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REYN (70) GPK (54) WMS (71) AVY (74) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Sonoco Products Company (SON) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$50.21 +0.50% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.16

Sonoco Products Company (SON) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $4.94B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SON Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Sonoco Products Company (NYSE: SON) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $50.21 (+0.50% 1D, market cap $4.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SON ranks #500 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SON compare to REYN and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), SON carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.9x, gross margin of 20.9%, and ROIC of 11.4%. By comparison, REYN (Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 16.5x, ROIC 13.4%, cap $4.98B) and GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Company) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $2.65B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while WMS leads on capital efficiency (22.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SON?
β–Ό

Per SON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000091767), Sonoco Products Company generated $7.52B in revenue (+41.7% YoY), $1.00B in net income, and $345.8M in free cash flow against $11.16B in total assets and $3.79B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.16 (-0.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) β€’ 4.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 50.1% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510052
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (9)SEC (12)Macro (8)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$64 Bull$49 Base$38 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SON RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SON)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SON SCORES 52/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.80 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 13.5% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$49.12+3.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$50.96-4.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$48.75+3% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$50.21-1.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (44) β†’ D+ (52)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SON Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While SON currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($50.15) and Max Pain ($52.72) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $63.70.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SONβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSON Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

SON Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (SON)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on SON. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SON)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of SON's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SON // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.19%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $49.89H $50.21L $49.89C $50.21VOL 1.55M
RES: $62.44SUP: $46.73SMA50: $50.15SMA200: $52.42
$61.70$57.42$53.14$48.86$44.58RES $62.44SUP $46.73$50.212026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SON Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ SON Butterfly Map β†’ + Track SON β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-14.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +41.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SON today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SON. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SON today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SON)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #500 of 1011 βš”οΈ REYN vs SON Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SON vs. REYN, GPK, WMS, AVY)

Industry: Containers/Packaging (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sonoco Products Company (SON) ranks #500 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #274 by equity capitalization ($4.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SON leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while WMS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.3% ROIC and 38.3% gross margin. AVY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with SON at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SON ACTIVE
Sonoco Products Company
D+ 52/100 4.9x 20.9% 11.4% +0.50% $4.94B Benchmark Subject
REYN
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.
B- 70/100 16.5x 24.6% 13.4% +4.32% $4.98B /reyn-vs-son β†’
GPK
Graphic Packaging Holding Company
D+ 54/100 5.9x 18.2% 7.8% +4.25% $2.65B /gpk-vs-son β†’
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc.
B- 71/100 24.0x 38.3% 22.3% +2.63% $10.21B /wms-vs-son β†’
AVY
Avery Dennison Corporation
B 74/100 20.1x 28.8% 17.4% +2.63% $13.81B /avy-vs-son β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000091767

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sonoco Products Company (SON) reported GAAP revenue of $7.52B (+41.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.31B , and +38.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.00B, operating cash flow of $689.8M, and free cash flow of $345.8M (-21.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, SON closed FY2025 with $11.16B in total assets against $3.79B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.80, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $7.52B $1.00B $689.8M $345.8M $11.16B $3.79B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.31B $163.9M $833.8M $440.6M $12.51B $4.99B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $5.44B $475.0M $882.9M $638.1M $6.53B $1.53B

3. SON Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Sonoco Products Company (NYSE: SON) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $50.21 (+0.50% 1D, market cap $4.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SON ranks #500 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SON compare to REYN and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), SON carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.9x, gross margin of 20.9%, and ROIC of 11.4%. By comparison, REYN (Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 16.5x, ROIC 13.4%, cap $4.98B) and GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Company) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $2.65B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while WMS leads on capital efficiency (22.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SON?

Per SON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000091767), Sonoco Products Company generated $7.52B in revenue (+41.7% YoY), $1.00B in net income, and $345.8M in free cash flow against $11.16B in total assets and $3.79B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SON trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SON last traded at $50.21 (+0.50% on volume of 1,593,231 shares), positioning the stock +0.12% above its 50-day simple moving average ($50.15) and -4.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($52.42). Across its 52-week range of $39.27 to $60.67, SON sits at the 51.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.0% ($47.20 to $53.22).

Direct Sub-Reports: SON RQD Cockpit SON 12M Forecast SON Earnings & Move SON Dividends & DRIP SON Insiders & 13F SON Whale Options SON Profit Sankey SON News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 52/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SON β€” Sonoco Products Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Sonoco Products Company (SON) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 52/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $50.21 (+0.50% 1D, market capitalization $4.94B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.4%, gross margin of 20.9%, operating margin of 13.5%, and free cash flow yield of 7.01%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (17/20): Incorporates a 1.04x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.80, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.05x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sonoco Products Company (SON) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Containers/Packaging industry (Consumer Discretionary sector) with an equity market capitalization of $4.94B. The business operates with a gross margin of 20.9%, an operating margin of 13.5%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.4% (free cash flow yield of 7.01%). Within the Containers/Packaging peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Sonoco Products Company (SON) reported $7.52B in annual revenue (up from $5.31B in FY2024, +41.7% YoY) and $1.00B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($5.44B revenue, $475.0M net income) through FY2025, SON scaled operating cash flow to $689.8M and free cash flow to $345.8M, backed by $11.16B in total assets against $3.79B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 52/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 7.01% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $39.27 – $60.67 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 4.9x trailing P/E and 6.4x EV/EBITDA against 13.5% operating margins and a 1.04x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Containers/Packaging (Consumer Discretionary), SON carries a macro regime beta of 1.04 and gross margin of 20.9%.

  • Key Question #1: Can SON sustain or expand its 13.5% operating margin and 11.4% ROIC against Containers/Packaging peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $7.52B and free cash flow of $345.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.79B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SON's 4.2x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.04x)?

SON Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sonoco Products Company (SON) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to SON Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SON Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $50.21?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SON 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SON:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cross-Asset Macro Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $61.45 (+23.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Insider conviction scores 17 of 20 and the stock trades at 4.2x forward earnings with a 4.22% dividend yield.

The street is overcomplicating Sonoco Products Company (SON). Insider conviction scores 17 of 20 and the stock trades at 4.2x forward earnings with a 4.22% dividend yield.. With an RQD score of 52/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $53.96.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” SON's 12/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $40.47 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $49.96

The forensic balance sheet scores 12 of 20 with Debt/Equity at 1.05, and the cash-engine pillar scores only 6 of 20.

I respect the product at Sonoco Products Company, but the stock at $49.96 is a different story. The forensic balance sheet scores 12 of 20 with Debt/Equity at 1.05, and the cash-engine pillar scores only 6 of 20.. FCF yield is 7.01% and RQD sits at 52/100 (D+) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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