Schneider National Inc. (SNDR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$29.23 -0.75% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.14

Schneider National Inc. (SNDR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.12B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SNDR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Schneider National Inc. (NYSE: SNDR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $29.23 (-0.75% 1D, market cap $5.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SNDR ranks #171 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SNDR compare to LSTR and TFII in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), SNDR carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 49.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.2%. By comparison, LSTR (Landstar System Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 41.4x, ROIC 16.4%, cap $4.81B) and TFII (TFI International Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $7.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TFII leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while LSTR leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SNDR?
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Per SNDR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001692063), Schneider National Inc. generated $5.67B in revenue (+7.3% YoY), $103.6M in net income, and $285.4M in free cash flow against $4.84B in total assets and $388.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.13 (-0.33%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (12)Whales (5)SEC (16)Macro (8)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
$41 Bull$29 Base$23 Bear
📬 FREE SNDR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SNDR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SNDR SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.59 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$31.21-0.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$30.92-3.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$29.71-1.6% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$29.23-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SNDR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, SNDR faces multiple-compression risk if 49.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 50x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($32.12) or 200D SMA ($31.92) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($28.84) toward Bear Floor ($22.50).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SNDR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SNDR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SNDR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $29.23: 342.1 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $22.50
$7,698
$-2,302 (-23.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $28.84
$9,867
$-133 (-1.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $41.23
$14,105
+$4,105 (+41.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$3074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$3969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$2658%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SNDR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SNDR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SNDR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.44%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $29.45H $29.45L $29.23C $29.23VOL 1.22M
RES: $39.17SUP: $28.16SMA50: $32.12SMA200: $31.92
$40.23$36.27$32.31$28.35$24.39RES $39.17SUP $28.16$29.232026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SNDR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
36.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SNDR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SNDR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SNDR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SNDR)

Industrials Rank #171 of 485 ⚔️ LSTR vs SNDR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SNDR vs. LSTR, TFII, SAIA, ARCB)

Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services (19 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Schneider National Inc. (SNDR) ranks #171 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #142 by equity capitalization ($5.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TFII leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while LSTR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.4% ROIC and — gross margin. LSTR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with SNDR at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SNDR ACTIVE
Schneider National Inc.
D+ 55/100 49.8x — 4.2% -0.75% $5.12B Benchmark Subject
LSTR
Landstar System Inc.
C- 59/100 41.4x — 16.4% +0.94% $4.81B /lstr-vs-sndr →
TFII
TFI International Inc.
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% -17.08% $7.67B /tfii-vs-sndr →
SAIA
Saia Inc.
C- 59/100 35.9x — 8.5% +0.45% $9.19B /saia-vs-sndr →
ARCB
ArcBest Corporation
D+ 55/100 47.0x — 5.4% -0.77% $2.80B /arcb-vs-sndr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001692063

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Schneider National Inc. (SNDR) reported GAAP revenue of $5.67B (+7.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.29B , and +3.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $103.6M, operating cash flow of $637.4M, and free cash flow of $285.4M (+4.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, SNDR closed FY2025 with $4.84B in total assets against $388.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.59, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $5.67B $103.6M $637.4M $285.4M $4.84B $388.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.29B $117.0M $686.1M $272.1M $4.93B $416.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $5.50B $238.5M $680.0M $432.5M $6.60B $1.54B

3. SNDR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SNDR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Schneider National Inc. (NYSE: SNDR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $29.23 (-0.75% 1D, market cap $5.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SNDR ranks #171 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SNDR compare to LSTR and TFII in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), SNDR carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 49.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.2%. By comparison, LSTR (Landstar System Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 41.4x, ROIC 16.4%, cap $4.81B) and TFII (TFI International Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $7.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TFII leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while LSTR leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SNDR?

Per SNDR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001692063), Schneider National Inc. generated $5.67B in revenue (+7.3% YoY), $103.6M in net income, and $285.4M in free cash flow against $4.84B in total assets and $388.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SNDR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SNDR last traded at $29.23 (-0.75% on volume of 1,218,864 shares), positioning the stock -9.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($32.12) and -8.43% below its 200-day simple moving average ($31.92). Across its 52-week range of $20.51 to $39.27, SNDR sits at the 46.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($27.45 to $31.01).

