL leads on capital efficiency (32.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STRL?

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Per STRL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000874238), Sterling Infrastructure Inc. generated $2.49B in revenue (+17.7% YoY), $290.2M in net income, and $362.7M in free cash flow against $2.63B in total assets and $275.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $340.62 (-1.53%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 14.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STRL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY STRL SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 14.6% FCF Margin ($362.7M FCF) & 23% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.41 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$498.61-17.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$412.25-10.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$367.50-5.9% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$345.91+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the STRL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, STRL faces multiple-compression risk if 39.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 39x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($467.22) or 200D SMA ($552.23) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($350.58) toward Bear Floor ($273.45).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STRL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “STRL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (STRL)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for STRL.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating STRL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on STRL
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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STRL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.67%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $388.9H $388.9L $345.9C $345.9VOL 1.83M

RES: $557.1SUP: $334.3SMA50: $467.2SMA200: $552.2

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STRL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 STRL Butterfly Map → + Track STRL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

30.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STRL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STRL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STRL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STRL)

Industrials Rank #121 of 485 ⚔️ KTOS vs STRL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (STRL vs. KTOS, J, FLR, LOAR)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sterling Infrastructure Inc. (STRL) ranks #121 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #93 by equity capitalization ($11.43B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STRL leads on earnings valuation at 39.4x trailing P/E, while STRL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 32.3% ROIC and 23.0% gross margin. J currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with STRL at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
STRL ACTIVE Sterling Infrastructure Inc.	C-	61/100	39.4x	23.0%	32.3%	-7.43%	$11.43B	Benchmark Subject
KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc.	D-	40/100	—	22.9%	1.4%	-5.73%	$8.18B	/ktos-vs-strl →
J Jacobs Solutions Inc.	B-	70/100	61.8x	24.8%	15.6%	+1.22%	$17.88B	/j-vs-strl →
FLR Fluor Corporation	E	29/100	—	-0.8%	-13.7%	-1.47%	$6.36B	/flr-vs-strl →
LOAR Loar Holdings Inc.	C-	60/100	—	52.7%	4.7%	-4.17%	$6.07B	/loar-vs-strl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000874238

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sterling Infrastructure Inc. (STRL) reported GAAP revenue of $2.49B (+17.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.12B , and +26.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $290.2M, operating cash flow of $440.0M, and free cash flow of $362.7M (-12.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, STRL closed FY2025 with $2.63B in total assets against $275.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.41, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.49B	$290.2M	$440.0M	$362.7M	$2.63B	$275.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.12B	$257.5M	$497.1M	$416.1M	$2.02B	$289.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.97B	$138.7M	$478.6M	$389.8M	$6.29B	$1.47B

3. STRL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STRL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does STRL compare to KTOS and J in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STRL?

Where is STRL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STRL last traded at $345.91 (-7.43% on volume of 969,167 shares), positioning the stock -25.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($467.22) and -37.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($552.23). Across its 52-week range of $281.58 to $1,005.68, STRL sits at the 8.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($302.67 to $389.15).

STRL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is STRL's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for STRL.

Direct Sub-Reports: STRL RQD Cockpit STRL 12M Forecast STRL Earnings & Move STRL Dividends & DRIP STRL Insiders & 13F STRL Whale Options STRL Profit Sankey STRL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

STRL — Sterling Infrastructure Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:15:54Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating for STRL is 61 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, and a verdict label of "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral," per the Roarable RQD rating. Across its five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 16 of 20, citing ROIC of 32.3% and an FCF yield of 3.17%. Whale/13F Flow scores 6 of 20, described as institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider Conviction scores 15 of 20, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 9 of 20, citing a beta of 1.03 and sector sensitivity. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 15 of 20, citing an Altman Z of 6.41, a Piotroski F of 8 of 9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.25.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the strongest contributors are the cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars, while the weakest is institutional flow, which carries the lowest score. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: the P/E (TTM) is 39.4 and the EV/EBITDA is 24, so the high ROIC is being priced at a rich multiple with a relatively thin FCF yield. The macro pillar is the most cautionary in a risk-off environment given the stated sector sensitivity. The verdict's "Cautious Neutral" framing reflects that the strengths are fundamental while the flow and macro signals are mixed.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
373.66	$11.43B	39.4	33.1	24	9.49	0%	1.03	$281.58 - $1005.68	32.3%

