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Stock Ratings / Industrials / ROAD / earnings
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Construction Partners Inc. (ROAD) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.4% Move

$96.61 +7.58% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $97.74

Construction Partners Inc. (ROAD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.15B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ROAD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ROAD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Construction Partners Inc. (NASDAQ: ROAD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $96.61 (+7.58% 1D, market cap $5.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ROAD ranks #252 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ROAD compare to KRMN and KBR in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ROAD carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.7x, gross margin of 15.6%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, KRMN (Karman Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.8%, cap $5.29B) and KBR (KBR Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 11.6x, ROIC 17.3%, cap $4.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KBR leads on earnings multiple (11.6x) while KBR leads on capital efficiency (17.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ROAD?
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Per ROAD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001718227), Construction Partners Inc. generated $2.81B in revenue (+54.2% YoY), $101.8M in net income, and $153.4M in free cash flow against $3.36B in total assets and $1.70B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $97.74 (+1.17%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 5.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (14)Macro (4)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target
$159 Bull$92 Base$72 Bear
📬 FREE ROAD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ROAD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ROAD SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.67 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.5% FCF Margin ($153.4M FCF) & 15.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (52) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$80.84+5.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$84.94-0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$84.36+14.5% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$96.61-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ROAD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ROAD currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($92.86) and Max Pain ($101.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $158.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ROAD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ROAD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.4% Swing Band

±$9.08 Expected Swing
$87.53 (-9.4%)Spot $96.61$105.69 (+9.4%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ROAD Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 47/100

Trailing EPS: $1.77 • YoY Revenue Growth: 54.2%

Model Bullish Setup (47/100)Model Risk Weight (53/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-09-30$2.81B$101.8M$153.4M15.6%
FY 20242024-09-30$1.82B$68.9M$121.1M14.2%
FY 20232023-09-30$1.56B$49.0M$86.8M15.6%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ROAD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ROAD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ROAD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.84%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $91.71H $96.61L $89.80C $96.61VOL 515.9K
RES: $98.46SUP: $73.20SMA50: $92.86SMA200: $110.7
$156.0$135.2$114.4$93.66$72.88RES $98.46SUP $73.20$96.612026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ROAD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ROAD Butterfly Map → + Track ROAD →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
37.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +54.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ROAD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ROAD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ROAD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ROAD)

Industrials Rank #252 of 485 ⚔️ KRMN vs ROAD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ROAD vs. KRMN, KBR, GVA, MWH)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Construction Partners Inc. (ROAD) ranks #252 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #141 by equity capitalization ($5.15B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KBR leads on earnings valuation at 11.6x trailing P/E, while KBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.3% ROIC and 14.8% gross margin. GVA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with ROAD at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ROAD ACTIVE
Construction Partners Inc.
D 47/100 51.7x 15.6% 6.9% +7.58% $5.15B Benchmark Subject
KRMN
Karman Holdings Inc.
D 45/100 — 40.3% 8.8% -2.05% $5.29B /krmn-vs-road →
KBR
KBR Inc.
C 64/100 11.6x 14.8% 17.3% +2.56% $4.88B /kbr-vs-road →
GVA
Granite Construction Incorporated
C+ 67/100 27.6x 16.1% 13.8% +4.28% $5.46B /gva-vs-road →
MWH
SOLV Energy Inc. (Class A)
D- 43/100 — — — +3.14% $4.71B /mwh-vs-road →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001718227

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Construction Partners Inc. (ROAD) reported GAAP revenue of $2.81B (+54.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.82B , and +79.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $101.8M, operating cash flow of $291.3M, and free cash flow of $153.4M (+26.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, ROAD closed FY2025 with $3.36B in total assets against $1.70B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.67, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $2.81B $101.8M $291.3M $153.4M $3.36B $1.70B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $1.82B $68.9M $209.1M $121.1M $2.57B $1.18B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $1.56B $49.0M $157.2M $86.8M $2.89B $677.2M

3. ROAD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ROAD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Construction Partners Inc. (NASDAQ: ROAD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $96.61 (+7.58% 1D, market cap $5.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ROAD ranks #252 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ROAD compare to KRMN and KBR in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ROAD carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.7x, gross margin of 15.6%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, KRMN (Karman Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.8%, cap $5.29B) and KBR (KBR Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 11.6x, ROIC 17.3%, cap $4.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KBR leads on earnings multiple (11.6x) while KBR leads on capital efficiency (17.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ROAD?

Per ROAD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001718227), Construction Partners Inc. generated $2.81B in revenue (+54.2% YoY), $101.8M in net income, and $153.4M in free cash flow against $3.36B in total assets and $1.70B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ROAD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ROAD last traded at $96.61 (+7.58% on volume of 978,358 shares), positioning the stock +4.04% above its 50-day simple moving average ($92.86) and -12.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($110.73). Across its 52-week range of $79.33 to $151.00, ROAD sits at the 24.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.4% ($87.53 to $105.69).

Direct Sub-Reports: ROAD RQD Cockpit ROAD 12M Forecast ROAD Earnings & Move ROAD Dividends & DRIP ROAD Insiders & 13F ROAD Whale Options ROAD Profit Sankey ROAD News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ROAD — Construction Partners Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Construction Partners Inc. (ROAD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $96.61 (+7.58% 1D, market capitalization $5.15B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.9%, gross margin of 15.6%, operating margin of 8.0%, and free cash flow yield of 2.91%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.08x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.67, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.76x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Construction Partners Inc. (ROAD) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer.. Per the market data, its gross margin is 15.6%, operating margin is 8%, and net margin is 3.6%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Construction Partners Inc. (ROAD) reported $2.81B in annual revenue (up from $1.82B in FY2024, +54.2% YoY) and $101.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.56B revenue, $49.0M net income) through FY2025, ROAD scaled operating cash flow to $291.3M and free cash flow to $153.4M, backed by $3.36B in total assets against $1.70B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 47/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 2.91% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $79.33 – $151.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 51.7x trailing P/E and 20.1x EV/EBITDA against 8.0% operating margins and a 1.08x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply_chain is NONE and butterfly_links is empty.

  • Key Question #1: Can ROAD sustain or expand its 8.0% operating margin and 6.9% ROIC against Military/Government/Technical peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.81B and free cash flow of $153.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.70B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ROAD's 43.4x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.08x)?

ROAD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Construction Partners Inc. (ROAD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ROAD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ROAD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $96.61?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ROAD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ROAD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $110.45 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported revenue grew from $1.56B in FY 2023 to $2.81B in FY 2025 while the balance sheet scores 14 / 20 on the Roarable RQD rating

The street is overcomplicating Construction Partners Inc. (ROAD). Reported revenue grew from $1.56B in FY 2023 to $2.81B in FY 2025 while the balance sheet scores 14 / 20 on the Roarable RQD rating.. With an RQD score of 47/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $96.98.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 6/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $89.80 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $74.53 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $89.80

The RQD verdict is a distribution warning at 50 / D, with a 4 / 20 macro regime fit and a trailing P/E of 51.7 against ROIC of 6.9%.

Careful chasing ROAD at $89.80. The RQD verdict is a distribution warning at 50 / D, with a 4 / 20 macro regime fit and a trailing P/E of 51.7 against ROIC of 6.9%.. Gross margin is 15.6%, but operating margin is 8.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $74.53 on multiple compression.

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