Seeking Alpha report covering BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why RILY Stock dropped -8.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is RILY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, BRC Group Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: RILY) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $4.06 (-8.14% 1D, market cap $133.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RILY ranks #957 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does RILY compare to SAMG and GGZ in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), RILY carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, SAMG (Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 15.2x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $132.5M) and GGZ (Gabelli Global Small and Mid Cap Value Trust of) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $131.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SAMG leads on earnings multiple (15.2x) while RILY leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RILY?
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Per RILY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001464790), BRC Group Holdings Inc. generated $789.0M in revenue (-20.0% YoY), $307.0M in net income, and -$59.7M in free cash flow against $1.71B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RILY Turnaround Squeeze
While RILY currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.49) and Max Pain ($4.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.80.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why RILY Stock dropped -8.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) dropped -8.14% to $4.06, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($3.64 – $11.24). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($3.64 – $11.24) with RSI-14 at 36.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.3% around $4.06 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
BRC Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: RILY) will release its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026, after market close on Thursday, November 5, 2026.
B. Riley Securities, Inc., a leading full-service investment bank, today announced that it will host its Convergence Conference: Energy, Power, Infrastructure on Wednesday, December 2, 2026, in New York.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RILY)
- ✓Walkthrough of RILY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RILY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -20.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RILY today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RILY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RILY)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (RILY vs. SAMG, GGZ, BVC, PAAC)
Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) ranks #957 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #934 by equity capitalization ($133.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SAMG leads on earnings valuation at 15.2x trailing P/E, while RILY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SAMG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with RILY at 37/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RILY
ACTIVE
BRC Group Holdings Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | — | 85.0% | -8.14% | $133.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| SAMG Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) | C+ | 67/100 | 15.2x | — | 85.0% | +8.02% | $132.5M | /samg-vs-rily → |
| GGZ Gabelli Global Small and Mid Cap Value Trust of | D- | 42/100 | — | — | — | -1.27% | $131.3M | /ggz-vs-rily → |
| BVC BitVentures Limited | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | -1.96% | $122.9M | /bvc-vs-rily → |
| PAAC Proem Acquisition Corp I | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | +0.05% | $177.4M | /paac-vs-rily → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001464790In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) reported GAAP revenue of $789.0M (-20.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $986.0M , and -29.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $307.0M, operating cash flow of -$59.7M, and free cash flow of -$59.7M (-122.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, RILY closed FY2025 with $1.71B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $789.0M | $307.0M | -$59.7M | -$59.7M | $1.71B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $986.0M | -$764.0M | $263.6M | $263.6M | $1.78B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.11B | -$100.0M | $24.5M | $24.5M | — | — |
3. RILY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs RILY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, BRC Group Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: RILY) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $4.06 (-8.14% 1D, market cap $133.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RILY ranks #957 in composite RQD confidence.
How does RILY compare to SAMG and GGZ in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), RILY carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, SAMG (Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 15.2x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $132.5M) and GGZ (Gabelli Global Small and Mid Cap Value Trust of) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $131.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SAMG leads on earnings multiple (15.2x) while RILY leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RILY?
Per RILY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001464790), BRC Group Holdings Inc. generated $789.0M in revenue (-20.0% YoY), $307.0M in net income, and -$59.7M in free cash flow against $1.71B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is RILY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
RILY last traded at $4.06 (-8.14% on volume of 1,237,857 shares), positioning the stock -26.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.49) and -44.15% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.27). Across its 52-week range of $3.64 to $11.24, RILY sits at the 5.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.3% ($3.56 to $4.56).
RILY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is RILY stock moving today?
Why RILY Stock dropped -8.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
RILY — BRC Group Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, RILY scores 38 out of 100, graded D- and labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. The pillar cites ROIC of 85% and an FCF yield of 0%. The high ROIC is not matched by free cash flow generation, so the return figure does not translate into distributable cash for a holder at the current price.
- Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. This is the weakest pillar, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source provides no holder detail (see Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership), so the low score is the only available evidence of institutional support.
- Insider Conviction: 8 / 20. The score reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. No underlying transactions are provided in the source data to validate the direction of that flow.
- Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Beta is 1.0, and the pillar reflects sector sensitivity. The stock is assessed as moving in line with the broader market rather than offering defensive or idiosyncratic characteristics.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. Per the same rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 2 out of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The Piotroski score is weak, indicating limited fundamental strength signals.
For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the high ROIC and the recent price move, with the stock at $4.42 against a 52-week range of $3.64 to $11.24. The valuation tradeoff is that the price sits near the bottom of that range while the absence of positive FCF and weak Piotroski reading argue for caution. This is an educational reading of the rating, not personalized advice.
Business
BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Investment Managers industry. Per the profile, the company has a market capitalization of $0.1B. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $789.0M | $75.6M | $307.0M | N/A | $-59.7M | $226.6M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $986.0M | $-497.5M | $-764.0M | N/A | $263.6M | $146.9M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $1110.8M | $96.1M | $-100.0M | N/A | $24.5M | N/A | N/A |
Revenue declined across the three reported periods, from $1110.8M to $986.0M to $789.0M. Operating income swung from $96.1M to $-497.5M and back to $75.6M, while net income in FY 2025 ($307.0M) well exceeded operating income, a gap the source data does not explain. Per the market data, the operating margin is 9.6%, the net margin is 38.9%, and the gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 85% and FCF yield is 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 2 out of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. FY 2025 free cash flow was negative at $-59.7M.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, the catalysts are:
- A Seeking Alpha report titled "BRC Group: The Recovery Is Real, But Cash Flow Must Catch Up," which frames cash flow as the open issue.
- A TradingView report on a substitute stock award granted to Andy Moore.
- An Investing.com report that BRC Group Holdings completed a short-form merger with B. Riley Securities Holdings.
- A Stock Titan notice that the company will discuss third-quarter results on a call at 4:30 p.m. ET on Nov. 5.
- A Seeking Alpha report titled "BRC Group: The Bond Market Isn't Buying It," signaling a credit-market skeptic view.
- A TradingView estimates page for RILY.
All six items carry a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. Risk watch items are the cash-flow recovery thesis, the bond-market skepticism, and the Nov. 5 results call. The butterfly supply-chain graph contains no links and no proprietary signals.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source data therefore provides no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations beyond the Financials/Investment Managers classification, and no identified second-order bottlenecks. A prospective investor should treat this section as unresolved rather than as evidence of independence.
Open Questions
- What drove the FY 2025 net income of $307.0M when operating income was $75.6M, and is that figure repeatable?
- Why is FCF negative in FY 2025 at $-59.7M after a positive $263.6M in FY 2024, and when does the recovery the news feed describes show up in cash flow?
- What are the company's debt levels, given that debt is reported as N/A for every period?
- What are the underlying SEC Form 4 and 13F transactions behind the insider and whale pillar scores?
- What happened in the merger with B. Riley Securities Holdings, and how does it affect the reported revenue trend?
RILY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Seeking Alpha report covering BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering BRC Group Holdings Inc. (RILY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RILY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.06?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is RILY (D- • RQD 38/100) a Buy at $4.42?
Welcome to the RILY (BRC Group Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 38/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Investment Managers. Bulls point to capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on RILY — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RILY, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless BRC Group Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
RILY cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RILY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Managers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.42 (52-wk range $3.64 - $11.24), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.