Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A. (SID) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$0.72 -8.30% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.71

Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A. (SID) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.03B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SID stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A. (NYSE: SID) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $0.72 (-8.30% 1D, market cap $1.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, SID ranks #176 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SID compare to NWPX and SXC in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), SID carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, NWPX (NWPX Infrastructure Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 26.7x, ROIC 10.0%, cap $944.4M) and SXC (SunCoke Energy Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.9%, cap $936.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NWPX leads on earnings multiple (26.7x) while ROCK leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SID?
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For Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A. (SID), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #176 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.71 (-1.68%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.9% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE SID RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SID)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SID SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.7% FCF Margin ($29.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$1.27-11% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$1.13-19.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$0.91-20.9% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$0.72-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SID Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SID currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.12) and Max Pain ($0.76) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.31.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SID• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SID Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SID Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $0.72: 13888.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.52
$7,222
$-2,778 (-27.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $0.67
$9,306
$-694 (-6.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $2.31
$32,083
+$22,083 (+220.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SID)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SID's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SID // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.86%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $0.80H $0.80L $0.72C $0.72VOL 15.14M
RES: $1.32SUP: $0.74SMA50: $1.12SMA200: $1.25
$1.60$1.36$1.12$0.88$0.64RES $1.32SUP $0.74$0.722026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SID Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SID today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SID. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SID today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SID)

Materials Rank #176 of 270 ⚔️ NWPX vs SID Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (SID vs. NWPX, SXC, ROCK, MTUS)

Industry: Steel/Iron Ore (26 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A. (SID) ranks #176 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #135 by equity capitalization ($1.03B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NWPX leads on earnings valuation at 26.7x trailing P/E, while ROCK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.6% ROIC and 26.9% gross margin. NWPX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with SID at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SID ACTIVE
Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A.
D 44/100 — — — -8.30% $1.03B Benchmark Subject
NWPX
NWPX Infrastructure Inc.
C 65/100 26.7x 19.7% 10.0% -0.19% $944.4M /nwpx-vs-sid →
SXC
SunCoke Energy Inc.
D 50/100 — — -2.9% +2.72% $936.2M /sxc-vs-sid →
ROCK
Gibraltar Industries Inc.
D+ 52/100 — 26.9% 11.6% -0.57% $1.20B /rock-vs-sid →
MTUS
Metallus Inc.
D+ 53/100 — 8.2% -0.2% -1.40% $887.8M /mtus-vs-sid →

2. SID Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A. (SID) operates in Steel/Iron Ore (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $1.03B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. SID Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SID stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A. (NYSE: SID) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $0.72 (-8.30% 1D, market cap $1.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, SID ranks #176 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SID compare to NWPX and SXC in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), SID carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, NWPX (NWPX Infrastructure Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 26.7x, ROIC 10.0%, cap $944.4M) and SXC (SunCoke Energy Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.9%, cap $936.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NWPX leads on earnings multiple (26.7x) while ROCK leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SID?

For Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A. (SID), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #176 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SID trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SID last traded at $0.72 (-8.30% on volume of 12,937,503 shares), positioning the stock -35.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.12) and -42.40% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.25). Across its 52-week range of $0.71 to $2.20, SID sits at the 0.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.81).

SID Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SID's 12-month stock price target?

Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A. (SID) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $0.67 (-6.9% from $0.72), with a bull-case target of $2.31 and a bear-case floor of $0.52.

Is SID stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates SID D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 44/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SID — Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:14:15Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SID scores 44 out of 100, a D grade, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." Across the five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%). The cash-generation pillar is weak; per the market data, the company reports zero return on invested capital and zero free-cash-flow yield, meaning the cash engine is not contributing measurable returns to shareholders in the source data.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). This is the lowest pillar, indicating weak institutional support in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). Insider signal is below midpoint.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). A beta of 1.0 means the stock moves in line with the broad market; the sector-sensitivity component is modest in the rating.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). This is the strongest pillar, with moderate balance-sheet metrics.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a limited upside case built on the balance sheet, offset by weak cash generation, weak institutional flow, and weak insider signal. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be assessed directly because P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are not available in source data. The stock's 52-week range of $0.71 to $2.2 and current price of 0.78 place it near the low end of that range, which the rating's distribution-warning label reflects. This is an analytical summary, not personalized advice.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, five items reference SID, all tagged YELLOW and MARKET WIRE:

  • Two headlines describe a new insider ownership filing and a new beneficial-owner stake disclosure, both framed as "stock steadies" items. The filings are flagged as market-wire news; the feed does not provide the underlying filing details.
  • One headline from TradingKey lists SID among top U.S. stock losers by biggest price declines.
  • One headline from TradingKey references 52-week-low U.S. stocks and new market lows.

Risk watch items: the price declines and 52-week-low references are consistent with the market data (price $0.78, change -3.03%, 52-week low $0.71). Proprietary signals: the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE and there are no butterfly links. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data. The graph's sector and industry labels (Materials; Steel/Iron Ore) are the only sector context provided.

Open Questions

  • What are SID's reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow across recent periods, and what is driving the zero margins and ROIC in the market data?
  • What are the consensus rating and price targets, given that analyst data is absent?
  • What do the insider ownership filings referenced in the news feed disclose about the size and direction of the stake changes?
  • What are the company's principal products, customers, and geographic exposure within steel and iron ore?
  • How do the 52-week-low and price-decline headlines relate to the current debt load and Altman Z-Score of 2.5?

SID Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A. (SID) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SID Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SID Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.72?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SID 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SID:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.69 (-11.5%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SID (D • RQD 44/100) a Buy at $0.78?

Welcome to the SID (Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 44/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Steel/Iron Ore. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.62 (-20.5%)
Spot @ $0.78

Pump the brakes on SID — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SID, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Companhia Siderurgica Nacional S.A. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.92 (+17.9%)
Spot @ $0.78

SID cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SID, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Steel/Iron Ore and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.78 (52-wk range $0.71 - $2.20), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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