Landstar System Inc. (LSTR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$142.70 +0.94% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $142.67

Landstar System Inc. (LSTR) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.77B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LSTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Landstar System Inc. (NASDAQ: LSTR) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $142.70 (+0.94% 1D, market cap $4.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, LSTR ranks #141 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LSTR compare to SNDR and ARCB in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), LSTR carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 41.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.4%. By comparison, SNDR (Schneider National Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 49.8x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $5.16B) and ARCB (ArcBest Corporation) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 47.0x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $2.83B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TFII leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while LSTR leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LSTR?
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Per LSTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0000853816), Landstar System Inc. generated $4.74B in revenue (-1.6% YoY), $115.0M in net income, and $215.0M in free cash flow against $1.64B in total assets and $382.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $142.67 (-0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 4.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (17)Whales (5)SEC (18)Macro (6)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$240 Bull$143 Base$112 Bear
📬 FREE LSTR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LSTR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LSTR SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 9.67 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.5% FCF Margin ($215.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$167.03+1.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$169.93-0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$168.78-15.5% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$142.70+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LSTR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, LSTR faces multiple-compression risk if 41.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 41x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($168.36) or 200D SMA ($176.66) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($143.34) toward Bear Floor ($111.81).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LSTR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LSTR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)
27.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
9.67>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE20% OF RANGE
L: $121$142.70H: $228
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on LSTR

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (85)

16.4% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 4.51% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 9.67 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (40)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like LSTR
  • ✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Priced at 41x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (LSTR Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LSTR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.33%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $138.8H $142.7L $138.8C $142.7VOL 1.18M
RES: $169.2SUP: $135.6SMA50: $168.4SMA200: $176.7
$234.9$208.3$181.8$155.3$128.8RES $169.2SUP $135.6$142.72026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LSTR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
31.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LSTR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LSTR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LSTR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LSTR)

Industrials Rank #141 of 485 ⚔️ SNDR vs LSTR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (LSTR vs. SNDR, ARCB, SAIA, TFII)

Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services (19 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Landstar System Inc. (LSTR) ranks #141 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #150 by equity capitalization ($4.77B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TFII leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while LSTR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.4% ROIC and — gross margin. LSTR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LSTR ACTIVE
Landstar System Inc.
C- 59/100 41.4x — 16.4% +0.94% $4.77B Benchmark Subject
SNDR
Schneider National Inc.
D+ 56/100 49.8x — 4.2% -0.75% $5.16B /sndr-vs-lstr →
ARCB
ArcBest Corporation
D+ 56/100 47.0x — 5.4% -0.77% $2.83B /arcb-vs-lstr →
SAIA
Saia Inc.
C- 59/100 35.9x — 8.5% +0.45% $9.15B /saia-vs-lstr →
TFII
TFI International Inc.
D+ 55/100 32.8x — 9.9% -17.08% $9.25B /tfii-vs-lstr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-27 • CIK 0000853816

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27), Landstar System Inc. (LSTR) reported GAAP revenue of $4.74B (-1.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.82B , and -10.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $115.0M, operating cash flow of $224.9M, and free cash flow of $215.0M (-15.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LSTR closed FY2025 with $1.64B in total assets against $382.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 9.67, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-27 $4.74B $115.0M $224.9M $215.0M $1.64B $382.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $4.82B $195.9M $286.6M $255.6M $1.81B $424.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $5.30B $264.4M $393.6M $155.0M $6.36B $1.49B

3. LSTR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LSTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Landstar System Inc. (NASDAQ: LSTR) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $142.70 (+0.94% 1D, market cap $4.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, LSTR ranks #141 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LSTR compare to SNDR and ARCB in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), LSTR carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 41.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.4%. By comparison, SNDR (Schneider National Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 49.8x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $5.16B) and ARCB (ArcBest Corporation) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 47.0x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $2.83B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TFII leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while LSTR leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LSTR?