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$2490.0M	$405.9M	$290.2M	N/A	$362.7M	$390.7M	$275.9M
FY 2024	$2115.8M	$264.6M	$257.5M	N/A	$416.1M	$664.2M	$289.9M
FY 2023	$1972.2M	$205.8M	$138.7M	N/A	$389.8M	N/A	$1471.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1972.2M in FY 2023 to $2490.0M in FY 2025, with operating income rising from $205.8M to $405.9M over the same span. Per the market data, the gross margin is 23%, the operating margin is 16.3%, and the net margin is 11.7%, with ROIC at 32.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z is 6.41 and the Piotroski F is 8 of 9, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.25. Reported debt fell from $1471.0M in FY 2023 to $275.9M in FY 2025, while cash was $390.7M at FY 2025 versus $664.2M at FY 2024.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news feed contains six items, all related to STRL. Headlines range from a stock-decline narrative ("10 Red Days In A Row: Sterling Infrastructure Stock Is Down 27%") to a neutral lagging-sector question and a trend-attention piece. One item is tagged as a catalyst (light GREEN), while the others are tagged as market wire (light YELLOW). The "Can Sterling Infrastructure Stock Double From Here?" headline is a speculative framing and is not supported by the financial data in the sources. The most prominent risk watch item is the sustained price decline described in the news feed, which is consistent with the day's -3.91% move per the market data. The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What specific products, services, and customers drive the revenue reported for FY 2025?
What explains the drop in cash from $664.2M in FY 2024 to $390.7M in FY 2025 alongside reduced debt?
Which insider and institutional transactions make up the cluster flow behind the Insider Conviction and Whale/13F pillar scores?
What is the analyst consensus and price-target range, given that analyst data is unavailable?
What is the source of the 52-week low of $281.58 and high of $1005.68, and how do they relate to current valuation?

STRL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sterling Infrastructure Inc. (STRL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to STRL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 5h ago

Are Construction Stocks Lagging Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) This Year?

Yahoo Finance report covering Sterling Infrastructure Inc. (STRL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Trefis • 8h ago

10 Red Days In A Row: Sterling Infrastructure Stock Is Down 27%

Trefis report covering Sterling Infrastructure Inc. (STRL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 11h ago

Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) Stock Declines While Market Improves: Some Information for Investors

Yahoo Finance report covering Sterling Infrastructure Inc. (STRL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Trefis • 14h ago

Can Sterling Infrastructure Stock Double From Here?

Trefis report covering Sterling Infrastructure Inc. (STRL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 17h ago

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It

Yahoo Finance report covering Sterling Infrastructure Inc. (STRL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) Stock Dips While Market Gains: Key Facts

Yahoo Finance report covering Sterling Infrastructure Inc. (STRL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) May Find a Bottom Soon, Here's Why You Should Buy the Stock Now

Yahoo Finance report covering Sterling Infrastructure Inc. (STRL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

If You Invested $1000 in Sterling Infrastructure a Decade Ago, This is How Much It'd Be Worth Now

Yahoo Finance report covering Sterling Infrastructure Inc. (STRL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

STRL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $345.91?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON STRL 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $403.55 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is STRL (C- • RQD 61/100) a Buy at $373.66?

Welcome to the STRL (Sterling Infrastructure Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 61/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Military/Government/Technical. Bulls point to capital efficiency (32.3% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (39.4x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $291.45 (-22.0%)

Spot @ $373.66

Pump the brakes on STRL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on STRL, but look at what you are paying: 39.4x trailing P/E with 23.0% gross margins. Unless Sterling Infrastructure Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $467.08 (+25.0%)

Spot @ $373.66

STRL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on STRL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Military/Government/Technical and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $373.66 (52-wk range $281.58 - $1005.68), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.