Stock Ratings / Industrials / SHIM / forecast

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Shimmick Corporation (SHIM) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$2.51 -2.33% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.49

Shimmick Corporation (SHIM) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 11/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (11/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $106.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SHIM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SHIM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Shimmick Corporation (NASDAQ: SHIM) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 11/100 at a spot price of $2.51 (-2.33% 1D, market cap $106.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SHIM ranks #485 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SHIM compare to CVU and MNTS in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), SHIM carries a Roarable E (11/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 6.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CVU (CPI Aerostructures Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.5%, cap $65.7M) and MNTS (Momentus Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $46.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SHIM leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CVU leads on capital efficiency (-0.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHIM?

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Per SHIM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0001887944), Shimmick Corporation generated $492.8M in revenue (+2.6% YoY), -$25.6M in net income, and -$71.5M in free cash flow against $218.8M in total assets and $60.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.49 (-0.61%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (11/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-13.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-21.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SHIM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (11/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SHIM SCORES 11/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (36% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 6.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+4/20 pts (36% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$2.83-16.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$2.36-3.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.28+10.1% Next Q

Current

Grade E$2.51-13.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (19) → E (11)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SHIM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SHIM currently carries a cautious 11/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.12) and Max Pain ($2.64) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.10.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SHIM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SHIM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 18%NO 82%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SHIM Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $2.51: 3984.1 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.54

$6,135

$-3,865 (-38.6%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.98

$7,888

$-2,112 (-21.1%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $7.10

$28,287

+$18,287 (+182.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$2	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$7	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$2	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SHIM)

✓Walkthrough of SHIM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SHIM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -52.10%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $2.64H $2.64L $2.51C $2.51VOL 69.5K

RES: $2.83SUP: $1.97SMA50: $3.12SMA200: $3.78

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SHIM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SHIM Butterfly Map → + Track SHIM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SHIM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SHIM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SHIM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SHIM)

Industrials Rank #485 of 485 ⚔️ CVU vs SHIM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SHIM vs. CVU, MNTS, SLND, LEGO)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Shimmick Corporation (SHIM) ranks #485 by composite RQD confidence (11/100, grade E) and #375 by equity capitalization ($106.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SHIM leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CVU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -0.5% ROIC and 15.2% gross margin. LEGO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with SHIM at 11/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SHIM ACTIVE Shimmick Corporation	E	11/100	—	6.8%	-35.0%	-2.33%	$106.2M	Benchmark Subject
CVU CPI Aerostructures Inc.	E	28/100	—	15.2%	-0.5%	-3.02%	$65.7M	/cvu-vs-shim →
MNTS Momentus Inc. (Class A)	E	26/100	—	96.0%	-35.0%	-8.92%	$46.8M	/mnts-vs-shim →
SLND Southland Holdings Inc.	D-	38/100	—	-20.1%	-35.0%	-8.55%	$44.0M	/slnd-vs-shim →
LEGO Legato Merger Corp. IV	D+	53/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$302.8M	/lego-vs-shim →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-02 • CIK 0001887944

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02), Shimmick Corporation (SHIM) reported GAAP revenue of $492.8M (+2.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $480.2M , and -22.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$25.6M, operating cash flow of -$65.1M, and free cash flow of -$71.5M (-125.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, SHIM closed FY2025 with $218.8M in total assets against $60.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.41, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-02	$492.8M	-$25.6M	-$65.1M	-$71.5M	$218.8M	$60.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-01-03	$480.2M	-$124.7M	-$21.3M	-$31.7M	$233.9M	$9.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-29	$632.8M	-$2.5M	-$88.1M	-$88.1M	—	—

3. SHIM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SHIM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SHIM compare to CVU and MNTS in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHIM?

Where is SHIM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SHIM last traded at $2.51 (-2.33% on volume of 37,274 shares), positioning the stock -19.55% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.12) and -33.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.78). Across its 52-week range of $1.95 to $6.76, SHIM sits at the 11.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.20 to $2.82).

SHIM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SHIM's 12-month stock price target?

Shimmick Corporation (SHIM) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.98 (-21.1% from $2.51), with a bull-case target of $7.1 and a bear-case floor of $1.54.

