Construction Partners Inc. (ROAD) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$89.80 -2.08% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $89.29

Construction Partners Inc. (ROAD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $5.26B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ROAD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Construction Partners Inc. (NASDAQ: ROAD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $89.80 (-2.08% 1D, market cap $5.26B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ROAD ranks #240 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ROAD compare to GVA and KRMN in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ROAD carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.7x, gross margin of 15.6%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, GVA (Granite Construction Incorporated) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 27.6x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $5.33B) and KRMN (Karman Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.8%, cap $5.53B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KBR leads on earnings multiple (11.6x) while KBR leads on capital efficiency (17.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ROAD?
β–Ό

Per ROAD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001718227), Construction Partners Inc. generated $2.81B in revenue (+54.2% YoY), $101.8M in net income, and $153.4M in free cash flow against $3.36B in total assets and $1.70B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $89.30 (-0.56%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 5.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.3% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510050
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (9)SEC (14)Macro (4)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$159 Bull$87 Base$68 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ROAD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ROAD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±9.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ROAD SCORES 50/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.67 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.5% FCF Margin ($153.4M FCF) & 15.6% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (56.3) create a -16 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$86.33-2.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$84.38-0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$84.10+6.8% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$89.80-1.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (42) β†’ D (50)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ROAD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ROAD currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($93.26) and Max Pain ($94.29) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $158.55.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ROADβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œROAD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ROAD Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ROAD)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ROAD. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ROAD)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ROAD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ROAD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.28%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $84.36H $91.71L $84.36C $89.80VOL 895.9K
RES: $91.09SUP: $73.60SMA50: $93.26SMA200: $110.8
$156.0$135.2$114.4$93.66$72.88RES $91.09SUP $73.60$89.802026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ROAD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
37.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +54.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ROAD today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ROAD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ROAD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ROAD)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ROAD vs. GVA, KRMN, MWH, KBR)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Construction Partners Inc. (ROAD) ranks #240 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #141 by equity capitalization ($5.26B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KBR leads on earnings valuation at 11.6x trailing P/E, while KBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.3% ROIC and 14.8% gross margin. GVA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with ROAD at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ROAD ACTIVE
Construction Partners Inc.
D 50/100 51.7x 15.6% 6.9% -2.08% $5.26B Benchmark Subject
GVA
Granite Construction Incorporated
C+ 67/100 27.6x 16.1% 13.8% +1.59% $5.33B /gva-vs-road β†’
KRMN
Karman Holdings Inc.
D 46/100 β€” 40.3% 8.8% -4.17% $5.53B /krmn-vs-road β†’
MWH
SOLV Energy Inc. (Class A)
D 44/100 β€” β€” β€” -4.12% $4.91B /mwh-vs-road β†’
KBR
KBR Inc.
C 65/100 11.6x 14.8% 17.3% +0.99% $4.83B /kbr-vs-road β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-09-30 β€’ CIK 0001718227

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Construction Partners Inc. (ROAD) reported GAAP revenue of $2.81B (+54.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.82B , and +79.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $101.8M, operating cash flow of $291.3M, and free cash flow of $153.4M (+26.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, ROAD closed FY2025 with $3.36B in total assets against $1.70B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.67, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $2.81B $101.8M $291.3M $153.4M $3.36B $1.70B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $1.82B $68.9M $209.1M $121.1M $2.57B $1.18B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $1.56B $49.0M $157.2M $86.8M $2.89B $677.2M

3. ROAD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ROAD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Construction Partners Inc. (NASDAQ: ROAD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $89.80 (-2.08% 1D, market cap $5.26B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ROAD ranks #240 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ROAD compare to GVA and KRMN in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ROAD carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.7x, gross margin of 15.6%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, GVA (Granite Construction Incorporated) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 27.6x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $5.33B) and KRMN (Karman Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.8%, cap $5.53B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KBR leads on earnings multiple (11.6x) while KBR leads on capital efficiency (17.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ROAD?

