Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$2.30 0.00% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.30

Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $30.8M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (NYSE: STG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $2.30 (0.00% 1D, market cap $30.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, STG ranks #29 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does STG compare to YQ and YOUL in the Real Estate sector?
β–Ό

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), STG carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 86.9%, and ROIC of 80.4%. By comparison, YQ (17 Education & Technology Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.2M) and YOUL (Youlife Group Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $34.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FEDU leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while STG leads on capital efficiency (80.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STG?
β–Ό

Per STG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001723935), Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) generated $288.8M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $52.3M in net income, and $21.0M in free cash flow against $292.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.30 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 7.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510046
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk C-
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (12)Macro (12)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.2% Base Target
$7 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE STG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY STG SCORES 46/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.79 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 2% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$2.62-15.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$2.22+8.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$2.40-4.2% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$2.30-6.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (54) β†’ D (46)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a STG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While STG currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.74) and Max Pain ($2.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.33.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSTG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring STG)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of STG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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STG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.34%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $2.44H $2.44L $2.30C $2.30VOL 902
RES: $2.24SUP: $2.08SMA50: $2.74SMA200: $3.56
$6.62$5.42$4.21$3.01$1.81RES $2.24SUP $2.08$2.302026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STG)

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (STG vs. YQ, YOUL, FEDU, AACG)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) ranks #29 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #35 by equity capitalization ($30.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FEDU leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while STG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 80.4% ROIC and 86.9% gross margin. FEDU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with STG at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
STG ACTIVE
Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A)
D 46/100 β€” 86.9% 80.4% 0.00% $30.8M Benchmark Subject
YQ
17 Education & Technology Group Inc.
D- 42/100 β€” 47.7% -35.0% +5.20% $29.2M /yq-vs-stg β†’
YOUL
Youlife Group Inc.
D 44/100 5.9x 10.4% 0.9% -7.07% $34.4M /youl-vs-stg β†’
FEDU
Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. each ADS representing 10
D+ 56/100 5.2x 25.8% β€” +5.73% $21.7M /fedu-vs-stg β†’
AACG
ATA Creativity Global
E 30/100 β€” 48.6% -35.0% -7.62% $44.5M /aacg-vs-stg β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001723935

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) reported GAAP revenue of $288.8M (+5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $272.7M , and -5.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $52.3M, operating cash flow of $21.0M, and free cash flow of $21.0M (-21.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, STG closed FY2025 with $292.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.79, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $288.8M $52.3M $21.0M $21.0M $292.8M $0
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $272.7M $46.9M $26.8M $26.8M $290.6M $4.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $304.2M $90.3M $19.8M $19.8M β€” β€”

3. STG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (NYSE: STG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $2.30 (0.00% 1D, market cap $30.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, STG ranks #29 in composite RQD confidence.

How does STG compare to YQ and YOUL in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), STG carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 86.9%, and ROIC of 80.4%. By comparison, YQ (17 Education & Technology Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.2M) and YOUL (Youlife Group Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $34.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FEDU leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while STG leads on capital efficiency (80.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STG?

Per STG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001723935), Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) generated $288.8M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $52.3M in net income, and $21.0M in free cash flow against $292.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is STG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STG last traded at $2.30 (0.00% on volume of 102 shares), positioning the stock -16.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.74) and -35.39% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.56). Across its 52-week range of $2.18 to $6.98, STG sits at the 2.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.6% ($2.13 to $2.47).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 46/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

STG β€” Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:48:23Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

STG scores 46 out of 100 with a letter grade of D and a verdict of "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning." Across the five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 80.4%, but the FCF yield is 0%. A high return on invested capital paired with no free-cash-flow yield at the current price means the earnings-to-cash conversion is not reflected in the valuation the market is currently applying.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning, and it is the weakest pillar. For an investor, this indicates little supportive institutional positioning in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow at a moderate level, but the holders section of the source data contains no itemized trades to verify this.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is moderate. The stock is assessed as roughly market-correlated, without a clear macro tailwind in the source.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 0.79, Piotroski F is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The Piotroski reading is strong while the Altman reading is in a distress-range value, which creates a split forensic picture.

Taken together, the pillars indicate a company with strong reported profitability and a clean Piotroski profile, offset by weak institutional support, zero FCF yield, and a low Altman Z-Score. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on whether reported earnings convert to durable cash; the downside case rests on the absence of institutional sponsorship and the distress-range Altman reading. The rating is a quantitative summary, not a recommendation.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Real Estate sector and the Other Consumer Services industry. The profile reports a market capitalization of $0.0B, which conflicts with the $32.7M market cap in the market data section.

Gross margin is 86.9%, operating margin is 18.6%, and net margin is 18.1%. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 80.4%, the Altman Z-Score is 0.79, and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the RQD rating, and reported debt declined from $4.8M in FY 2024 to β€” in FY 2025. Revenue fell in each of the two most recent periods compared with the prior period shown, while net income declined from $90.3M in FY 2023 to $52.3M in FY 2025.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case: Reported ROIC of 80.4% and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 point to strong profitability and balance-sheet quality. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC 80.4%, FCF yield β€”) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $2.18 – $6.98 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: A 0% FCF yield, a 3/20 whale-flow pillar, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.79 signal weak cash conversion and no institutional support. Investors must weigh current valuation against 18.6% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Other Consumer Services (Real Estate), STG carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 86.9%.

  • Key Question #1: Why does the profile report a $0.0B market cap while the market data reports $32.7M, and which figure is current?
  • Key Question #2: What explains the gap between an 80.4% ROIC and a 0% FCF yield, and does reported FY 2025 FCF of $21.0M reconcile with the market capitalization?
  • Key Question #3: What are the drivers of the decline in revenue and net income across the reported periods?

STG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to STG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟑 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance β€’ 158d ago
Sunlands Announces Material Asset Disposal for Cash

BEIJING, May 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Sunlands Technology Group (NYSE: STG) (β€œSunlands” or the β€œCompany”), a leader in China’s adult online education market, today announced that Wuhan Zhizhen Youxuan Online Educatio

Read Full Source β†—
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

STG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $2.30?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON STG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on STG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.64 (+14.8%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Reported ROIC of 80.4% and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 point to strong profitability and balance-sheet quality.

Reported ROIC of 80.4% and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 point to strong profitability and balance-sheet quality.. When you look under the hood at STG, Fundamental Cash Engine is 8/20 with 86.9% gross margins and 80.4% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $6.98. My 12M target is $2.64.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $2.30 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Real Estate.

RI RiskArb_Desk Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.93 (-16.1%)
Spot @ $2.30

A 0% FCF yield, a 3/20 whale-flow pillar, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.79 signal weak cash conversion and no institutional support.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on STG: A 0% FCF yield, a 3/20 whale-flow pillar, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.79 signal weak cash conversion and no institutional support.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Other Consumer Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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