StepStone Group Inc. (STEP) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$43.22 -2.81% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.92

StepStone Group Inc. (STEP) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.22B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is STEP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, StepStone Group Inc. (NASDAQ: STEP) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $43.22 (-2.81% 1D, market cap $5.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, STEP ranks #749 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does STEP compare to MAAS and HLNE in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), STEP carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MAAS (Maase Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.42B) and HLNE (Hamilton Lane Incorporated) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 24.7%, cap $4.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MC leads on earnings multiple (18.1x) while MC leads on capital efficiency (42.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STEP?
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Per STEP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001796022), StepStone Group Inc. generated $1.99B in revenue (+69.7% YoY), -$743.3M in net income, and $63.9M in free cash flow against $5.24B in total assets and $2.12B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.92 (-0.70%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 3.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D-
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (3)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$82 Bull$41 Base$32 Bear
📬 FREE STEP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STEP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY STEP SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.2% FCF Margin ($63.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (47.3) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$41.33+2.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$42.42+1.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$42.98+0.6% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$43.22-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a STEP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While STEP currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($45.75) and Max Pain ($45.38) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $81.68.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STEP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “STEP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

STEP Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (STEP)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on STEP. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring STEP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of STEP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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STEP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.96%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $44.47H $44.47L $43.22C $43.22VOL 621.8K
RES: $50.01SUP: $40.29SMA50: $45.75SMA200: $48.97
$61.21$55.15$49.09$43.03$36.97RES $50.01SUP $40.29$43.222026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STEP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +69.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STEP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STEP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STEP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STEP)

Financials Rank #749 of 1096 ⚔️ MAAS vs STEP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (STEP vs. MAAS, HLNE, MC, PJT)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, StepStone Group Inc. (STEP) ranks #749 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #263 by equity capitalization ($5.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MC leads on earnings valuation at 18.1x trailing P/E, while MC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 42.8% ROIC and — gross margin. HLNE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with STEP at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
STEP ACTIVE
StepStone Group Inc.
D 46/100 — — -35.0% -2.81% $5.22B Benchmark Subject
MAAS
Maase Inc. (Class A)
D 49/100 — — — +0.16% $5.42B /maas-vs-step →
HLNE
Hamilton Lane Incorporated
C+ 66/100 18.9x — 24.7% -2.04% $4.62B /hlne-vs-step →
MC
Moelis & Company
C 64/100 18.1x — 42.8% -2.32% $4.59B /mc-vs-step →
PJT
PJT Partners Inc.
C 65/100 34.6x — 34.8% -1.49% $6.14B /pjt-vs-step →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001796022

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), StepStone Group Inc. (STEP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.99B (+69.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.17B , and +180.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$743.3M, operating cash flow of $66.5M, and free cash flow of $63.9M (+6.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, STEP closed FY2025 with $5.24B in total assets against $2.12B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $1.99B -$743.3M $66.5M $63.9M $5.24B $2.12B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $1.17B -$172.8M $64.9M $59.8M $4.35B $1.17B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $711.6M $167.8M $161.5M $129.5M $2.95B $690.7M

3. STEP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STEP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, StepStone Group Inc. (NASDAQ: STEP) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $43.22 (-2.81% 1D, market cap $5.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, STEP ranks #749 in composite RQD confidence.

How does STEP compare to MAAS and HLNE in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), STEP carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MAAS (Maase Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.42B) and HLNE (Hamilton Lane Incorporated) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 24.7%, cap $4.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MC leads on earnings multiple (18.1x) while MC leads on capital efficiency (42.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STEP?

Per STEP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001796022), StepStone Group Inc. generated $1.99B in revenue (+69.7% YoY), -$743.3M in net income, and $63.9M in free cash flow against $5.24B in total assets and $2.12B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is STEP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STEP last traded at $43.22 (-2.81% on volume of 621,773 shares), positioning the stock -5.53% below its 50-day simple moving average ($45.75) and -11.74% below its 200-day simple moving average ($48.97). Across its 52-week range of $38.85 to $77.79, STEP sits at the 11.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($38.98 to $47.46).

STEP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are STEP insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies STEP leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

STEP — StepStone Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:20:22Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, STEP carries an RQD Score of 47 with a letter grade of D, labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are scored as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of 1.19%. For a prospective investor, negative ROIC means the business is currently not generating returns on invested capital, and a low FCF yield means the cash generated is small relative to the equity price. Any upside case must rest on a reversal in returns that the source data does not yet show.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 6 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar measures institutional accumulation and options positioning, and it is the weakest signal in the rating. The lowest-scoring pillar points to limited institutional conviction, which removes a common support for a rebound.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderate, and the underlying trade detail is not provided in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 4 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 0.92 and sector sensitivity. This is the lowest pillar score, indicating that the stock's current profile fits the prevailing macro regime poorly according to the rating's framework.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, indicating the balance sheet is comparatively sound even though operating results are weak.

Taken together, the pillar pattern suggests a balance sheet that is not the primary concern, while operating returns, institutional flow, and macro fit are. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating implies that the risk is concentrated in earnings power and sentiment rather than solvency, and that a favorable outcome would require evidence of returns improving from their current negative levels.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1993.6M$-877.1M$-743.3MN/A$63.9MN/A$2124.9M
FY 2024$1174.8M$-203.9M$-172.8MN/A$59.8MN/A$1172.8M
FY 2023$711.6M$198.0M$167.8MN/A$129.5MN/A$690.7M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $711.6M in FY 2023 to $1993.6M in FY 2025 while operating income moved from $198.0M to $-877.1M. Per the market data, the operating margin is -45.5% and the net margin is -37.3%, with ROIC at -35%. Per the forensic balance sheet metrics in the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Cash balances are reported as N/A in every period, so liquidity cannot be assessed from the source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items are tagged to STEP, each rated YELLOW under the "MARKET WIRE" impact label: a Yahoo! Finance Canada market report, a Seeking Alpha piece titled "StepStone Group: Attractive Yield At A Reasonable Price," a GuruFocus item noting the stock was down 3.3%, a Globe and Mail piece grouping STEP with several peers in a share decline, a Benzinga item for a Q1 2027 earnings call transcript, and a MarketBeat item reporting shares down 6.5%. The headlines point to recent price weakness across the group and a Q1 2027 earnings event, but no catalyst details, earnings figures, or causal explanations are provided in the source data. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is classified as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific drivers of the negative operating income and ROIC of -35% in FY 2025, and what is the trajectory of operating margin?
  • What is the company's cash and liquidity position, given that cash is reported as N/A in every period?
  • What are the reported EPS figures for the periods shown, and how do they reconcile with the net losses?
  • What is the trailing P/E and EV/EBITDA, given that both are reported as not available?
  • What do the Q1 2027 earnings results and call commentary show, and do they change the operating picture?

STEP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for StepStone Group Inc. (STEP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to STEP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

STEP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $43.22?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON STEP 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on STEP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $48.03 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is STEP (D • RQD 47/100) a Buy at $44.47?

Welcome to the STEP (StepStone Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 47/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Investment Managers. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $34.24 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $44.47

Pump the brakes on STEP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on STEP, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless StepStone Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $53.81 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $44.47

STEP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on STEP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Managers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $44.47 (52-wk range $38.85 - $77.79), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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