Per ROAD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001718227), Construction Partners Inc. generated $2.81B in revenue (+54.2% YoY), $101.8M in net income, and $153.4M in free cash flow against $3.36B in total assets and $1.70B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ROAD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ROAD last traded at $89.80 (-2.08% on volume of 515,856 shares), positioning the stock -3.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($93.26) and -18.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($110.82). Across its 52-week range of $79.33 to $151.00, ROAD sits at the 14.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±9.8% ($81.00 to $98.60).

ROAD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are ROAD insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ROAD leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 50/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ROAD β€” Construction Partners Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:20:31Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROAD scores 50 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 6.9% and an FCF yield of 2.91%. For an investor, returns on invested capital sitting in the single digits, paired with a thin free-cash-flow yield, indicate that the business converts capital into cash at a modest rate relative to the price being paid.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 9 / 20. The RQD rating describes this pillar as institutional accumulation and options positioning. Its sub-median score suggests the institutional signal provides limited support to the thesis.
  • Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar covers SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The below-midpoint score indicates insider activity is not a strong positive signal.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 4 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.08 with sector sensitivity. This is the weakest pillar; the stock's amplified market sensitivity offers limited defensive character in adverse regimes.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z is 2.67, the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 1.76. This is the strongest pillar, indicating the balance sheet is comparatively sound, though leverage is substantial.

Implications for a prospective investor today: The stock's 8.71% single-session gain on the snapshot date is set against a trailing P/E of 51.7 and a forward P/E of 43.4, which places a high valuation on earnings that the RQD rating's cash-engine metrics do not fully support. Upside drivers would need to come from margin expansion or sustained growth in the revenue base, while the valuation tradeoff leaves limited margin of safety. The overall RQD verdict is a distribution warning, meaning the composite of pillars points to caution rather than accumulation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$91.71$5.26B51.743.420.11.770%1.08$79.33 - $1516.9%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2812.4M$224.8M$101.8MN/A$153.4M$104.1M$1704.7M
FY 2024$1823.9M$111.2M$68.9MN/A$121.1M$132.5M$1183.1M
FY 2023$1563.5M$81.9M$49.0MN/A$86.8MN/A$677.2M

Per the SEC financials, revenue, operating income, net income, and debt each rose across the three reported fiscal years. Per the market data, net margin is 3.6% and ROIC is 6.9%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.67 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Debt/Equity is 1.76 per the RQD rating, and reported debt in FY 2025 was $1704.7M against cash of $104.1M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news wire, six items are tagged to ROAD, each marked GREEN with a CATALYST impact label:

  • Yahoo Finance: a headline suggesting the stock may be undervalued as a Texas deal closes.
  • Simply Wall St: a headline suggesting the stock could be below fair value on cash flow.
  • The Globe and Mail: an expansion of Florida presence through the Cline acquisition.
  • TradingView: an estimates page for the company.
  • Yahoo Finance: a headline referencing a record backlog.
  • Stock Titan: a filing reporting an executive surrendering 625 shares for vesting taxes.

Risk watch items: the two valuation-oriented headlines conflict with the RQD verdict and should be weighed against the P/E multiples above. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present.

Open Questions

  • What are ROAD's specific product lines, customer concentration, and contract mix within Military/Government/Technical work?
  • What is the status and size of the Texas transaction and the Cline acquisition, and how are they reflected in the reported financials?
  • Why are EPS values listed as N/A in the reported periods, and what are the diluted share counts?
  • What is the composition and maturity of the $1704.7M debt load, and how does it affect interest expense?
  • What drove the 8.71% single-session gain, and do the 13F and insider data show any corroborating activity?

ROAD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Construction Partners Inc. (ROAD) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ROAD Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ROAD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $89.80?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ROAD 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ROAD:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $99.05 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ROAD (D β€’ RQD 50/100) a Buy at $91.71?

Welcome to the ROAD (Construction Partners Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 50/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Military/Government/Technical. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (51.7x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $73.37 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $91.71

Pump the brakes on ROAD β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ROAD, but look at what you are paying: 51.7x trailing P/E with 15.6% gross margins. Unless Construction Partners Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $112.80 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $91.71

ROAD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ROAD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Military/Government/Technical and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $91.71 (52-wk range $79.33 - $151.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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