Stock Ratings / Financials / SPG / dividends

DLR (55) PSA (72) AMT (71) O (59) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$217.75 +0.94% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $218.64

Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $69.80B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SPG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SPG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Simon Property Group Inc. (NYSE: SPG) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $217.75 (+0.94% 1D, market cap $69.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, SPG ranks #42 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SPG compare to DLR and PSA in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), SPG carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.5%. By comparison, DLR (Digital Realty Trust Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 51.5x, ROIC 1.7%, cap $67.68B) and PSA (Public Storage) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 33.2x, ROIC 12.7%, cap $59.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMT leads on earnings multiple (22.8x) while AMT leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPG?

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Per SPG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001063761), Simon Property Group Inc. generated $6.36B in revenue (+6.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $3.85B in free cash flow against $40.61B in total assets and $15.26B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $218.64 (+0.41%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 60.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SPG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SPG SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 60.5% FCF Margin ($3.85B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.6) create a -7 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$200.65+3.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$206.99+2.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$212.28+2.6% Next Q

Current

Grade B$217.75+7.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SPG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, SPG faces multiple-compression risk if 28.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($207.07) or 200D SMA ($206.22) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($233.43) toward Bear Floor ($178.55).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SPG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SPG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 74%NO 26%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in SPG & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on SPG and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SPG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.06%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $211.2H $217.8L $211.2C $217.8VOL 1.09M

RES: $218.2SUP: $192.2SMA50: $207.1SMA200: $206.2

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SPG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SPG Butterfly Map → + Track SPG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

21.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SPG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SPG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPG)

Financials Rank #42 of 1096 ⚔️ DLR vs SPG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (SPG vs. DLR, PSA, AMT, O)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) ranks #42 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #51 by equity capitalization ($69.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMT leads on earnings valuation at 22.8x trailing P/E, while AMT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.7% ROIC and — gross margin. SPG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SPG ACTIVE Simon Property Group Inc.	B	74/100	28.2x	—	13.5%	+0.94%	$69.80B	Benchmark Subject
DLR Digital Realty Trust Inc.	D+	55/100	51.5x	—	1.7%	-1.21%	$67.68B	/dlr-vs-spg →
PSA Public Storage	B	72/100	33.2x	—	12.7%	+2.43%	$59.24B	/psa-vs-spg →
AMT American Tower Corporation	B-	71/100	22.8x	—	15.7%	+1.02%	$86.20B	/amt-vs-spg →
O Realty Income Corporation	C-	59/100	51.1x	—	1.9%	-0.47%	$54.12B	/o-vs-spg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001063761

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) reported GAAP revenue of $6.36B (+6.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.96B , and +12.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $4.14B, and free cash flow of $3.85B (+8.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SPG closed FY2025 with $40.61B in total assets against $15.26B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$6.36B	$0	$4.14B	$3.85B	$40.61B	$15.26B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$5.96B	$0	$3.81B	$3.55B	$32.41B	$12.96B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$5.66B	$0	$3.93B	$3.68B	$38.39B	$8.98B

3. SPG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SPG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SPG compare to DLR and PSA in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPG?

Where is SPG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SPG last traded at $217.75 (+0.94% on volume of 1,685,515 shares), positioning the stock +5.16% above its 50-day simple moving average ($207.07) and +5.59% above its 200-day simple moving average ($206.22). Across its 52-week range of $173.80 to $238.50, SPG sits at the 67.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.6% ($209.91 to $225.59).

SPG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does SPG pay a dividend and is it safe?

Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: SPG RQD Cockpit SPG 12M Forecast SPG Earnings & Move SPG Dividends & DRIP SPG Insiders & 13F SPG Whale Options SPG Profit Sankey SPG News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 74/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SPG — Simon Property Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:32Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SPG scores 74 out of 100, a B grade, labeled "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 13.5% and an FCF yield of 5.52%. For an investor, this indicates the business generates meaningful returns on invested capital and free cash relative to its market value. The score is strong but not maximal, suggesting the cash generation is solid yet the valuation absorbs much of it.
Whale 13F Flow: 15 / 20. The rating cites institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data does not itemize specific 13F holdings, so the investor should treat this as a supportive but unquantified signal.
Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. The rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The news wire confirms recent director purchases (see Recent Catalysts), which is consistent with this score, though the full transaction set is not provided.
Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the rating, beta is 1.04 with sector sensitivity noted. This is the lowest pillar. A beta near 1.0 means the stock has tended to move roughly in line with the broader market, so it offers limited defensive cushion if market conditions weaken, and its rate and sector sensitivity is a key consideration.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 7 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These readings point to a financially sound balance sheet with moderate leverage and healthy financial strength indicators.

Investor implications: Upside drivers include the cash-generation profile and institutional/insider interest. The principal valuation tradeoff is that the market data shows a P/E (TTM) of 28.2 and EV/EBITDA of 24.3, and the stock trades near the upper end of its 52-week range. A prospective investor should weigh the quality signals against a premium valuation and a dividend yield listed as 0%, which means income-oriented return is not reflected in the source data. This is educational analysis, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
215.72	$69.8B	28.2	26.2	24.3	7.66	0%	1.04	$173.8 - $238.5	13.5%

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$6364.5M	$3175.4M	$0.0M	N/A	$3850.1M	$823.1M	$15255.5M
FY 2024	$5963.8M	$3092.8M	$0.0M	N/A	$3546.3M	$1400.3M	$12962.8M
FY 2023	$5658.8M	$2807.0M	$0.0M	N/A	$3676.1M	N/A	$8982.8M

Reported revenue rose from $5658.8M (FY 2023) to $6364.5M (FY 2025), and operating income rose from $2807.0M to $3175.4M over the same span. Market data lists an operating margin of 49.9% and a net margin of 38.9%, with a gross margin of 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 13.5%. The source data reports Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and Piotroski F-Score of 7 of 9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. Debt rose from $8982.8M to $15255.5M across the three periods, while cash declined from $1400.3M (FY 2024) to $823.1M (FY 2025). Net income is reported as $0.0M in every period, so the source data does not allow a net-earnings trend assessment.

Open Questions

What drives the debt increase from $8982.8M to $15255.5M, and how is it being deployed relative to rising cash flow?
Why is net income reported as $0.0M in every period, and what is the actual earnings trajectory?
What are the terms and size of the referenced dividend raise, given the 0% listed dividend yield?
What analyst consensus and price targets exist for SPG?
Which institutional holders and insider transactions make up the "accumulation" cited in the RQD rating?

SPG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SPG Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 5h ago

Simon Property Group (SPG) Stock Still Looks Discounted After Its 124% Run

Yahoo Finance report covering Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 8h ago

How Dividend Raise At Simon Property Group Stock Has Changed Its Investment Story

Yahoo Finance report covering Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 11h ago

American Tower, Simon Property among real estate stocks with A+ profitability grades (VNQ:NYSEARCA)

Seeking Alpha report covering Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 14h ago

Simon Property Group director Stefan Selig buys $42,178 in shares

Investing.com report covering Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 17h ago

Simon Property Group director Martin Cicco acquires $3,041 in stock

Investing.com report covering Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

Jim Cramer Makes His Position Clear on Simon Property Group (SPG)

Yahoo Finance report covering Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

Simon Property (SPG) Earns a 45% Higher Net Margin Compared to Operating Margin. Where Does the Extra Come From?

Yahoo Finance report covering Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago

Simon Property Group director Glasscock adds $74,420 in common stock

Investing.com report covering Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SPG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $217.75?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SPG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $254.55 (+18.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SPG (B • RQD 74/100) a Buy at $215.72?

Welcome to the SPG (Simon Property Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 74/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Real Estate Investment Trusts. Bulls point to capital efficiency (13.5% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $168.26 (-22.0%)

Spot @ $215.72

Pump the brakes on SPG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SPG, but look at what you are paying: 28.2x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Simon Property Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $248.08 (+15.0%)

Spot @ $215.72

SPG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SPG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Real Estate Investment Trusts and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $215.72 (52-wk range $173.80 - $238.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.