Per LSTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0000853816), Landstar System Inc. generated $4.74B in revenue (-1.6% YoY), $115.0M in net income, and $215.0M in free cash flow against $1.64B in total assets and $382.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LSTR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LSTR last traded at $142.70 (+0.94% on volume of 654,639 shares), positioning the stock -15.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($168.36) and -19.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($176.66). Across its 52-week range of $121.12 to $228.46, LSTR sits at the 20.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.7% ($134.57 to $150.83).

LSTR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell LSTR stock right now?

Landstar System Inc. (LSTR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (16% return on capital), mixed timing at 41x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is LSTR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

LSTR's 12-month base price target is $143.34 (range $111.81 to $239.88), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LSTR — Landstar System Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:21:09Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LSTR scores 59 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with a verdict label of "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 (ROIC 16.4%; FCF yield 4.51%), Whale 13F Flow at 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 13/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 6/20 (Beta 0.89; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18/20 (Altman Z 9.67; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.41). The strongest pillars are the balance sheet and the cash engine; the weakest are institutional flow and macro fit. For a prospective investor, the rating points to a business with solid returns and a conservative financial structure, offset by weak institutional momentum and a low macro-fit score. Per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 41.4 and an EV/EBITDA of 29.4, which are demanding valuation multiples relative to the earnings base shown, so the investment case rests heavily on sustaining cash generation. The rating is a structured summary of the source data and is not a recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$141.37$4.77B41.438.529.43.412.62%0.89$121.12 - $228.4616.4%

Business

Per the company profile, Landstar System Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Trucking Freight/Courier Services industry. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $4.8B. The source data does not describe the company's specific customers or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$4743.8M$151.6M$115.0MN/A$215.0M$396.7M$382.8M
FY 2024$4819.2M$248.9M$195.9MN/A$255.6M$515.0M$424.3M
FY 2023$5303.3M$344.1M$264.4MN/A$155.0MN/A$1489.2M

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined across the three reported periods, from $5303.3M in FY 2023 to $4743.8M in FY 2025, and net income fell from $264.4M to $115.0M over the same span. Per the market data, the operating margin is 3.2%, the net margin is 2.4%, and the gross margin is listed as 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 16.4%, and the forensic pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 9.67, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.41. Debt reported in the financials fell from $1489.2M in FY 2023 to $382.8M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all tagged to LSTR:

  • Market wire (yellow): Two Yahoo Finance and Motley Fool items headlined "Why Landstar System Stock Crashed After Earnings," indicating post-earnings price weakness per the headlines.
  • Catalyst (green): A TradingView item previewing Q3 earnings ("Gears Up to Report Q3 Earnings: Is A Beat in Store?").
  • Risk watch (red): A Seeking Alpha item on the stock's "Big Drop," and a Yahoo Finance item reporting a "Modest Fair Value Cut As Analysts Turn More Cautious."
  • Market wire (yellow): A Business Insider item announcing the Q3 results release date of Tuesday, October 27, 2026.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The news items carry no further quantitative detail in the source data.

Open Questions

  • What drove the post-earnings decline referenced in the news wire, and what were the reported results relative to expectations? The source data contains headlines only.
  • Why does the financials table show no EPS figures and no FY 2023 cash balance, and how do the reported periods reconcile with the TTM EPS of 3.41?
  • Why is the gross margin listed as 0%, and what cost structure underlies the 2.4% net margin?
  • What are the drivers behind the decline in revenue and net income across FY 2023 through FY 2025?
  • What institutional, insider, and analyst activity exists beyond the RQD pillar scores, given that the analyst and holders sources are empty?

LSTR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Landstar System Inc. (LSTR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LSTR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LSTR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $142.70?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LSTR 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LSTR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $152.68 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LSTR (C- • RQD 59/100) a Buy at $141.37?

Welcome to the LSTR (Landstar System Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 59/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Trucking Freight/Courier Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (41.4x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $117.34 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $141.37

Pump the brakes on LSTR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LSTR, but look at what you are paying: 41.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Landstar System Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $176.71 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $141.37

LSTR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LSTR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Trucking Freight/Courier Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $141.37 (52-wk range $121.12 - $228.46), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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