Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$2.30 -5.74% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.27

Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $32.7M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is STG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (NYSE: STG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $2.30 (-5.74% 1D, market cap $32.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, STG ranks #28 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does STG compare to YOUL and YQ in the Real Estate sector?
β–Ό

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), STG carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 86.9%, and ROIC of 80.4%. By comparison, YOUL (Youlife Group Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $36.3M) and YQ (17 Education & Technology Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FEDU leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while STG leads on capital efficiency (80.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STG?
β–Ό

Per STG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001723935), Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) generated $288.8M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $52.3M in net income, and $21.0M in free cash flow against $292.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.27 (-1.22%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 7.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510046
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk C-
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (12)Macro (12)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.2% Base Target
$7 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE STG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY STG SCORES 46/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.79 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 2% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 42.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$2.71-8.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$2.49-6.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$2.32-0.9% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$2.30-6.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (54) β†’ D (46)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a STG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While STG currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.75) and Max Pain ($2.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.33.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSTG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
42.830 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.79>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $2$2.30H: $7
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on STG

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

80.4% ROIC with 86.9% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 0.79 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (43)

14/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like STG
  • βœ“Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring STG)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of STG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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STG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.34%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-02O $2.44H $2.44L $2.30C $2.30VOL 1.2K
RES: $2.26SUP: $2.09SMA50: $2.75SMA200: $3.58
$6.62$5.42$4.21$3.01$1.81RES $2.26SUP $2.09$2.302026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STG)

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (STG vs. YOUL, YQ, AACG, FEDU)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) ranks #28 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #35 by equity capitalization ($32.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FEDU leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while STG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 80.4% ROIC and 86.9% gross margin. FEDU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with STG at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
STG ACTIVE
Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A)
D 46/100 β€” 86.9% 80.4% -5.74% $32.7M Benchmark Subject
YOUL
Youlife Group Inc.
D 45/100 5.9x 10.4% 0.9% -5.31% $36.3M /youl-vs-stg β†’
YQ
17 Education & Technology Group Inc.
D- 42/100 β€” 47.7% -35.0% +0.37% $29.1M /yq-vs-stg β†’
AACG
ATA Creativity Global
E 30/100 β€” 48.6% -35.0% -0.08% $44.5M /aacg-vs-stg β†’
FEDU
Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. each ADS representing 10
C 64/100 5.2x 25.8% β€” -6.80% $23.3M /fedu-vs-stg β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001723935

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) reported GAAP revenue of $288.8M (+5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $272.7M , and -5.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $52.3M, operating cash flow of $21.0M, and free cash flow of $21.0M (-21.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, STG closed FY2025 with $292.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.79, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $288.8M $52.3M $21.0M $21.0M $292.8M $0
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $272.7M $46.9M $26.8M $26.8M $290.6M $4.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $304.2M $90.3M $19.8M $19.8M β€” β€”

3. STG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (NYSE: STG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $2.30 (-5.74% 1D, market cap $32.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, STG ranks #28 in composite RQD confidence.

How does STG compare to YOUL and YQ in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), STG carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 86.9%, and ROIC of 80.4%. By comparison, YOUL (Youlife Group Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $36.3M) and YQ (17 Education & Technology Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FEDU leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while STG leads on capital efficiency (80.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STG?

Per STG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001723935), Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) generated $288.8M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $52.3M in net income, and $21.0M in free cash flow against $292.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is STG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STG last traded at $2.30 (-5.74% on volume of 902 shares), positioning the stock -16.36% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.75) and -35.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.58). Across its 52-week range of $2.18 to $6.98, STG sits at the 2.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.9% ($2.14 to $2.46).

STG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell STG stock right now?

Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell β€” SELL) with 46/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (80% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is STG's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

STG's 12-month base price target is $2.18 (range $1.7 to $7.33), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 46/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

STG β€” Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:48:23Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, STG scores 46 out of 100 with a letter grade of D and a verdict of "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning." Across the five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 80.4%, but the FCF yield is 0%. A high return on invested capital paired with no free-cash-flow yield at the current price means the earnings-to-cash conversion is not reflected in the valuation the market is currently applying.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning, and it is the weakest pillar. For an investor, this indicates little supportive institutional positioning in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow at a moderate level, but the holders section of the source data contains no itemized trades to verify this.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is moderate. The stock is assessed as roughly market-correlated, without a clear macro tailwind in the source.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 0.79, Piotroski F is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The Piotroski reading is strong while the Altman reading is in a distress-range value, which creates a split forensic picture.

Taken together, the pillars indicate a company with strong reported profitability and a clean Piotroski profile, offset by weak institutional support, zero FCF yield, and a low Altman Z-Score. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on whether reported earnings convert to durable cash; the downside case rests on the absence of institutional sponsorship and the distress-range Altman reading. The rating is a quantitative summary, not a recommendation.

Business

Per the profile section, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Real Estate sector and the Other Consumer Services industry. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. The profile reports a market capitalization of $0.0B, which conflicts with the $32.7M market cap in the market data section.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$288.8M$53.8M$52.3MN/A$21.0M$82.3M$0.0M
FY 2024$272.7M$40.8M$46.9MN/A$26.8M$69.5M$4.8M
FY 2023$304.2M$81.0M$90.3MN/A$19.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, gross margin is 86.9%, operating margin is 18.6%, and net margin is 18.1%. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 80.4%, the Altman Z-Score is 0.79, and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the RQD rating, and reported debt declined from $4.8M in FY 2024 to $0.0M in FY 2025. Revenue fell in each of the two most recent periods compared with the prior period shown, while net income declined from $90.3M in FY 2023 to $52.3M in FY 2025.

Open Questions

  • Why does the profile report a $0.0B market cap while the market data reports $32.7M, and which figure is current?
  • What explains the gap between an 80.4% ROIC and a 0% FCF yield, and does reported FY 2025 FCF of $21.0M reconcile with the market capitalization?
  • What are the drivers of the decline in revenue and net income across the reported periods?
  • What is the composition of the 13F, Form 4, and Congressional trade activity underlying the insider and whale pillar scores?
  • Why are EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA unavailable, and what is the company's share count?

STG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to STG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟑 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance β€’ 157d ago
Sunlands Announces Material Asset Disposal for Cash

BEIJING, May 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Sunlands Technology Group (NYSE: STG) (β€œSunlands” or the β€œCompany”), a leader in China’s adult online education market, today announced that Wuhan Zhizhen Youxuan Online Educatio

Read Full Source β†—
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

STG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $2.30?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON STG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on STG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $2.64 (+8.2%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is STG (D β€’ RQD 46/100) a Buy at $2.44?

Welcome to the STG (Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 46/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Other Consumer Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (80.4% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.88 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $2.44

Pump the brakes on STG β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on STG, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 86.9% gross margins. Unless Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.95 (+20.9%)
Spot @ $2.44

STG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on STG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Other Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.44 (52-wk range $2.18 - $6.98), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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