SNDR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SNDR's 12-month stock price target?

Schneider National Inc. (SNDR) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $28.84 (-1.3% from $29.23), with a bull-case target of $41.23 and a bear-case floor of $22.5.

Is SNDR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates SNDR D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 55/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SNDR — Schneider National Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:20:43Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SNDR scores 56 out of 100 with a letter grade of D+ and a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12 / 20 (ROIC 4.2%; FCF yield 5.53%), Whale 13F Flow at 6 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 14 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8 / 20 (Beta 1.07; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16 / 20 (Altman Z 3.59; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.13).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, which indicates a financially sound structure per the SEC-derived metrics. The weakest pillars are institutional flow and macro regime fit, which together suggest limited external sponsorship and above-average sensitivity to market moves. The cash engine pillar is middling: a 4.2% ROIC and 5.53% FCF yield are presented as the basis for its 12 / 20 score, and the verdict label characterizes overall fundamentals as weak. Per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 49.8 against an EPS (TTM) of 0.59, a valuation the source data does not reconcile with the Roarable verdict beyond the cash-yield figures. Upside drivers would need to come from margin recovery or earnings growth; the source data does not quantify either. Valuation tradeoffs are pronounced: the 46.3 forward P/E and 11.4 EV/EBITDA point in different directions and should be weighed together. This is an analytical framing, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$29.45$5.16B49.846.311.40.591.3%1.07$20.51 - $39.274.2%

Business

Schneider National Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Trucking Freight/Courier Services industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model. Its reported revenue of $5674.3M for FY 2025 is shown in the Financial Trend section. Not available in source data for further business detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$5674.3M$168.9M$103.6MN/A$285.4M$201.5M$388.4M
FY 2024$5290.5M$165.2M$117.0MN/A$272.1M$117.6M$416.3M
FY 2023$5498.9M$296.4M$238.5MN/A$432.5MN/A$1544.1M

Per the market data, gross margin is 0%, operating margin is 3%, and net margin is 1.8%, with ROIC at 4.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.59 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, both within the forensic balance sheet pillar. Debt-to-equity is 0.13 per the same pillar data. Reported debt declined from $1544.1M in FY 2023 to $388.4M in FY 2025, and net income declined from $238.5M to $103.6M over the same period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items reference SNDR. Five are flagged YELLOW and one is flagged RED under "RISK WATCH":

  • Yahoo Finance: "Schneider National (SNDR) Stock Could Look Stretched On Current Earnings" (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • Investing.com: StoneX reiterates Buy on Schneider National stock, $40 target (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • GuruFocus: Stock down 3.3% but still overvalued, GF Score 78/100 (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • TradingView: Commentary on the Q3 earnings call (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • MarketBeat: JPMorgan Chase & Co. cut its price target (RED, RISK WATCH).
  • Yahoo Finance: "Heads Into Earnings As Undervalued View Stays In Focus" (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded for SNDR; the supply chain field is NONE.

Open Questions

  • What drives the gap between the 49.8 P/E (TTM) and the 46.3 forward P/E, and what earnings trajectory does the source data imply?
  • How do the 0% gross margin and 3% operating margin reconcile with the Trucking sector's cost structure?
  • What explains the decline in reported net income and debt between FY 2023 and FY 2025?
  • Which specific institutional holders and insider transactions underlie the Whale 13F and Insider Conviction pillar scores?
  • What is the basis for the StoneX $40 target and the JPMorgan price-target cut, given that no analyst data is provided?

SNDR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Schneider National Inc. (SNDR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SNDR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SNDR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $29.23?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SNDR 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SNDR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $31.81 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SNDR (D+ • RQD 56/100) a Buy at $29.45?

Welcome to the SNDR (Schneider National Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 56/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Trucking Freight/Courier Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (49.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $24.74 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $29.45

Pump the brakes on SNDR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SNDR, but look at what you are paying: 49.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Schneider National Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $33.57 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $29.45

SNDR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SNDR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Trucking Freight/Courier Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $29.45 (52-wk range $20.51 - $39.27), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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