Is SHIM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates SHIM E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 11/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: SHIM RQD Cockpit SHIM 12M Forecast SHIM Earnings & Move SHIM Dividends & DRIP SHIM Insiders & 13F SHIM Whale Options SHIM Profit Sankey SHIM News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 11/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SHIM — Shimmick Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:43:53Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SHIM carries an RQD score of 11 and a letter grade of E, with the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars score as follows: Fundamental Cash Engine 1/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 3/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); Forensic Balance Sheet 1/20 (Altman Z 1.41; Piotroski F 1/9; Debt/Equity 8.5). For a prospective investor, the two lowest pillars sit in the core cash-generation and balance-sheet areas, which are the weakest links the rating identifies. The institutional and insider pillars are not strong either, so the rating offers no offsetting support from ownership signals. Per the rating's verdict, the framework points toward avoidance on forensic risk grounds rather than toward a valuation-based upside case. Any evaluation today would need to weigh the negative FCF yield and negative ROIC against a market capitalization of $106.2M, with the understanding that the source data does not provide earnings multiples to frame valuation.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$492.8M	$-19.4M	$-25.6M	N/A	$-71.5M	$20.0M	$60.3M
FY 2024	$480.2M	$-119.3M	$-124.7M	N/A	$-31.7M	$33.7M	$9.5M
FY 2023	$632.8M	$0.4M	$-2.5M	N/A	$-88.1M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, operating income and net income were negative in FY 2025 and FY 2024, with FY 2023 operating income marginally positive at $0.4M. Per the market data, gross margin is 6.8%, operating margin is -3.9%, net margin is -5.2%, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.41 and the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, with Debt/Equity at 8.5. Free cash flow was negative in all three reported periods.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, the most recent items include a report that Shimmick completed a $14.3 million equipment refinancing that reduces borrowing costs, flagged YELLOW, and a related Investing.com report on refinancing equipment debt at a 9.31% rate, flagged RED under RISK WATCH. Also in the news feed is an announcement that Shimmick will report third quarter 2026 financial results on November 12, 2026, flagged YELLOW. Other feed items are general market-wire summaries from TradingView and Yahoo Finance covering SHIM, flagged YELLOW. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals or butterfly links are present, and the supply chain is recorded as NONE.

Open Questions

What are the company's specific products, customers, and contract structure, given that the source data supplies only a sector and industry classification?
What are the trailing earnings per share and valuation multiples, given that P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS (TTM) are all unreported?
What is the composition of the $60.3M FY 2025 debt, and how does the 9.31% refinancing rate affect annual interest expense?
What drove the FY 2024 net loss of $-124.7M, and does FY 2025's $-25.6M net loss reflect a continuing trend?
What will the November 12, 2026 third-quarter results show for free cash flow and cash balance?

SHIM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Shimmick Corporation (SHIM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SHIM Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 4h ago

Shimmick Completes $14.3 Million Equipment Refinancing, Reduces Borrowing Costs

Yahoo Finance report covering Shimmick Corporation (SHIM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 7h ago

Shimmick Corporation Estimates – NASDAQ:SHIM

TradingView report covering Shimmick Corporation (SHIM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 10h ago

Shimmick Corporation to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results on November 12, 2026

Yahoo Finance report covering Shimmick Corporation (SHIM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE www.marketscreener.com • 13h ago

Shimmick Corporation Completes $14.3 Million Equipment Refinancing, Reduces Borrowing Costs

www.marketscreener.com report covering Shimmick Corporation (SHIM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Investing.com UK • 16h ago

Shimmick refinances equipment debt, cuts rate to 9.31% By Investing.com

Investing.com UK report covering Shimmick Corporation (SHIM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 19h ago

IMSR Stock Price and Chart — NASDAQ:IMSR

TradingView report covering Shimmick Corporation (SHIM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 4d ago

Quanta Services (PWR) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates

Quanta Services (PWR) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +20.48% and +9.37%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SHIM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.51?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SHIM 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.26 (-12.1%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SHIM (E • RQD 11/100) a Buy at $2.57?

Welcome to the SHIM (Shimmick Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 11/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Military/Government/Technical. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.03 (-21.0%)

Spot @ $2.57

Pump the brakes on SHIM — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SHIM, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 6.8% gross margins. Unless Shimmick Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.19 (+24.1%)

Spot @ $2.57

SHIM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SHIM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Military/Government/Technical and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.57 (52-wk range $1.95 - $6.76), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.